Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
05-Jun-25 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
07-Jun-24 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
09-Jun-23 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
10-Jun-22 AA- A1 Stable Initial -
About the Entity

Orient Power Company (Private) Limited (Orient Power) was established in 2003 as a private limited company under the Power Policy 2002. The Company operates a 229 MW (Gross ISO) power generation facility. Its registered office is located in Lahore, while the plant is situated in Balloki, District Kasur. The Board of Directors comprises seven members. The Company is led by Mr. Kashif Bashir Rana, who serves as Chief Executive Officer. He is a Chartered Accountant with over 25 years of post-qualification experience, primarily in the power sector, along with three years in the textile industry. Mr. Rana is supported by a team of qualified and experienced professionals.

Rating Rationale

Orient Power Company (Private) Limited (referred to as "Orient Power" or "the Company") was established to develop and operate a 212.7 MW (net) combined-cycle, dual-fuel power generation plant for the purpose of generating and supplying electricity to the Central Power Purchasing Agency Guarantee Limited (CPPA-G). The plant commenced commercial operations on May 24, 2010. The Company’s credit ratings reflect its strong business profile, supported by demand risk coverage under a 30-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with CPPA-G, effective from the Commercial Operations Date (COD). Furthermore, the Implementation Agreement ensures sovereign guarantees for the Company’s cash flows, subject to compliance with agreed-upon performance benchmarks—specifically, an availability factor of 90% and efficiency levels of 51.2% on gas/Re-gasified Liquefied Natural Gas (RLNG) and 48.5% on High-Speed Diesel (HSD), taking into account annual heat rate degradation and part-load operating curves. During the review period, the Company consistently met these performance benchmarks. Operational reliability is further enhanced through the engagement of GE Vernova International LLC (“GEVI”) as the Operations, Maintenance, and Service (O&M) contractor, leveraging both local and international expertise in the energy sector. The plant’s primary fuel is gas/RLNG, supplied by Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL), while HSD serves as a backup fuel. The risk associated with fuel supply is considered manageable, given the significant integration of RLNG into Pakistan’s energy mix. During the nine-month period ending FY25 (9MFY25), Orient Power supplied approximately 297 GWh of electricity to the national grid, reflecting lower dispatch levels due to reduced demand from the Power Purchaser. The Company reported sales revenue of approximately PKR 13,233 million and a net profit of PKR 2,709 million. As of the third quarter of FY25, the Company’s equity stood at around PKR 18,988 million. Orient Power's leverage increased to 9.2% in the third quarter of FY25, up from 6.4% in FY24. The rise is primarily attributed to an increase in short-term borrowings. In terms of shareholding changes, Mahmood Textile Mills Limited reduced its stake in the Company from 20.97% to 11.07%, with the divested shares acquired by Whistler Enterprises (Private) Limited. Additionally, Whistler Partners FZ LLC transferred its 1.67% shareholding to Mr. Nadeem Babar, thereby increasing his total equity interest in the Company from 21.14% to 22.81%.

Key Rating Drivers

Maintaining strong operational performance in accordance with agreed performance benchmarks, along with continued financial discipline, will remain critical to the sustainability of the assigned ratings.

Profile
Plant

Orient Power Company operates a 229 MW (Gross ISO) Combined Cycle dual-fuel thermal power plant located in Balloki, District Kasur. Developed on a Build-Own-Operate (BOO) basis, the plant achieved its Commercial Operation Date (COD) in May 2010. It primarily runs on natural gas / Re-gasified Liquid Natural Gas(RLNG) , with high-speed diesel as a backup fuel, and uses GE 6FA gas turbines and a steam turbine for efficient power generation. Electricity is supplied to the national grid under a long-term Power Purchase Agreement.


