Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
02-Dec-24 A A2 Developing Maintain -
01-Dec-23 A A2 Stable Maintain -
01-Dec-22 A A2 Stable Initial -
About the Entity

MEL was incorporated as a public unlisted company in Pakistan on August 19, 2012. In November 2023, MEL was acquired by MISIL and became a wholly owned subsidiary. Subsequently, on June 13, 2024, MEL was listed on the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) Board of the Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited (PSX), with a free float share of 10%. The Board is chaired by Mr. Mirza Javed Iqbal, who brings over four decades of experience in the steel and iron industry. The CEO, Mr. Khurram Javed, has been actively involved in the family business and supported by a team of experienced professionals with the necessary technical expertise and industry knowledge.

Rating Rationale

Mughal Energy Limited ("MEL" or "the Company") is a subsidiary of Mughal Iron & Steel Industries Limited (MISIL). The Company is in the process of installing a 36.5 MW hybrid captive power plant can operate on Mix of indigenous and imported Coal, and Bark, primarily intended to supply electricity to MISIL. MEL has been granted a 30-year generation license by the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA), effective from the Commercial Operation Date (COD). The project's total estimated cost is approx. PKR 6.5bln, with financing planned through a 65:35 debt-to-equity ratio. The Company has already secured the plant equipment and land for the site using equity contributions from the sponsors, effectively reducing procurement risks. Debt financing is designated for the installation and testing of the plant for commercial operations. Off-take risk is mitigated by a long-term power purchase agreement already signed with MISIL. The Company has engaged local contractors for civil work, installation, fabrication, and testing at the site, with an estimated timeline of 14 months for completion. The plant is expected to be commissioned within 18 months from the construction start that was October 2023. However, this timeline may extend, given the current progress report indicating that MEL has achieved 36.5% progress compared to the planned 46%. Local EPC insulates against risk of foreign EPC's travel risk. As of November 2024, the civil work is nearing completion, and installation is expected to begin soon. The Company is currently in the process of securing the remaining funds through a long-term Sukuk issuance of PKR 2.5bln. Once operational, the MEL plant will enable MISIL to leverage in-house power generation, resulting in reduced electricity costs. Consequently, this will enhance margins by lowering overall production costs—a critical advantage for MISIL. The “Developing Outlook” reflecting the ongoing process of securing the required financing and highlights the period until the plant's commissioning. The sponsor has approved corporate guarantees with a limit of PKR 6bln in favor of MEL to secure financing for a five-year period. As of September 30, 2024, MISIL has issued guarantees amounting to PKR 1.539bln under this approved limit.

Key Rating Drivers

The ratings are contingent upon the management's ability to meet completion milestones. However, the assigned ratings take into account the strength and business acumen of the group. Going forward, the timely achievement of the COD, as per the expected milestones, remains crucial to uphold the assigned ratings.

Profile
Plant

Mughal Energy Limited ("MEL" or "the Company") is in process of installing a 36.5MW hybrid captive power plant located at 17-km on Lahore- Sheikhupura Road, Punjab that will supply electricity to the Mughal Iron & Steel Industries Limited (MISIL) and its associated entities.

Tariff

The bulk supply tariff was initially set at PKR 29.8131/kWh for the three Bulk Purchasing Companies (BPCs) of the Mughal Group. However, the actual tariff will be finalized upon the plant's commencement of commercial operations. This final tariff will ensure the recovery of operating costs, interest expenses, asset depreciation, a reasonable return on investment, and any other capital costs or loans.

Return on Project

Return on the project is yet to be finalized.

