Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
04-Apr-25 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
05-Apr-24 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
06-Apr-23 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
06-Apr-22 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
30-Sep-21 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
About the Entity

Mehran Sugar Mills Limited is principally engaged in the manufacturing and commercialization of sugar and related by-products. The enterprise boasts a daily sugarcane processing capability of 12,500 metric tons. The Hasham Family holds a predominant ownership stake, accounting for 75% of the shareholding. The governance of the Board is presided over by Mr. M. Kasim Hasham, while the executive leadership is steered by Mr. Ahmed Ebrahim in the capacity of Chief Executive Officer.

Rating Rationale

The assigned ratings affirm Mehran Sugar Mills Limited as an established player in Pakistan’s sugar industry. A key contributing factor to the ratings is Mehran’s affiliation with the well-established Hasham group, which hold a prominent presence in the country's sugar and related industries. Moreover, a strong governance framework bodes well for the Company. The market risk Company may face includes fluctuations in sugarcane yields and quality, influenced by agronomic conditions and cyclical variations in crop production. Additionally, raw material price volatility further accentuates operational uncertainty, necessitating supply chain, and cost management. This, in turn, impacts profit margins, leading to net losses. Due to the surplus stocks, the government has allowed the sugar millers to export ~0.79 million MT, ensuring liquidity relief for the industry. With the government's shift to deregulated pricing of sugarcane, the cost of goods sold is expected to decline moving forward, as prices are determined by market forces rather than fixed regulations. This transition to a market-driven pricing model will likely lead to more competitive pricing, encouraging efficiency and cost reduction across industries.
On the financial profile side, Mehran Sugar derives its revenue from sugar (~98% local market and ~2% export market). During MY24, the Company’s topline remains stable with a slight increase of 0.04% YoY, primarily due to increased sugar prices. Sugar exports also provided a cushion for sustaining growth. Profitability metrics showed an eroding performance, as gross margin declined by ~62% due to the high procurement cost of sugar cane. Similarly, the operating margin also mirrored the same effect and decline resulting from high operating expenses. Additionally, the Company reported a net loss of PKR 799mln, largely attributed to a substantial increase in finance costs. Furthermore, the Company's financial performance was adversely affected by a share of loss from Unicol Limited, amounting to PKR ~652mln, further contributing to the overall net loss. On the other side, Net working days remained elevated due to the accumulation of finished stock. Leverage indicators remain moderate, primarily due to the company's reliance on short-term borrowing. Looking ahead, the management holds a pessimistic outlook on the company’s fiscal trajectory, citing potential loss contributions from Unicol Limited and the uncertainty surrounding capital gains and dividend income from its short-term trading portfolio.

Key Rating Drivers

The company’s credit ratings are predicated on its ability to fortify business margins, sustain robust cash flows, and uphold financial coverages through unwavering financial discipline. An intensified commitment to the meticulous management of working capital is paramount. Any substantive erosion in margins and/or financial coverages would precipitate an adverse recalibration of the company’s credit ratings

Profile
Legal Structure

Mehran Sugar Mills Limited ('Mehran Sugar' or 'the Company') is a public limited company incorporated in December, 1965. The Company is listed on Pakistan Stock Exchange.


Background

The company started its operations in 1968 with a cane crushing capacity of 1,500 TCD. Over the years, the company has increased its capacity to 12,500 TCD through BMR projects. The company also has a joint venture ethanol plant with United Ethanol Industries, which produces food and industrial grade ethanol. The company has also invested in a joint venture power plant with Mehran Energy, which generates electricity from bagasse. The company has also diversified into the FMCG and energy sectors through its joint ventures UniFoods Industries and Mehran Energy respectively.


