Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
05-May-25 AA A1+ Stable Upgrade -
31-May-24 A+ A1 Developing Maintain YES
01-Jun-23 A+ A1 Stable Maintain -
03-Jun-22 A+ A1 Stable Maintain -
04-Jun-21 A+ A1 Stable Maintain -
About the Entity

Gas & Oil Pakistan Limited ('GO' or 'the Company') was incorporated as a public unlisted company in 2012 under the repealed Companies Act 2017. The Company obtained the license to operate as an OMC across Pakistan from OGRA in 2019. GO is engaged in POL procurement from the local and international markets and the storage, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products and lubricants. The Company holds a market share of ~13%. Lately, Aramco has acquired a ~40% stake in the Company, while ~60% stake resides with GO. All legal and filing formalities are complete, and the BoD composition has also changed accordingly. The Company has a ten-member Board; four members represent Aramco, and the other six are nominated by GO. Mr. Tariq Kirmani chairs the Board, while Mr. Khalid Riaz heads the Company as the CEO. To enhance transparency, a few prominent management positions are appointed by Aramco. Other members of the Board and the management are also seasoned professionals.

Rating Rationale

Gas & Oil Pakistan Limited ('GO' or 'the Company') benefits from a strategic partnership with Aramco, which acquired a ~40% stake in the Company. Aramco, a globally significant player in the energy and chemicals sector, is expected to reshape the dynamics of Pakistan's OMC sector and the Company's operations moving forward. The sponsors are financially stable and possess extensive expertise across the energy supply chain. GO operates a vast network of retail outlets, comprising ~1,293 stations, including ~55 company-owned and company-operated (COCO) sites. Eleven of these COCO sites have been rebranded under the Aramco name. Additionally, the Company holds the second-largest storage capacity in the sector, with ~205,038 MTs, and generates income through hospitality services. GO is involved in the procurement of petroleum, oil, and lubricants (POL) from both local and international markets, as well as the storage, distribution, and marketing of these products. Standing among the top tier players in volumetric sales, GO has stabilized both its business and financial risks. The Company has seen growth in its topline and profits, and this performance is expected to remain sustainable. Although lower volumes from weak demand and regulated pricing of POL products have posed challenges, GO is focused on improving its financial performance. The Company is managing its marketing initiatives effectively and expects to generate stable cash flows. Moreover, an equity injection by Aramco, through a right issue, has strengthened the Company's overall financial footing. The Company's working capital-related challenges have also been streamlined, backed by considerable supply credit, now available from Aramco. This has reduced the Company's reliance on borrowings. These improvements have enhanced its coverage ratios, providing an additional financial cushion. The governance framework has been strengthened by the appointment of Aramco’s representatives to the Board and key managerial positions, positively impacting the Company’s operations and its ratings. Looking ahead, GO plans to further invest in the food sector in Pakistan through the Company's balance sheet, which, if managed effectively, is expected to contribute to the Company’s overall performance. Tapping into the lubricants segment, by bringing in Aramco's lubricant brand - Valvoline - will further add strength. CSR and HSE compliance as per Aramco's protocols bodes well for the Company.

Key Rating Drivers

The ratings are dependent on keeping the growth trajectory, as a consequence of the above mentioned association with Aramco including materialization of other governance and control related matters.

Profile
Legal Structure

Gas & Oil Pakistan Limited ('GO' or 'the Company') was incorporated as an unlisted public limited company in 2012 under the erstwhile Companies Ordinance, 1984 (now called the Companies Act, 2017).


Background

The Company acquired an OMC license in 2014 and commenced operations in Punjab in 2015, with subsequent expansions in Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK), Gilgit Baltistan (GB), and Balochistan. The Company began its operations by providing logistics services to other oil marketing companies. It steadily built a strong logistics network that has evolved into a vital service provider for major Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs).


