Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
31-Dec-24 BBB A2 Stable Initial -
14-Oct-24 Suspended -
13-Oct-23 BBB A2 Stable Maintain -
14-Oct-22 BBB A2 Stable Maintain -
14-Oct-21 BBB A2 Positive Maintain -
About the Entity

Jhulay Lal Parboiled Rice Mills is a partnership firm run by Mr. Gurmukh Das and Mr. Ramesh Kumar. The two partners share an equal stake in the Company. Mr. Gurmukh Das, is an experienced entrepreneur. He is an MBA in Marketing from SZABIST University. Mr. Das was formerly working in Faysal Bank before being involved in the Rice Business and now is the main face of Jhulay Lal.

Rating Rationale

The rice sector is pivotal to Pakistan's economy, contributing approximately 3.5% to agricultural value addition and 0.7% to GDP. In FY24, Pakistan’s rice exports reached an unprecedented milestone, generating $3.93 billion in foreign exchange (up from $2.1 billion in FY23) and exporting around 6 million tons. India’s temporary export ban largely facilitated this significant rise. Non-basmati rice dominated export volumes, contributing about 88% of total shipments by quantity, driven by affordability and alignment with international cuisine preferences. Nonetheless, the increasing number of rice consignment interceptions in the EU, triggered by the flagging of a shipment of Pakistan’s organic Basmati rice for GMO contamination, poses a business risk.
In FY24, Jhulay Lal Parboiled Rice Mill (‘Jhulay Lal’ or ‘the Company’) recorded a remarkable 5x revenue growth, according to management's provisional figures (subject to audit completion). This exceptional performance was driven by a substantial increase in volumetric sales, supported by favorable market dynamics. The Company's strategic emphasis on its non-basmati rice segment, a key component of its product portfolio, facilitated successful expansion into new markets. However, the sustainability of this growth is contingent upon the continuation of favorable external conditions and the Company’s ability to diversify its portfolio and maintain competitive pricing. The assigned ratings also reflect the inherent cyclicality associated with rice, a globally traded commodity, where fluctuations in its availability significantly influence the business risk profile.
Despite a positive revenue trajectory, Jhulay Lal faces profitability pressures primarily due to a significant increase in finance costs during the review period. Elevated interest rates have compressed margins, eroded cost buffers, and contracted profit margins. However, with interest rates expected to trend lower in the near term, potential relief may provide a much-needed cushion to improve profitability and enhance cash flow resilience.
Working capital efficiency has markedly improved, evidenced by a shorter inventory holding period and a streamlined receivables cycle. Financial coverage metrics indicate increased vulnerability to rising financing costs, necessitating vigilant cash flow and liquidity management. Jhulay Lal’s capital structure remains moderately leveraged, with short-term borrowings constituting the entirety of its debt. Furthermore, the sponsor's exceptional business acumen and the Company's Long standing history provide added comfort to the ratings.

Key Rating Drivers

The ratings are dependent upon the sustenance of business volumes under the current challenging environment. As global economy undergoes distress, business sustainability emerges as the key challenge for the exporters. Meanwhile, keeping up with a stable financial risk profile, with an increased emphasis on working capital management, remains imperative for ratings.

Profile
Legal Structure

Jhulay Lal Parboiled Rice Mills (Jhulay Lal or 'the business') is a partnership firm established in 2011.

Background

Mr. Gurmukh Das, one of the two sponsors of Jhulay Lal, served as the AVP of Faysal bank. He resigned from the job and entered into a partnership business with his brother, Mr. Ramesh Kumar, later in 2010. The business was formerly operated by their father Mr. Megho Mal.

Operations

Jhulay Lal operates as a key player in the rice processing and sales sector. The company’s infrastructure comprises two strategically located facilities equipped for husking, polishing, and processing rice paddy. The first facility, situated in Golarchi, Badin, focuses exclusively on paddy processing, while the second facility at Port Qasim, Karachi, is designed to handle both paddy and processed rice, enhancing operational flexibility. With a rated processing capacity of 60 metric tons per hour, the company achieved a utilization rate of ~57% during FY24. This level of utilization reflects Jhulay Lal's ability to effectively manage its resources while responding to market demand, ensuring operational efficiency and business continuity.

Ownership
Ownership Structure

Mr. Gurmukh Das and Mr. Ramesh Kumar are the two owners of Jhulay Lal having an equal stake in the business.

Stability

There is no change in the ownership structure of Jhulay Lal since its inception. The ownership structure is expected to remain stable for a foreseeable period.