Operations

The Company is a leading producer of sugar and its by-products. The mill is situated in District Tando Allahyar. Over the years, the Company managed to increase its crushing capacity to 12,500 TCD through capacity enhancement initiatives. Mehran Sugar entered in strategic partnership with other sugar companies in 2004 to establish a jointly operated distillery under the banner ‘Unicol Limited’ which has ethanol production capacity of 200,000 liters/day. In terms of production performance, Mehran recorded sugar production of 38,497 MT during the fiscal year MY24. This marks an decrease of ~55% compared to the 85,796 MT produced in MY23, demonstrating a steady improvement in operational efficiency and output. The mill’s capacity utilization remained at ~71% during MY24. Additionally, the sugar recovery rate, which measures the amount of sugar extracted from the sugar cane, increased by ~1.2%, from ~10.6% in MY23 to ~10.79% in MY24. This improvement in recovery rate can largely be attributed to favorable moisture content in the sugar cane crop, which enhances the efficiency of the extraction process and leads to a higher yield of sugar from the raw material.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

Majority shareholding rests with individuals of Hasham Family (~75%) (‘Hasham Group’). Shareholding is divided among families of three brothers, Mr. M. Kasim Hasham (~16%) and Mr. Khurram Kasim (~11%), Mr. M. Ebrahim Hasham (~14%) and Mr. Ahmed Ebrahim Hasham (11%), and Mr. M. Hussain Hasham (15%). The remaining shareholding belongs to general public and other corporations.


Stability

Company's controlling interests vests with one group and each family within the group holds a defined share. The ownership of the Company is seen as stable.


Business Acumen

The company has a high business acumen, as the Hasham family has demonstrated its ability to identify and capitalize on the opportunities and challenges in the sugar industry and other sectors. The family has invested in BMR projects to enhance the production capacity and quality of the company, and has diversified its business portfolio to reduce its reliance on the sugar industry. The family has also established long-term relationships with its customers, suppliers, and financiers, and has maintained a good reputation and brand recognition in the market.


Financial Strength

As at MY24, the Company had a consolidated asset base of PKR 7.8bln and consolidated equity base of PKR 2.7bln.


Governance
Board Structure

The Board of Directors comprises of seven individuals, which include two executive directors, three non-executive directors, and two independent Directors. The board has a balanced mix of skills, experience, and diversity, and oversees the strategic direction and performance of the company.


Members’ Profile

Sponsoring family has a strong presence on the Board. However, members have significant experience in the sugar industry which is balanced by an adequate mix of business, finance, and legal experts. The board is chaired by Mr. Muhammad Kasim Hasham and has over 36 years of experience in the sugar industry.


Board Effectiveness

In order to maintain effective oversight, the Board of Directors have formed two committees, namely, the Audit Committee and the Human Resource and Remuneration Committee. During MY24, four meetings of the Audit Committee and two meetings of the Human Resources and Remuneration Committee were conducted. Board election was also held during the aforementioned year.


Financial Transparency

The external auditors of the Company, M/s Grant Thornton Anjum Rehman is a QCR rated firm and in SBP’s panel of auditors with “A ‘category. Unqualified opinion was issued on Sep 24 financial statements.


Management
Organizational Structure

The Company is headed by the Chief Executive Officer. The Company’s Chief Financial Officer, Resident Director, and Director Cane report directly to the CEO. Internal Audit, HR & IT are headed by separate managers and they report functionally to CEO and CFO. However, the head of Internal Audit and HR functionally reports to the Board Audit Committee and Board HR & Remuneration Committee and the Company Secretary functionally reports to the Board's Chairman.


Management Team

Management has long association with Mehran Sugar adding the required experience in sugar industry and their respective fields. Mr. Ahmed Ebrahim Hasham acts as the CEO of the Company and has 24 years of practical experience in various sectors and is also chairman of Sindh for Pakistan Sugar Mill Association. Mr. Muhammad Hanif Aziz -FCMA serves as a Chief Financial Officer. He joined the Company in 2004 and has an overall 40 years of practical experience with multinational and national companies.


Effectiveness

The Company has instituted an Executive Committee comprising all heads of departments. The Committee is headed by the CEO and meets on a monthly basis to review performance and enable short-term decision making.


MIS

Mehran Sugar has deployed an in-house system which has a sugar cane management module, store management module and human resources module. These are all integrated with the accounting system which is also developed in-house.