Operations

The Company is primarily engaged in marketing and selling petroleum products (POL). Currently, the Company operates the second largest retail network of ~1293 stations, including ~55 company-operated company-owned (COCO) sites. To support the constantly growing retail network, the Company maintains numerous storage sites and strategically located terminals throughout Pakistan with a total storage footprint of ~87.5K MT for HSD and ~81.4K MT for PMG, including a dedicated storage facility at Fauji TransTerminal Limited, with a capacity of ~36.3K MT. This enables the Company to effectively and efficiently capture its wide-spread customers. 


Ownership
Ownership Structure

The Company's shareholding was initially divided among Mr. Khalid Riaz and his family and friends. However, lately, Aramco has acquired an ~40% stake in the Company. While GO holds a major stake of ~60%, out of which, Mr. Khalid holds ~51% stake in the Company.



Stability

After Aramco - headquatered in Saudi Arabia with an operational history of more 90 years - taking an equity stake in the Company, the ownership is expected to further stabilize the ownership structure. 


Business Acumen

The Company's sponsors have extensive industry experience with a significant concentration in oil & lubricant trading and distribution & transportation to OMCs all across Pakistan. Mr. Khalid, the Company's key sponsor and CEO, possesses over three decades of extensive oil distribution and trading experience. Furthermore, with the introduction of Aramco as a key sponsor and its representation on Board and its strategic management, the Company will, over time, benefit from the vast expertise of the new sponsor, improving the operational capabilities. 


Financial Strength

The sponsors have a firm financial footing. Aramco (rated A+ by Fitch) has a strong financial muscle with an annual turnover of ~$ 480.5bln and total assets of ~$646.3bln, providing a comfortable financial strength to the Company. 


Governance
Board Structure

The Board of Directors (BoD) comprises ten memberrs, out of which four Directors are the representatives of Aramco. There is one Independent Director on the BoD. Overall composition of the BoD ensures significant independence in the decision-making process.


Members’ Profile

The BoD has diversified experience and knowledge in the marketing and distribution of oil. The Chairman of the BoD, Mr. Tariq Kirmani, has 47 years of multifaceted experience in the domestic and international corporate sectors. The Directors representing Aramco have diverse experience and their induction is expected to strengthen the strategic oversight. Mr. Nader D. Al Douhan, the Director of DS International Retail at Aramco, with over 25 years of experience in downstream, upstream, and corporate services. Other representative Directors of Aramco, Mr. Abdul Aziz, Mr. Usman Hamid and Mr. Davide Crespi also carry diversified experience of more than two decades; thus, strengthening the BoD's policy formation process.



Board Effectiveness

The BoD meets on a quarterly basis with complete attendance and comprehensive documentation of minutes. Two BoD Committees, namely the Board Audit Committe (BAC) and Board HR and Compensation Committee (BHRCC), monitors the operations effectively. The Committee meetings are held on a quarterly basis with adequate attendance and minutes of the meetings are recorded and documented adequately.


Financial Transparency

The External Auditors of the Company, M/s. PKF FRANTS has expressed an unqualified opinion on the financial statements for the period ended Dec-24. The firm is QCR-rated and listed on the SBP panel.


Management
Organizational Structure

The Company's operations are divided into three primary functional areas: i) Operations, ii) Finance, and iii) Sales. Each department is managed by a department head who reports directly to the CEO. He then reports to the Board & makes pertinent decisions. While, the Head of Internal Audit & HR functionally reports to the respective Board Committee, and administratively to the CEO. 


Management Team

Mr. Khalid Riaz, the CEO of the Company, has been associated with GO for over a decade and has an overall experience of over three decades. Average experience years of top management is ~27 years, reflecting a good management profile. As per the transaction with Aramco, the Chief Financial Officer and Head of the Supply Chain will be appointed by Aramco. The management team comprises seasoned professionals, each bringing a range of expertise in their respective fields.


Effectiveness

GO has constituted two management committees. These committees include i) Procurement and ii) Credit. Committee meetings are held on a quarterly basis,  and minutes of the meetings are recorded and documented adequately. Anticipating the need for enhanced management efficacy, as Aramco joins in, management-level committees may add-in.


MIS

Top management receives a daily performance report of operations, which results in optimal monitoring. The Company’s operating environment has now been upgraded to SAP S/4HANA. This has effectively integrated with all the departments and ensures proper financial and operational control.