Tariff

OPCOL’s key source of earnings is the generation tariff received from its sole power purchaser, the Central Power Purchasing Agency Guarantee Limited (CPPA-G).The reference tariff, as determined by NEPRA, consists of two components: a capacity charge and an energy charge. The capacity charge, based on the plant’s dependable capacity, guarantees a minimum revenue stream that covers fixed O&M costs, insurance, working capital funding, and return on equity. The levelized tariff is PKR 2.3044 per kWh on natural gas and PKR 2.3541 per kWh on high-speed diesel for the period April–June 2025.


Return on Project

Pursuant to the Master Agreement dated February 11, 2021, OPCOL revised its Return on Equity (ROE) structure. The ROE on the local equity portion (29%) was increased from 15% to 17%, without dollar indexation. For the foreign equity portion (71%), the ROE was reduced from 15% to 12%, while retaining dollar indexation.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

Orient Power Company (Private) Limited (OPCOL) is owned by a diverse group of sponsors, with O.Q.S.A.O.C. holding the largest stake at 42.8%, followed by Mr. Nadeem Babar with 22.81%, Mahmood Textile Mills Ltd. with 11.07%, Grindlewald FZE with 8%, Pak Oman Investment Company holding 5.43%, and Whistler Enterprises (Pvt.) Limited with 9.9%. This ownership structure combines strategic, financial, and industry expertise to support the company’s operations and long-term growth.


Stability

The ownership of OPCOL is considered stable due to the strong and diversified background of its sponsors. The shareholders have established presence across various key sectors including oil and gas, aluminum, power generation, and the food industry.


Business Acumen

OPCOL’s sponsors possess strong business expertise, with particular emphasis on the contributions of Mr. Nadeem Babar, who brings extensive experience in project development, industry-specific operations, and strategic planning. His deep understanding of the energy sector, coupled with the broader business capabilities of the sponsor group, underpins the company’s effective decision-making, operational efficiency, and long-term strategic direction.


Financial Strength

The financial strength of OPCOL is considered strong, supported by well-diversified and profitable businesses owned by its sponsors. Their presence across various sectors ensures a solid financial backing for the company. Additionally, the sovereign guarantee provided by the Government of Pakistan under the Power Purchase Agreement further reinforces OPCOL’s creditworthiness and financial stability, ensuring timely payments and enhancing investor confidence


Governance
Board Structure

OPCOL is governed by a seven-member Board of Directors, including the Chief Executive Officer. The board composition reflects the company’s diverse ownership, with three nominees from O.Q.S.A.O.C., one representative each from Mahmood Textile Mills Ltd. and Grindlewald FZE, and Mr. Nadeem Babar serving as a director. The CEO serves as a deemed director by virtue of their executive role. This structure ensures balanced representation and strategic oversight from key stakeholders.


Members’ Profile

The Board of Directors of OPCOL includes highly experienced professionals from diverse backgrounds. Mr. Salim Marhoun Hamad Al Hashmi, Ms. Maryam Al-Barashadi, and Mr. Nauman Ansari represent O.Q.S.A.O.C. and bring extensive experience in international energy, strategic planning, and financial oversight. Mr. Nadeem Babar, a key figure in Pakistan’s energy sector, offers deep expertise in energy policy and project development. Mr. Kashif Bashir Rana, the company’s CEO and a Chartered Accountant, contributes strong financial and operational leadership, ensuring effective execution of the board’s strategic vision.


Board Effectiveness

During 9MFY24, five board meetings were held. Despite the demanding schedules of the experienced board members, attendance remained satisfactory, reflecting their commitment to effective governance and strategic oversight.


Financial Transparency

To maintain financial transparency, OPCOL’s financial statements are audited by A.F. Fergusons & Co., a reputable audit firm. For the year ended June 2024, the auditors issued an unqualified opinion, confirming the fairness of the financial statements.


Management
Organizational Structure

Orient Power Company maintains a lean and efficient management structure, enabling agile decision-making and operational effectiveness. The CEO is supported by a team of qualified and experienced professionals who oversee key functions including operations, finance, compliance, and engineering. This streamlined structure ensures clarity in roles, accountability, and a focused approach to achieving the company’s strategic and operational goals.