Control Environment

The company has outsourced its internal audit function to BPO Resources at Work, ensuring an independent and objective evaluation of its internal controls, risk management, and compliance processes. This outsourcing enhances efficiency, provides specialized expertise, and strengthens the overall governance framework.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

Pakistan’s sugar industry stands as the second-largest agro-based sector in the country, comprising approximately90 mills with an annual crushing capacity of 80-90 million MT. Despite its scale, the industry faces persistentchallenges, particularly due to the Government-regulated sugarcane support prices, which are set based onfarmer’s costs and often constrain millers' profitability. In MY23, sugar production declined by approximately 15%,reaching 6.7million MT, primarily due to the devastating floods that damaged standing crops and reduced therecovery rate. To manage the surplus inventory, the Government permitted the export of 0.5 million MT of sugar,offering some relief to the industry. The current MY24 season also reflects the lingering effects of flash floods, with a 4.7% loss in cultivated area. Despite these setbacks, sugar production is estimated to recover slightly toaround 7 million MT. The Government’s continued support for exports is expected to provide a much-needed boostto millers, helping them navigate challenging industry dynamics and mitigate financial pressures.


Relative Position

The Company contributed approximately ~0.56% to the total sugar production in the country as of MY24.


Revenues

The primary source of the Company's revenue is derived from the sale of refined sugar. A geographical split of revenue indicates that ~98% is generated from the local market, while the remaining ~2% originates from exports. During MY24, the Company's topline slightly increased by ~0.04%, reporting to PKR 10,989 million compared to PKR 10,984 million in the corresponding period of the previous year MY23. This impact was driven by an increase in the sale price per kg, which rose from PKR 91/kg in MY23 to PKR 112/kg in MY24. Looking ahead, revenue stability is anticipated, underpinned by resilient local market demand for sugar. Additionally, the Company's financial performance improved due to sugar exports, amounting to PKR 200mln, which contributed positively to its results.


Margins

The Company's profitability margins reflect a deteriorated performance during MY24. The gross profit margin fell sharply to ~8.1% (MY24: ~21.5%). This steep decline was primarily driven by a substantial increase in the procurement cost of sugarcane, which had a direct negative impact on the cost of production. Higher sugarcane costs reduced the overall margin from the core business operations, making it more difficult to sustain profitability at the same levels as in the previous year. This translated into a shrinking Operating profit margin (~3.7%, down from ~17.9%). Moreover, during MY24, the net profit margin contracted to -7.3% from ~13.1%. This decline is primarily attributed to the net loss during the year. Additionally, the decline resulted from a substantial increase in finance costs, which rose to ~97%, reflecting the impact of elevated borrowing costs in a high-interest-rate environment.


Sustainability

The company operates in a volatile sugar industry with multiple external risks and uncertainties. The company achieved remarkable growth in MY23, leveraging its competitive position and favourable market conditions. The company faces potential challenges in MY24, requiring proactive risk management and strategic adaptation.


Financial Risk
Working capital

The Company’s working capital management has shown signs of operational inefficiencies during MY24. Inventories witnessed a deterioration, averaging 53 days compared to 36 days in MY23, driven by high levels of finished goods. Trade receivables remain at 13 days on average, underscoring the Company’s efficient receivables collection practices. However, trade payables averaged 4 days, from 4 days in MY23, indicating improved utilization of supplier credit. Resultantly, the Gross Working Capital cycle lengthened to 66 days (MY23: 42 days), resulting in a Net Working Capital cycle of 62 days compared to 38 days in the previous period. Leverage indicators present a stable picture, with Short-Term Total Leverage remaining neutral at 9.5% (MY23: 42.5%) and Short-Term Trade Leverage recorded at 10.6% from 47.3%, reflecting dependency on short-term trade credit. Going forward, the working capital cycle is expected to improve due to the efficient selling of stock through export.


Coverages

The Company's coverage indicators reflect a mixed performance during MY24, highlighting challenges in its financial risk profile. The EBITDA-to-Finance Cost ratio has declined to 0.6x (MY23: 3.5x), signaling a reduced capacity to cover finance costs through operational earnings. Similarly, the FCFO-to-Finance Cost ratio has weakened to 0.4x from 3.1x, indicating tighter cash flow coverage of financial obligations. Debt repayment timelines have deteriorated (-0.8x from 0.4x) due to weaker cash flow generation, highlighting the need for improved financial efficiency. Going forward, coverages are expected to ease, resulting in lower finance costs.