Business Acumen

Both Mr. Gurmukh Das and Mr. Ramesh Kumar are experienced professionals of the industry. Mr. Gurmukh has developed a strong understanding of the export market as they have a presence in ~11 countries whereas Mr. Ramesh Kumar is responsible for looking into the matters pertaining to Jhulay Lal's plant site and the management.

Financial Strength

Owners of Jhulay Lal also own CNG stations, agricultural land and property in different cities. The other investment ventures are producing good cash flow streams for the sponsors. Owner’s ability and willingness to support the business in the time of need is considered adequate.

Governance
Board Structure

As a partnership firm, Jhulay Lal does not have a formal governance structure. The absence of formal governance framework poses a significant risk to sustainability and reflects a lack of independent oversight.

Members’ Profile

The owners of the business are experienced professionals and have been involved in the same business for decades.

Board Effectiveness

Jhulay Lal does not have any board committees. The establishment of the Board committees is essential for the improvement of the overall governance structure.

Financial Transparency

Jhulay Lal's external auditors are A.G. HABIB & CO. Neither does the Audit firm satisfy the QCR ratings nor it has a listing in the State Bank of Pakistan’s Panel of Auditors. The auditors issued an unqualified opinion on Jhulay Lal’s financial statements for FY23.

Management
Organizational Structure

Jhulay Lal has a lean and limited organizational structure. Sponsors of the business are actively involved in the management of the business. Mr. Megho Mal is also actively engaged in the business separately at the plant, he does not hold any formal position in the organogram though.

Management Team

Both directors are assisted by Mr. Fakhrudin Majal and Mr. Shakeel Ahmed who are designated as Head of Accounts and Head of Exports respectively.

Effectiveness

Currently, Jhulay Lal does not have any formal management committees. All pertinent issues are resolved by the partners themselves.

MIS

Jhulay Lal uses internally generated software as its main software for the preparation of financial accounts.

Control Environment

The business does not has an internal audit function.

Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

Industry insights indicate a landmark achievement for Pakistani rice exporters, who amassed an unprecedented $3.93 billion in foreign exchange during FY24, exporting approximately 6 million tons of rice. This exceptional performance was propelled by India’s temporary export ban following a shortfall in its rice crop, creating a strategic opportunity for Pakistan to strengthen its competitive foothold in the global market. With India as a principal competitor, Pakistan adeptly leveraged this opening to expand its market presence and maximize export revenues.

Relative Position

The business has a strong presence in the country's rice market. The business is committed to improving its foothold in foreign countries.

Revenues

Jhulay Lal’s sales composition remains heavily concentrated in IRRI-6 non-basmati rice, which constitutes approximately 80% of its portfolio, with basmati rice making up the remaining 20%. In FY24, the company reported a substantial revenue increase, reaching PKR 35,023 million a fivefold rise from FY23’s PKR 5,804 million. Export sales contributing 54.9% (PKR 19.23 billion) and local sales accounting for 45.1% (PKR 15.80 billion). Export revenue was geographically diversified, with 65.3% of exports directed to Africa and 34.7% to Asia, reflecting a strong presence across key international markets. This remarkable revenue growth is primarily driven by a surge in volumetric sales, as Jhulay Lal capitalized on market openings following India’s export ban. The company's ability to expand into new markets and respond to heightened demand has strengthened its revenue base. However, the sustainability of this growth remains contingent on the continued availability of favorable market conditions and the company’s capacity to maintain competitive positioning. This impressive yet concentrated growth trajectory warrants careful observation, particularly as any shifts in market dynamics or competitive pressures could impact future revenue stability and, consequently, the company’s credit profile.

Margins

Jhulay Lal’s recent financial performance indicates a notable decline in profitability, warranting close monitoring. The gross profit margin contracted to 5.7%, down from 12.0%, primarily due to heightened cost pressures. This reduction in gross margin signals a diminished buffer against cost volatility. Furthermore, the operating profit margin fell to 5.2% from 9.7%, reflecting operational challenges that could impact future cash flows. The PBIT margin also decreased to 5.3% from 10.5%, suggesting a constrained capacity to absorb additional costs before interest obligations. The decline in net profit margin to 2.6% from 3.1% further underscores the strain on overall profitability, potentially impacting liquidity and debt-servicing capacity.

