Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
22-Nov-24 BBB- A3 Stable Maintain YES
22-Nov-23 BBB- A3 Stable Maintain YES
22-Nov-22 BBB- A3 Stable Maintain YES
27-Jun-22 BBB- A3 Negative Maintain YES
28-Jun-21 BBB- A3 Negative Maintain YES
About the Entity

Chanar Energy was incorporated in 2014 as an independent power producer. The EPA between the Company and the Power Purchaser was signed in Apr'2017. The term of EPA anticipates expected useful life of plant at 30 Years from its COD. The plant achieved its COD in Feb'2019. The Company is majorly owned by Mr. Javed Ahmad Kayani and his family. The Company's Board of Directors consists of four members, all from the Kayani family. Mr. Javed Ahmad Kayani serves as both the Chairman of the Board and the CEO, leading the Company.

Rating Rationale

Chanar Energy Limited ('Chanar Energy' or the 'Company') operates a 22MW co-generation bagasse-based, a renewable energy, power plant with a net rated capacity of 20MW, producing both electricity and steam. Sustainable business profile of Chanar Energy emanates from the demand risk coverage under Energy Purchase Agreement signed with CPPA-G and ‘Bagasse supply and Steam Purchase Agreement’ with Chanar Sugar Mills Limited (CSML), a related entity. This model creates synergy and higher efficiency gains between IPP and sugar mill. Previously, the Company faced challenges in procuring bagasse from third parties due to pricing differences. However, following NEPRA's August 2024 decision to index bagasse prices to coal, the Fuel Cost Component (FCC) was adjusted to PKR 12.4788/KWh from Oct'23 to Sep'24, with a bagasse price of PKR 6,187/ton against previous allowed tariff of PKR 2,805/ ton. Going forward, the Company plans to source raw materials from third parties, benefiting from favorable tariff revisions, which is also expected to contribute positively to the margins. In FY24, the Company generated 26,633 MWh of electricity, down from 41,050 MWh in FY23. This decline was due to technical issues in CSML's crushing operations, which reduced bagasse availability. The Company's turnover increased to PKR 1,219mln (FY23: PKR 912mln), despite a decline in generation. This increase is attributable to prior and current tariff adjustments amounting to PKR 842mln billed to CPPA-G, along with PKR 32.5mln from steam sales to CSML. The Company has a project debt of PKR 2,200 million, repayable in 40 quarterly installments, with 22 installments successfully paid to date. The Company meets its working capital requirements through internal cash flows and support from CSML, which extends payment terms for bagasse supplies and provides loans when needed. The Company has not utilized any short-term borrowing lines and remains confident in its liquidity, driven by timely recoveries from CPPA-G to service upcoming debt obligations.

Key Rating Drivers

The ratings are dependent on Chanar Energy’s ability to sustain its business and financial profile; any deterioration in margins, leading to weak coverages and pressure on liquidity, will have a negative impact on ratings. Rating Watch signifies the prevailing uncertainty pertinent to the Company’s financial muscles, and timely debt servicing. Financial support from sponsors remains imperative in the long term. Moreover, any changes in the current regulatory structure may impact the ratings.

Profile
Plant

Chanar Energy Limited ('Chanar Energy' or the 'Company') operates a 22MW co-generation bagasse-based power plant, with a net rated capacity of 20MW near Faisalabad, adjacent to Chanar Sugar Mill Limited (CSML). The plant is capable of supplying both electricity and steam.

Tariff

Chanar Energy's key source of earnings is the revenue generated through sale of electricity to the power purchaser, CPPA-G and sale of steam to related company, Chanar Sugar Mill Limited ('CSML'). The levelized upfront tariff for the sale of electricity to the power purchaser decided by NEPRA is US cents10.5601/KWh. Currently, the tariff for the quarter Oct-Dec 2024 excluding Fuel Cost Component ('FCC') stands at PKR 9.3491/KWh. The FCC since 2018 stood at PKR 5.9822/KWh, marking the price of bagasse fixed at PKR 2,966/ton. However, as bagasse prices have fluctuated alongside sugarcane costs, Chanar Energy, along with its peers, requested an FCC adjustment from October 1, 2018, to September 30, 2024. NEPRA, after considering all aspects, approved the retrospective adjustment on September 23, 2024. As a result, the FCC was indexed to coal, leading to an increase to PKR 12.4788/kWh for the period from October 2023 to September 2024, with the bagasse price at PKR 6,187/ton.