Capitalization

Mehran sugar maintains a high-leveraged capital structure, which is on higher side in comparison to other industry players, with a debt-to-equity ratio standing at ~53.8% in MY24 (MY23: ~12.8%). The Company's debt consists of short-term borrowings, constituting ~82%, and long-term borrowing, constituting ~18% of the total debt. In MY24, the total debt of the Company stood at PKR 3,235mln due to increased utilization for running finance for working capital purposes and repayment of loan. The equity base of the Company stood at ~PKR 2,781mln (MY23: ~PKR 3,879mln).


 
 

Apr-25

www.pacra.com


Sep-24
12M
Sep-23
12M
Sep-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 2,489 2,467 2,708
2. Investments 627 914 732
3. Related Party Exposure 1,126 1,804 1,167
4. Current Assets 3,561 1,419 1,989
a. Inventories 2,599 593 1,553
b. Trade Receivables 479 289 100
5. Total Assets 7,804 6,603 6,596
6. Current Liabilities 1,110 1,326 1,309
a. Trade Payables 140 105 126
7. Borrowings 3,235 570 2,333
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 679 828 204
10. Net Assets 2,781 3,879 2,750
11. Shareholders' Equity 2,781 3,879 2,750
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 10,989 10,984 6,898
a. Cost of Good Sold (10,094) (8,620) (6,091)
2. Gross Profit 895 2,364 807
a. Operating Expenses (488) (396) (328)
3. Operating Profit 407 1,968 479
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 171 948 441
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 578 2,916 920
a. Total Finance Cost (1,253) (635) (526)
b. Taxation (124) (838) (104)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) (799) 1,443 289
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 521 1,951 625
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes (465) 1,275 173
c. Changes in Working Capital (2,564) 637 (483)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (3,029) 1,912 (311)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 865 211 430
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (460) (866) (97)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (2,624) 1,257 22
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 0.0% 59.2% 13.8%
b. Gross Profit Margin 8.1% 21.5% 11.7%
c. Net Profit Margin -7.3% 13.1% 4.2%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) -18.6% 23.6% 2.1%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] -24.0% 43.5% 11.0%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 66 42 60
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 62 38 53
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 3.2 1.1 1.5
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 0.6 3.5 1.5
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 0.4 2.6 0.7
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) -0.8 0.4 10.2
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 53.8% 12.8% 45.9%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 78.0 16.1 67.8
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 25.7% 19.2% 13.1%