Sustainability

Jhulay Lal’s strategic initiatives reflect a proactive approach to diversifying and strengthening its revenue streams. The company is committed to expanding its distribution network across the African market, where it currently has a presence in 11 countries, signaling its ambition to deepen market penetration. Additionally, the establishment of a dedicated distribution entity, Monarda, in Hong Kong enhances its logistical capabilities and positions it well to tap into Asian demand. Moreover, Jhulay Lal’s focus on exporting value-added by-products aligns with its goal to drive revenue growth through product diversification. Its exploration of maize trading opportunities in Asian markets further indicates a willingness to broaden its agricultural portfolio. These steps underscore the company’s commitment to revenue diversification, which could support financial stability and enhance its credit profile. However, successful execution will depend on Jhulay Lal’s ability to manage operational risks and navigate competitive pressures in these new ventures.

Financial Risk
Working capital

Jhulay Lal’s working capital requirements arise primarily from the need to finance inventories and trade receivables, for which the company depends on a mix of internal cash flows and short-term borrowings, notably the Export Refinancing Facility (ERF). In FY24, Jhulay Lal achieved a substantial reduction in net working capital days to approximately 54 days, down from 269 days in the prior period. This improvement is largely attributed to a significantly shortened inventory holding period, which decreased to 31 days from 123 days, and a streamlined receivables cycle, reduced to 24 days from 148 days. Despite these positive trends in working capital efficiency, the lack of trade payables leverage (remaining at 0 days, previously 2 days) may limit the company's flexibility in managing cash flows through supplier financing. Nevertheless, the current working capital structure suggests ample capacity for short-term borrowing if needed, with a leaner balance between cash inflows and outflows. However, maintaining this level of efficiency will be crucial to preserving creditworthiness and managing any potential strains on cash flow amid market volatility.

Coverages

During FY24, Jhulay Lal's financial coverage ratios indicate some strain in its ability to meet financial obligations. The EBITDA-to-finance cost ratio has declined to 1.4x from 2.7x, reflecting a decrease in the company’s operating profitability relative to its interest expenses. Similarly, the FCFO-to-finance cost ratio has dropped to 1.4x from 2.6x, signaling weakened cash flow coverage for finance costs. This reduction in coverage ratios highlights increased financial risk, particularly in an competitive environment . The company's FCFO growth for the period stands at 16.1%, up from 11.8%. However, despite this growth in operating cash flow, the core coverage ratios have not kept pace due to rising finance costs. These declining coverage ratios suggest potential vulnerabilities in Jhulay Lal's financial structure, underscoring the importance of improved cash flow management and reducing finance costs to stabilize its credit profile.

Capitalization

Company’s capital structure remains highly leveraged, with leverage at 49.2% in FY24, a slight increase from 48% in FY23. The company’s borrowings are entirely short-term, comprising approximately 100% of total debt, consistent with the prior year. However, it is worth noting that the company has benefited from the State Bank of Pakistan’s concessionary rates, which have mitigated borrowing costs and provided some relief on interest expenses. Sustained reliance on short-term debt could impact the company’s financial flexibility and elevate liquidity risk if concessional financing options are reduced or withdrawn.

 
 

Dec-24

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Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Jun-22
12M
Management Audited Audited
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 1,396 1,348 963
2. Investments 0 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 8,781 5,755 6,529
a. Inventories 3,677 2,191 1,679
b. Trade Receivables 3,563 1,018 3,633
5. Total Assets 10,178 7,103 7,492
6. Current Liabilities 988 160 145
a. Trade Payables 82 9 41
7. Borrowings 4,519 3,335 3,878
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 0 0 0
10. Net Assets 4,670 3,608 3,470
11. Shareholders' Equity 4,670 3,608 3,470
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 35,023 5,742 11,882
a. Cost of Good Sold (33,044) (5,051) (10,950)
2. Gross Profit 1,979 691 931
a. Operating Expenses (170) (133) (113)
3. Operating Profit 1,809 558 819
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 36 45 36
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 1,845 602 854
a. Total Finance Cost (754) (367) (290)
b. Taxation (178) (56) (97)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 913 179 467
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 1,091 940 840
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 1,091 500 550
c. Changes in Working Capital 0 (1,906) 47
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 1,091 (1,407) 598
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 0 0 (203)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 0 0 (160)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 1,091 (1,407) 235
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 510.0% -51.7% 107.8%
b. Gross Profit Margin 5.7% 12.0% 7.8%
c. Net Profit Margin 2.6% 3.1% 3.9%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 3.1% -16.8% 7.5%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 22.1% 5.1% 14.3%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 54 271 168
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 54 269 167
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 8.9 35.9 44.9
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 1.4 2.7 3.2
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 1.4 2.6 2.9
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 0.0 0.0 0.0
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 49.2% 48.0% 52.8%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 76.7 140.2 79.8
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 19.2% 10.2% 7.1%

Dec-24

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