Ownership
Ownership Structure

MEL was incorporated as a public unlisted company in Pakistan on August 19, 2012. Later, in an Extraordinary General Meeting (EOGM) held on September 19, 2023, members of the MISIL approved the acquisition of 174.692mln fully paid ordinary shares and 22.570mln fully paid Class-B shares of MEL for a total consideration of PKR 3,150mln. This acquisition resulted in MEL became a wholly owned subsidiary of MISIL. Subsequently, on May 23, 2024, MEL was listed on the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) Board of the Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited (PSX), with a free float of 10%. The primary reasons for this listing are to ensure compliance with the Code of Corporate Governance applicable to listed companies, and prepare for eventual listing on the main Trading Board of PSX in the near future.

Stability

The stability of ownership is supported by the Company’s role as a captive power generation unit. Once operational, it will provide an uninterrupted power supply to the group companies at favorable rates, contributing to cost efficiencies and supporting margins. This key role within the Group underscores the stability of its ownership.

Business Acumen

MISIL is one of the leading companies of Pakistan in the iron and steel sector. The Company is involved in multidimensional activities from making Billets of Mild Steel, Spring Steel, Deformed bars, Re-bar, Cold Twisted Rebar and huge range of sections such as I. Beams, C. Section, H. Beam, T. Bar etc. in the downstream industry. The sponsors have demonstrated strong business acumen through their timely diversification and adoption of advanced technologies. This strategic approach reflects their deep understanding of market dynamics and has enabled them to navigate challenging economic conditions effectively.

Financial Strength

The sponsor's financial soundness is deemed strong, evidenced by their demonstrated commitment to the Company. The sponsors have already secured the plant equipment and land for the site through equity contributions. Additionally, their approval of corporate guarantees totaling PKR 6bln in favor of MEL to secure financing for a five-year period further underscores their financial strength.

Governance
Board Structure

The Board of Directors (BoD) comprises seven members, primarily from the sponsoring family, including both the Chairman and the CEO. The board includes two Executive Directors and five Non-Executive Directors, with no independent oversight present.

Members' Profile

Mr. Mirza Javed Iqbal serves as the Chairman of the Board of Directors (BoD). With over four decades of experience in the steel and iron industry, he has been actively involved in the family business since 1976. He also holds the position of Chairman at MISIL. Mr. Khurram Javaid, the Chief Executive Officer of MEL, serve as Executive Director. The Non-Executive Directors include Mr. Jamshed Iqbal, Mr. Mateen Jamshed, Mr. Muhammad Sayyam, and Mr. Waleed bin Tariq. Each board member brings a wealth of diverse experience and offers strategic guidance to the Company.

Board Effectiveness

The Company has two board committees in place: (i) Audit and (ii) Human Resource & Remuneration. Each committee comprises three members, all of whom are non-executive directors. Both committees are chaired by Mr. Mirza Javed Iqbal. The attendance of board members at meetings has been satisfactory.

Financial Transparency

Muniff Ziauddin & Co. Chartered Accountants is the external auditor of the Company and they have expressed an unqualified opinion on the financial statements for the year ended on 30th June, 2024. In addition to the annual financials, as a listed company, MEL also publishes its duly reviewed and approved quarterly results, along with the directors' comments on the Company's performance, on the PSX in a timely manner.

Management
Organizational Structure

Currently, the Company has a basic organizational structure with clear lines of reporting in place. The CFO and COO report to the CEO, who in turn reports to the BoD. The Company Secretary reports directly to the BoD. The COO is responsible for overseeing operational matters related to plant installation and supervising construction activities, while the CFO manages financial matters, ensuring effective financial oversight across the Company. As the Company begins its operations, the organizational structure will evolve further to meet the growing needs.

Management Team

Mr. Khurram Javed, the CEO of MEL, also serves as the Group CEO of Mughal Group. He leads multiple entities within the group, including MISIL, Mughal Steel Re-Rolling Industries Limited, Mughal International IMPEX Limited, and Indus Engineering (Private) Limited. He holds over a decade of professional experience and an MBA from Coventry University, Mr. Javed is supported by a team of experienced professionals including: Mr. Shakeel Ahmed, Chief Operating Officer (COO); Mr. Zafar Iqbal, Chief Financial Officer (CFO); and Mr. Fahad Hafeez, Company Secretary. These leaders, also hold key positions within the group companies, work alongside experienced teams to ensure smooth operations equipped with necessary technical skills and relevant industry experience.