Control Environment

The Company operates an in-house internal audit department to oversee risk management, control, and governance processes. This ultimately enhances business practices by establishing standard operating procedures (SOPs).


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

Pakistan heavily depends on imports for its energy requirements due to limited domestic POL production. A substantial increase in POL import costs was witnessed due to global challenges. This, along with rupee depreciation, further impacted the local overall cost structure. During FY24, the demand for POL products declined by ~9% due to macroeconomic pressures. Transportation and Power sectors remain the main consumers, accounting for ~89% of the total demand. Despite having fixed margins, OMCs bear the impact of high working capital costs, which have risen sharply due to the aforementioned factors. This requires vigilance over the short to medium term for the OMC sector. Lately, many international player operating in the upstream, midstream and downstream segments - Aramco, Gunvor, Wafi and Trafigura - have enter in Pakistan's OMC market through strategic partnerships with already existing local player. This is expected to shape new dynamics for the OMC sector, going forward. 


Relative Position

The Company captured ~13% market share based on the sale of POL products and is positioned at 2nd among OMCs as of Dec-24. GO is the second biggest OMC in terms of retail networks operating across Pakistan.


Revenues

The Company generates revenue from MS (~49%), followed by HSD (~50%) and HOBC (~1%). During CY24, the Company reported an increase of ~36.1% in net revenue to ~PKR 327.8bln, primarily due to volume-driven growth. As Aramco has joined in, the revenue has further improved during 1QCY25. The revenue stream is expected to remain sustainable while enhancing operational efficiencies. 


Margins

During CY24, the Company's gross margins declined to ~5.4% (CY23: ~10.5%) due to increased procurement costs. Similarly, the operating margin dropped to ~3.6% (CY23: ~8.4%) due to trickle-down effect. On the other hand, the Company's net margins rose to ~1.0% (CY23: ~0.7%) due to low finance costs (CY24: ~PKR 8.2bln, CY23: ~PKR 11.3bln). During 1QCY25, margins have further become favorable. Looking ahead, margins are expected to remain sustainable.


Sustainability

GO holds a customer-centric strategy with a contemporary vision well-aligned with the transitioning energy market. Focusing on this, a recent structural shift in the Company's shareholding has been observed by bringing in Aramco as an international sponsor, a renowned and well-positioned global giant in the energy sector managing upstream operations, downstream operations, and energy transition. This strategic introduction is expected to ease the Company's supply chain and the overall financial health. Going forward, Aramco plans to bring in food related investment to Pakistan through the Company's balance sheet. This, if managed well, is expected to further benefit the Company's overall performance.


Financial Risk
Working capital

The Company significantly improved its net working capital cycle to ~20 days (CY23: ~30 days). This improvement primarily stems from a notable increase in trade payable days from ~37 days in CY23 to ~51 days in CY24, highlighting improved credit terms for product import provided by Aramco to the Company. Stable receivable days (CY24: ~35 days, CY23: ~34 days) further strengthen the Company's working capital cycle. While inventory turnover days increased to ~36 days (CY23: ~33 days), it was primarily due to a significant increase in the Company's inventory (CY24: ~PKR 49bln, CY23: ~PKR 16bln) to support its enhancing operations. Further improvement in the working capital management seems evident in 1QCY25. As we advance, working capital management is expected to improve.


Coverages

As of CY24, the Company reported FCFO at ~PKR 13.2bln, reflecting a slight decline of ~3.65% (CY23: PKR ~13.7bln). This decline in FCFO was primarily driven by a reduced impact of finance cost reported at ~PKR 7bln (CY23: ~PKR 11bln). Nevertheless, the Interest Coverage Ratio improved to ~1.8x in CY24 (CY23: ~1.4x) attributed to declining finance costs. As of 1QCY25, improving trend remains the same. As we advance, improvements in coverages are anticipated and supported by lower interest rates, resulting in reduced finance costs.