Management Team

Orient Power Company is led by a seasoned management team with extensive industry experience. Mr. Kashif Bashir Rana, CEO, is a Chartered Accountant with 27 years of experience, primarily in the power sector. Mr. Asad Qamar, Chief Financial Officer (CFO), is also a Chartered Accountant, bringing 27 years of expertise in financial management and strategic planning. Plant operations are overseen by Mr. Fayyaz Karim, General Manager (Plant), a qualified electrical engineer with 35 years of experience in power sector operations and maintenance. This experienced team ensures strong leadership and efficient management across all areas of the company.


Effectiveness

OPCOL’s management focuses on key strategic and supervisory functions, including finance, commercial affairs, legal matters, and technical oversight. The day-to-day operations and maintenance of the power plant are outsourced to General Electric (GE) under a long-term O&M contract.


Control Environment

OPCOL maintains a robust Management Information System (MIS) that supports effective monitoring of operations and facilitates coordination with the O&M operator. This system ensures transparency, timely reporting, and informed decision-making, enabling the management to maintain control over key operational and performance areas.


Operational Risk
Power Purchase Agreement

Orient Power key source of earnings is the revenue generated through sale of electricity to the power purchaser, CPPA-G. The Company receives the capacity payments, as long average annual availability is at least 90% and is available for dispatch by power purchaser to generate electricity. regardless of whether or not plant is dispatched by the power purchaser. Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) has been signed in 2006 for a term of 30 years from the date of COD.


Operation and Maintenance

The Company has entered into an Operation, Maintenance & Services Agreement with the consortium of GE Vernova International LLC (“GEVI”) and General Electric Energy Parts, Inc .The term of the O&M agreement is valid till December 2040.


Resource Risk

Orient Power Company primarily relies on Gas/RLNG as its main fuel source under a supply agreement with SNGPL. To mitigate supply interruptions, the company has also secured backup fuel arrangements through agreements with multiple Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) for the provision of High-Speed Diesel (HSD). The plant operates as a combined cycle facility, equipped with two General Electric gas turbines and a steam turbine from Skoda Power, which enhances fuel efficiency.


Insurance Cover

OPCOL maintains comprehensive insurance coverage to safeguard its operations and assets. This includes coverage for political violence amounting to PKR 14.75 billion, property damage at PKR 56.5 billion, and business interruption at PKR 7.4 billion. Additionally, the company holds insurance for public liability, product liability, and pollution, each valued at PKR 3 billion. This extensive coverage ensures financial protection against a wide range of operational and external risks.


Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics

In FY24, Pakistan’s total installed power generation capacity rose slightly to ~45,888 MW, up 0.3% from FY23, while actual power generation declined by 0.6% to ~15,662 MW. The average capacity factor stood at 34.1%, indicating underutilization of available capacity. Public sector plants contributed ~61.4% of total generation, while the private sector's share dropped to ~38.6% (FY23: 49%). CPPA-G remained the dominant off-taker, accounting for ~93% of total power generated, with K-Electric contributing ~7%, alongside additional imports from Iran.


Generation

OPCOL generated 297 GWh of electricity during 9MFY25 and 541 GWh in FY24, compared to 605 GWh in FY23,836GWH in FY22 , 623 GWh in FY21, and 338 GWh in FY20. The decline in generation is primarily attributable to reduced dispatch demand from the power purchaser, CPPA-G.


Performance Benchmark

Under the Power Purchase Agreement, OPCOL is required to maintain a minimum plant availability of 90%. During the reporting period, the company successfully met this benchmark, demonstrating operational reliability and compliance with contractual performance standards.


Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis

OPCOL's project capital structure comprised 25% equity and 75% debt. The repayment tenor of the long-term project debt was ten (10) years with forty (40) consecutive quarterly payments, starting from March-2010. In March 2020 the company completely paid off its term project related debt.