Apr-25

www.pacra.com

Apr-25

www.pacra.com

  1. Rating Team Statements
    1. Rating is just an opinion about the creditworthiness of the entity and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security of the entity rated or to buy, hold, or sell the security rated, as the case may be. (Chapter III; 14-3-(x))
    2. Conflict of Interest
      1. The Rating Team or any of their family members have no interest in this rating (Chapter III; 12-2-(j))
      2. PACRA, the analysts involved in the rating process, and members of its rating committee and their family members do not have any conflict of interest relating to the rating done by them (Chapter III; 12-2-(e) & (k))
      3. The analyst is not a substantial shareholder of the customer being rated by PACRA [Annexure F; d-(ii)]
      4. Explanation: for the purpose of the above clause, the term "family members" shall include only those family members who are dependent on the analyst and members of the rating committee.
  2. Restrictions
    1. No director, officer, or employee of PACRA communicates the information acquired by him for use for rating purposes to any other person, except where required under law to do so. (Chapter III; 10-(5))
    2. PACRA does not disclose or discuss with outside parties or make improper use of the non-public information which has come to its knowledge during a business relationship with the customer. (Chapter III; 10-7-(d))
    3. PACRA does not make proposals or recommendations regarding the activities of rated entities that could impact a credit rating of the entity subject to rating. (Chapter III; 10-7-(k))
  3. Conduct of Business
    1. PACRA fulfills its obligations in a fair, efficient, transparent, and ethical manner and renders high standards of services in performing its functions and obligations. (Chapter III; 11-A-(a))
    2. PACRA uses due care in the preparation of this Rating Report. Our information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. PACRA does not, in every instance, independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing this Rating Report. (Clause 11-(A)(p))
    3. PACRA prohibits its employees and analysts from soliciting money, gifts, or favors from anyone with whom PACRA conducts business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(q))
    4. PACRA ensures before the commencement of the rating process that an analyst or employee has not had a recent employment or other significant business or personal relationship with the rated entity that may cause or may be perceived as causing a conflict of interest. (Chapter III; 11-A-(r))
    5. PACRA maintains the principle of integrity in seeking rating business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(u))
    6. PACRA promptly investigates in the event of misconduct or a breach of the policies, procedures, and controls, and takes appropriate steps to rectify any weaknesses to prevent any recurrence, along with suitable punitive action against the responsible employee(s). (Chapter III; 11-B-(m))
  4. Independence & Conflict of Interest
    1. PACRA receives compensation from the entity being rated or any third party for the rating services it offers. The receipt of this compensation has no influence on PACRA’s opinions or other analytical processes. In all instances, PACRA is committed to preserving the objectivity, integrity, and independence of its ratings. Our relationship is governed by two distinct mandates: i) rating mandate - signed with the entity being rated or issuer of the debt instrument, and ii) fee mandate - signed with the payer, which can be different from the entity.
    2. PACRA does not provide consultancy/advisory services or other services to any of its customers or their associated companies and associated undertakings that are being rated or have been rated by it during the preceding three years, unless it has an adequate mechanism in place ensuring that the provision of such services does not lead to a conflict of interest situation with its rating activities. (Chapter III; 12-2-(d))
    3. PACRA discloses that no shareholder directly or indirectly holding 10% or more of the share capital of PACRA also holds directly or indirectly 10% or more of the share capital of the entity which is subject to rating or the entity which issued the instrument subject to rating by PACRA. (Chapter III; 12-2-(f))
    4. PACRA ensures that the rating assigned to an entity or instrument is not affected by the existence of a business relationship between PACRA and the entity or any other party, or the non-existence of such a relationship. (Chapter III; 12-2-(i))
    5. PACRA ensures that the analysts or any of their family members shall not buy, sell, or engage in any transaction in any security which falls in the analyst’s area of primary analytical responsibility. This clause, however, does not apply to investments in securities through collective investment schemes. (Chapter III; 12-2-(l))
    6. PACRA has established policies and procedures governing investments and trading in securities by its employees and for monitoring the same to prevent insider trading, market manipulation, or any other market abuse. (Chapter III; 11-B-(g))
  5. Monitoring and Review
    1. PACRA monitors all the outstanding ratings continuously, and any potential change therein due to any event associated with the issuer, the security arrangement, the industry, etc., is disseminated to the market immediately and in an effective manner after appropriate consultation with the entity/issuer. (Chapter III; 17-(a))
    2. PACRA reviews all the outstanding ratings periodically on an annual basis. Provided that public dissemination of annual review and in an instance of change in rating will be made. (Chapter III; 17-(b))
    3. PACRA initiates an immediate review of the outstanding rating upon becoming aware of any information that may reasonably be expected to result in downgrading of the rating. (Chapter III; 17-(c))
    4. PACRA engages with the issuer and the debt securities trustee to remain updated on all information pertaining to the rating of the entity/instrument. (Chapter III; 17-(d))
  6. Probability of Default
    1. PACRA’s Rating Scale reflects the expectation of credit risk. The highest rating has the lowest relative likelihood of default (i.e., probability). PACRA’s transition studies capture the historical performance behavior of a specific rating notch. Transition behavior of the assigned rating can be obtained from PACRA’s Transition Study available at our website. (www.pacra.com) However, the actual transition of rating may not follow the pattern observed in the past. (Chapter III; 14-3(f)(vii))
  7. Proprietary Information
    1. All information contained herein is considered proprietary by PACRA. Hence, none of the information in this document can be copied or otherwise reproduced, stored, or disseminated in whole or in part in any form or by any means whatsoever by any person without PACRA’s prior written consent.

Apr-25

www.pacra.com