Capitalization

The Company reported a significant change in its leverage. As of CY24, the Debt-to-Asset ratio of the Company declined to ~49.5% (CY23: ~72.9%). The Company's total equity rose to ~PKR 32.4bln for CY24 compared to ~PKR 18.4bln for CY23 primarily due to the right issue, which raised the equity of the Company by ~10.6bln. Whereas, borrowings decreased to ~PKR 31.7bln in CY24 (CY23: ~PKR 49.6bln); majorly concentrated with STB’s ~PKR 24bln in CY24 (CY23: ~PKR 40.4bln) for working capital management. The Company's capital structure has demonstrated strength as of 1QCY25, and is expected to remain strong, going forward.



 
 

May-25

www.pacra.com


Dec-24
12M
Dec-23
12M
Dec-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 31,460 27,797 27,957
2. Investments 0 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 205 1,664 1,646
4. Current Assets 113,264 66,918 66,018
a. Inventories 49,047 16,208 27,518
b. Trade Receivables 36,379 26,383 18,096
5. Total Assets 144,929 96,379 95,621
6. Current Liabilities 80,198 27,630 38,270
a. Trade Payables 72,295 19,054 29,344
7. Borrowings 31,724 49,572 39,735
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 649 751 782
10. Net Assets 32,357 18,426 16,834
11. Shareholders' Equity 32,357 18,426 16,834
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 327,831 240,918 324,745
a. Cost of Good Sold (310,102) (215,643) (294,019)
2. Gross Profit 17,730 25,275 30,726
a. Operating Expenses (5,799) (5,142) (4,456)
3. Operating Profit 11,931 20,133 26,270
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 302 (6,709) (18,174)
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 12,233 13,424 8,096
a. Total Finance Cost (8,180) (11,273) (5,030)
b. Taxation (694) (519) (1,067)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 3,359 1,632 1,999
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 13,182 13,732 8,182
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 13,182 13,732 8,182
c. Changes in Working Capital 16,630 (15,098) (6,136)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 29,812 (1,366) 2,047
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (4,782) (1,163) (1,820)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (15,023) 1,066 1,425
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 10,007 (1,463) 1,652
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 36.1% -25.8% 55.3%
b. Gross Profit Margin 5.4% 10.5% 9.5%
c. Net Profit Margin 1.0% 0.7% 0.6%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 9.1% -0.6% 0.6%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 13.2% 9.3% 13.1%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 71 67 48
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 20 30 17
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1.4 2.4 1.7
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 1.8 1.4 2.2
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 1.5 1.0 0.8
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 1.4 3.4 3.5
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 49.5% 72.9% 70.2%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 21.1 86.4 52.5
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 20.4% 24.5% 12.6%