Liquidity Profile

As of end-March 2025, OPCOL’s total receivables stood at PKR 13,257 million (FY24: PKR 11,469mln, FY23: PKR 14,017, FY22: PKR 11,241mln) The persistent circular debt issue in the power sector continues to strain cash flows, compelling Independent Power Producers (IPPs) like OPCOL to rely on short-term borrowings to manage liquidity.


Working Capital Financing

Company mainly meet its working capital requirements – procurement of gas/fuel and funding of overdue receivables – from a mix of internal cashflow generations and short-term borrowings. During 3QFY25, total working capital lines that are arranged to amount PKR 10,487mln (FY24: PKR 10,487mln, FY23: 8,387mln, FY22: PKR 7780mln) of which ~18% has been utilized. The cushion to borrow, in case the Company needs it, is ~82%. As at end Mar-25, total receivables of the Company stood at PKR 13,257 million (FY24: PKR 11,469mln, FY23: PKR 14,017, FY22: PKR 11,241mln). The rise in short-term borrowing is primarily driven by delays in payment from CPPA-G.


Cash Flow Analysis

During the 3QFY25 the Company posted growth in FCFOs on back of strong revenues. FCFO stands at PKR 3,223mln (FY24: PKR 7,526mln, FY23: PKR 3,557mln, FY22: 3,392mln). Thus, during the same period, OPCOL has shown a debt coverage ratio [FCFO / Finance Cost+ CMLTD+ Excess STB], to 72.2x with increase from FY24 (FY24: 23.9x, FY23: 3.8x, FY22: 5.1x).


Capitalization

The Company has paid-off its long-term debt in March'2020 and has a short-term borrowing of PKR 1,928mln at 3QFY25 (FY24: PKR 1.294bln, FY23: PKR 4.010bln). The company’s gearing ratio was 9.2% at the end of March 2025, reflecting a capital structure comprised entirely of short-term debt.


 
 

Jun-25

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Mar-25
9M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Jun-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 7,890 8,283 8,944 9,001
2. Investments 0 1,528 0 2,888
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 18,293 16,416 20,236 15,642
a. Inventories 459 459 463 467
b. Trade Receivables 13,257 11,469 14,017 11,241
5. Total Assets 26,183 26,226 29,180 27,530
6. Current Liabilities 5,267 5,958 8,494 6,138
a. Trade Payables 5,144 5,943 7,491 5,941
7. Borrowings 1,928 1,294 4,010 5,295
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 0 87 68 51
10. Net Assets 18,988 18,886 16,609 16,047
11. Shareholders' Equity 18,988 18,886 16,609 16,047
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 13,233 22,527 23,335 23,736
a. Cost of Good Sold (10,315) (17,674) (20,135) (20,718)
2. Gross Profit 2,918 4,854 3,200 3,018
a. Operating Expenses (115) (156) (140) (132)
3. Operating Profit 2,803 4,698 3,060 2,886
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 19 (372) (285) (29)
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 2,821 4,326 2,775 2,856
a. Total Finance Cost (112) (789) (1,172) (833)
b. Taxation 0 (10) 0 0
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 2,709 3,527 1,603 2,023
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 3,223 7,526 3,557 3,392
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 3,223 7,526 2,734 2,837
c. Changes in Working Capital (2,731) (764) (2,915) 1,306
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 492 6,762 (181) 4,143
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 1,526 (274) 2,867 (2,831)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (2,073) (5,600) (1,484) (822)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (55) 888 1,202 490
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) -21.7% -3.5% -1.7% 103.9%
b. Gross Profit Margin 22.0% 21.5% 13.7% 12.7%
c. Net Profit Margin 20.5% 15.7% 6.9% 8.5%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 3.7% 30.0% 2.8% 19.8%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 19.0% 17.7% 9.9% 13.0%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 265 214 205 191
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 151 105 100 103
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.5
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 72.0 21.2 3.9 5.1
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 72.2 23.9 3.8 5.1
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 9.2% 6.4% 19.4% 24.8%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 215.5 17.8 103.4 107.5
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 4.2% 8.2% 19.8% 11.9%

Jun-25

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Jun-25

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