Effectiveness

The management, under the leadership of the BoD, demonstrates effectiveness through its hands-on approach to the Company’s operations. By actively overseeing critical tasks such as procurement of plant, equipment installation, opening Letters of Credit, and arranging funds, the management ensures smooth operational workflows. This coordinated effort underscores the team's commitment to achieving the company's targets.

Oversight of Third-Party Service Providers

The Company has awarded the installation and construction contract for the plant to local contractors with a good reputation in the industry. The contractors bring significant and relevant experience to the table, showcasing their proficiency in similar projects. Regular meetings are conducted to assess and track the contractors' performance, allowing for timely completion and corrective actions if needed.

Completion Risk
Engineering and Procurement

The Company has procured a used coal power plant, along with all necessary equipment, including the main and auxiliary boilers, two turbines, generators, and supplementary equipment, all of which are available on-site. A groundbreaking ceremony was held in October 2023, during which the EPC contract was awarded to Izhar Construction for civil work, installation, fabrication, and testing of the plant.

Power Purchase Agreement

MEL has awarded a 30-year generation license from the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA), effective from the Commercial Operation Date (COD). A Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) has been finalized between MEL and MISIL, under which MISIL will pay MEL a tariff of PKR 29.8131/kWh.

Pre-Commissioning Progress

The total duration for civil work, mechanical installation, piping (MIP), and testing will be completed in fourteen (14) months from the start of work. The work is divided into three phases: Phase I: Civil work, which will take twelve (12) months, Phase II: Mechanical installation and piping (MIP), which will take nine (9) months and Phase III: Testing, cold commissioning, and trials, which will take three (3) months. Phase I commenced in November 2023. Civil and mechanical designs have been completed, and civil construction and MIP are currently underway. Testing, cold commissioning, and trials are yet to begin. The plant is capable of operating on both local and imported coal; the Company is in the process of finalizing its coal supply agreement for sourcing coal.

Performance Default Risk

The Company has already procured the necessary equipment, effectively reducing procurement risks. The civil work contract has been awarded to a reputable and experienced contractor, significantly minimizing construction risks. However, the delay in the COD of the MEL may result in a delay in the benefits to MISIL, such as electricity procurement at competitive rates, which would help reduce production costs and support the margins of MISIL.

Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics

In FY 2024, Pakistan's power generation declined by 1.9%, totaling 127,160 GWh, marking the second consecutive year of reduced output. This decline was driven by high electricity costs, rising inflation, and lower economic activity. The country's power generation remains heavily reliant on thermal and hydel sources, which contributed approximately 45% and 31%, respectively, in FY 2024. The share of nuclear energy has notably increased to around 19% in FY 2024, while renewable energy sources continue to make up a modest 5% of the total generation. Due to high electricity prices, key industrial sectors such as sugar, textiles, steel, and cement have been shifting to alternative energy sources, including captive power plants (thermal, solar, and more recently wind-based generation) to supply energy to their facilities. Captive power plants not only help reduce electricity costs but also ensure a continuous and reliable supply of electricity without outages.

Operation and Maintenance

O & M contract remains with Izhar Construction for 2 years after COD.

Resource Risk

The plant can operate on both local and imported coal. The Company has yet to finalize its coal supply agreement and is currently considering options, including signing an agreement with Sindh Lakhra Coal Mining or sourcing coal from Afghanistan. However, the final agreements will be concluded closer to the testing phase of the plant, taking into account the most favorable solution.

Performance Benchmark

The minimum required performance benchmark yet to be finalized.

Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis

The total estimated cost for the installation and procurement of the plant, including land acquisition, is PKR 6.5bln. This will be financed through a combination of debt and equity, with an approximate ratio of 65:35. The sponsors have already contributed PKR 2.4bln through equity in form of land and basic plant equipment, and the remaining funding will be raised through local borrowings. The Company plans to secure PKR 4.1bln to finance the plant's erection. To date, PKR 300mln in debt has been secured from PAIR Investment Company Limited, and PKR 150mln from Parwaaz Financial Services Limited. Additionally, MISIL has secured a one-year running finance facility of up to PKR 800mln from Pak Libya and lend it to MEL. The Company has also established letters of credit for importing ancillary equipment, valued at PKR 500mln, through MCB Bank. Furthermore, the Company is in the process of issuing a long-term Sukuk worth PKR 2.5bln to cover the remaining amount.

Liquidity Profile

Since MEL is still under construction and has not yet commenced operations, there is no liquidity profile available at this time. Currently, the cash on hand consists of debt drawn to complete the plant's development.

Working Capital Financing

The Company is currently in the construction phase, so there is no immediate need for working capital. However, once operations begin, short-term borrowings will be required to procure coal, the major raw material for MEL's operations. It is expected that working capital will be managed through a combination of internal cash flow generation and bank borrowings.

Cash Flow Analysis

Once operational, MEL's cash flow is expected to come from the sale of electricity at an agreed tariff to other group companies.

Capitalization

As of September 2024, the Company's long-term debt amounted to PKR 422 million, while short-term debt stood at PKR 791 million. The short-term loan is expected to be reclassified as long-term in the second quarter of FY25. Repayment of the loan has already commenced, with the sponsors making the payments, as the Company is not yet operational. In 1QFY25, the Company's leverage stands at ~32%.As of September 2024, the Company's long-term debt amounted to PKR 422mln, while short-term debt stood at PKR 791mln. The short-term loan is expected to be reclassified as long-term in the second quarter of FY25.Repayment of the loan has already commenced, with the sponsors making the payments, as the Company is not yet operational. In 1QFY25, the Company's leverage stands at ~32%.

 
 

Dec-24

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Sep-24
3M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Jun-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 4,661 4,465 3,052 1,672
2. Investments 0 0 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 512 678 339 154
a. Inventories 0 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 0 0 0 0
5. Total Assets 5,174 5,142 3,390 1,826
6. Current Liabilities 79 116 9 10
a. Trade Payables 43 77 0 0
7. Borrowings 1,213 1,193 300 0
8. Related Party Exposure 427 377 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 0 0 0 0
10. Net Assets 3,455 3,456 3,081 1,816
11. Shareholders' Equity 3,455 3,456 3,081 1,816
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 0 0 0 0
a. Cost of Good Sold 0 0 0 0
2. Gross Profit 0 0 0 0
a. Operating Expenses (2) (23) (33) (15)
3. Operating Profit (2) (23) (33) (15)
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 1 4 6 6
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax (1) (19) (28) (9)
a. Total Finance Cost (0) (0) (0) (0)
b. Taxation 0 0 0 0
6. Net Income Or (Loss) (1) (19) (28) (9)
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) (2) (20) (36) (18)
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes (68) (91) (51) (18)
c. Changes in Working Capital (48) (112) (137) (115)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (115) (204) (188) (133)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (131) (1,316) (300) (873)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 70 1,664 529 878
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (176) 145 40 (128)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) N/A N/A N/A N/A
b. Gross Profit Margin N/A N/A N/A N/A
c. Net Profit Margin N/A N/A N/A N/A
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) N/A N/A N/A N/A
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] N/A N/A N/A N/A
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) N/A N/A N/A N/A
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) N/A N/A N/A N/A
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 6.5 5.8 37.5 14.8
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost N/A N/A N/A N/A
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB -0.0 -0.1 N/A N/A
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) -182.3 -49.6 -8.3 0.0
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 32.2% 31.2% 8.9% 0.0%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) N/A N/A N/A N/A
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% #DIV/0!

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