May-25

www.pacra.com

May-25

www.pacra.com

  1. Rating Team Statements
    1. Rating is just an opinion about the creditworthiness of the entity and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security of the entity rated or to buy, hold, or sell the security rated, as the case may be. (Chapter III; 14-3-(x))
    2. Conflict of Interest
      1. The Rating Team or any of their family members have no interest in this rating (Chapter III; 12-2-(j))
      2. PACRA, the analysts involved in the rating process, and members of its rating committee and their family members do not have any conflict of interest relating to the rating done by them (Chapter III; 12-2-(e) & (k))
      3. The analyst is not a substantial shareholder of the customer being rated by PACRA [Annexure F; d-(ii)]
      4. Explanation: for the purpose of the above clause, the term "family members" shall include only those family members who are dependent on the analyst and members of the rating committee.
  2. Restrictions
    1. No director, officer, or employee of PACRA communicates the information acquired by him for use for rating purposes to any other person, except where required under law to do so. (Chapter III; 10-(5))
    2. PACRA does not disclose or discuss with outside parties or make improper use of the non-public information which has come to its knowledge during a business relationship with the customer. (Chapter III; 10-7-(d))
    3. PACRA does not make proposals or recommendations regarding the activities of rated entities that could impact a credit rating of the entity subject to rating. (Chapter III; 10-7-(k))
  3. Conduct of Business
    1. PACRA fulfills its obligations in a fair, efficient, transparent, and ethical manner and renders high standards of services in performing its functions and obligations. (Chapter III; 11-A-(a))
    2. PACRA uses due care in the preparation of this Rating Report. Our information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. PACRA does not, in every instance, independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing this Rating Report. (Clause 11-(A)(p))
    3. PACRA prohibits its employees and analysts from soliciting money, gifts, or favors from anyone with whom PACRA conducts business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(q))
    4. PACRA ensures before the commencement of the rating process that an analyst or employee has not had a recent employment or other significant business or personal relationship with the rated entity that may cause or may be perceived as causing a conflict of interest. (Chapter III; 11-A-(r))
    5. PACRA maintains the principle of integrity in seeking rating business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(u))
    6. PACRA promptly investigates in the event of misconduct or a breach of the policies, procedures, and controls, and takes appropriate steps to rectify any weaknesses to prevent any recurrence, along with suitable punitive action against the responsible employee(s). (Chapter III; 11-B-(m))
  4. Independence & Conflict of Interest
    1. PACRA receives compensation from the entity being rated or any third party for the rating services it offers. The receipt of this compensation has no influence on PACRA’s opinions or other analytical processes. In all instances, PACRA is committed to preserving the objectivity, integrity, and independence of its ratings. Our relationship is governed by two distinct mandates: i) rating mandate - signed with the entity being rated or issuer of the debt instrument, and ii) fee mandate - signed with the payer, which can be different from the entity.
    2. PACRA does not provide consultancy/advisory services or other services to any of its customers or their associated companies and associated undertakings that are being rated or have been rated by it during the preceding three years, unless it has an adequate mechanism in place ensuring that the provision of such services does not lead to a conflict of interest situation with its rating activities. (Chapter III; 12-2-(d))
    3. PACRA discloses that no shareholder directly or indirectly holding 10% or more of the share capital of PACRA also holds directly or indirectly 10% or more of the share capital of the entity which is subject to rating or the entity which issued the instrument subject to rating by PACRA. (Chapter III; 12-2-(f))
    4. PACRA ensures that the rating assigned to an entity or instrument is not affected by the existence of a business relationship between PACRA and the entity or any other party, or the non-existence of such a relationship. (Chapter III; 12-2-(i))
    5. PACRA ensures that the analysts or any of their family members shall not buy, sell, or engage in any transaction in any security which falls in the analyst’s area of primary analytical responsibility. This clause, however, does not apply to investments in securities through collective investment schemes. (Chapter III; 12-2-(l))
    6. PACRA has established policies and procedures governing investments and trading in securities by its employees and for monitoring the same to prevent insider trading, market manipulation, or any other market abuse. (Chapter III; 11-B-(g))
  5. Monitoring and Review
    1. PACRA monitors all the outstanding ratings continuously, and any potential change therein due to any event associated with the issuer, the security arrangement, the industry, etc., is disseminated to the market immediately and in an effective manner after appropriate consultation with the entity/issuer. (Chapter III; 17-(a))
    2. PACRA reviews all the outstanding ratings periodically on an annual basis. Provided that public dissemination of annual review and in an instance of change in rating will be made. (Chapter III; 17-(b))
    3. PACRA initiates an immediate review of the outstanding rating upon becoming aware of any information that may reasonably be expected to result in downgrading of the rating. (Chapter III; 17-(c))
    4. PACRA engages with the issuer and the debt securities trustee to remain updated on all information pertaining to the rating of the entity/instrument. (Chapter III; 17-(d))
  6. Probability of Default
    1. PACRA’s Rating Scale reflects the expectation of credit risk. The highest rating has the lowest relative likelihood of default (i.e., probability). PACRA’s transition studies capture the historical performance behavior of a specific rating notch. Transition behavior of the assigned rating can be obtained from PACRA’s Transition Study available at our website. (www.pacra.com) However, the actual transition of rating may not follow the pattern observed in the past. (Chapter III; 14-3(f)(vii))
  7. Proprietary Information
    1. All information contained herein is considered proprietary by PACRA. Hence, none of the information in this document can be copied or otherwise reproduced, stored, or disseminated in whole or in part in any form or by any means whatsoever by any person without PACRA’s prior written consent.

May-25

www.pacra.com