Return on Project

Pursuant to the Master Agreement signed on 12 February, 2021, the Company agreed to discounts in tariff components specifically in Return on Equity (ROE). The ROE component has been discounted to 12% (previously 17%) for the next five years with further indexation allowed against US $. Moreover, on the date of fifth anniversary of execution of Master Agreement the ROE shall be changed to 17% calculated at PKR 168/USD, with no future indexation.

Ownership
Ownership Structure

The Company's majority of shareholding resides with Mr. Javed Ahmad Kayani (60%). Other shares of the Company are held by his family members, Ms. Atiya Kayani (10%), Mr. Murtaza Feroze Kayani (10%), Mr. Hamza Feroze Kayani (10%), Ms. Tayyaba Kayani (5%) and related company, Chanar Sugar Mills Limited -CSML (5%).

Stability

The ownership structure of the Company has been stable historically, with no anticipated changes. However, as a family-owned business with Mr. Kiyani holding significant control, this concentration of authority could undermine stability, especially if leadership transitions are not managed effectively due to the lack of formal succession planning.

Business Acumen

Chanar Group; the foundation of the group was laid with the establishment of CSML in 1990 with further diversification into power sector. The Group is led by Mr. Javed Ahmad Kayani, an experienced entrepreneur with over 20 years in the industry. His strategic insight into market trends and operational efficiency has driven the Group's continued growth and adaptability. Under his leadership, CSML has implemented innovative measures, such as using bagasse for energy production, which has effectively lowered operational costs.

Financial Strength

CSML, consistently provides financial support to the Company by offering loans and extending payment terms for bagasse supplies, the main raw material for electricity generation. This ongoing assistance, granted at the owners' discretion, has enabled the Company to manage its working capital requirements without relying on banking lines. It demonstrates the sponsor's ability and willingness to assist the Company during challenging times.

Governance
Board Structure

The Company's Board of Directors (BoD) consists of four members, including the CEO, Mr. Javed Ahmad Kayani, who also serves as the Chairman of the Board. The Board members are all from the Kayani family: Mr. Javed Ahmad Kayani, Ms. Atiya Kayani (his wife), Mr. Murtaza Feroz Kayani, and Mr. Hamza Feroz Kayani. As a private entity, the Company is not required to adhere to the formal code of corporate governance, resulting in the absence of independent oversight.

Members’ Profile

Mr. Javed Ahmad Kayani, the "man at the last mile" of the Chanar Group, has been integral to the Company's success since its inception. He has also served as Chairman of the Pakistan Sugar Mills Association for multiple terms. Other members of the Kayani family, have been on the Company's Board since its inception, they also serve on the CSML Board, providing strong leadership and strategic guidance to the Group.

Board Effectiveness

There are no subcommittees and independent directors on the Board of the Company indicating room for improvement. However, for effective oversight of the matters of the Company, board discussions are held regularly where important matters related to the Company are discussed.

Financial Transparency

BDO Ebrahim & Co. are the external auditors of the Company who expressed an unqualified opinion on the Company’s financial statements for the period ended 30 June, 2024.

Management
Organizational Structure

The Company has a clear organizational structure with the CFO and GM Plant reporting directly to the CEO. It also maintains an in-house team of professional engineers responsible for managing the operations and maintenance of the plant.

Management Team

Mr. Javed Kayani is the CEO of the Company carrying more than three decades of experience in Sugar & Textile and Power Sectors. Mr. Majid Alvi is serving the Company as its CFO.

Effectiveness

The management is supported by the board, which oversees the plant’s overall performance and ensures optimal effectiveness through regular evaluations, provide guidance, and support in key decision-making for the smooth operations of the Company.

Control Environment

Chanar Energy has an adequate in-house MIS reporting system for monitoring operations and management reporting.

Operational Risk
Power Purchase Agreement

The Company generates revenue primarily from selling electricity to CPPA-G and steam to CSML. According to the Energy Purchase Agreement (EPA) signed in April 2017, the Company receives energy and capacity payments during the season if it meets availability benchmarks, even without demand from CPPA-G. However, no payments are made in the off-season when there is no demand. The EPA defines a 30-year plant life from the Commercial Operations Date (COD), which was achieved in February 2019.

Operation and Maintenance

The Company assumes the Operations & Maintenance (O&M) risk as it does not have a back-to-back agreement with an external service provider. O&M responsibilities are handled internally by a professional team of engineers and staff, who are hired and trained in consultation with the EPC contractor to mitigate potential risks.

Resource Risk

Bagasse is the primary fuel of the co-generative plant. CSML and Chanar Energy has entered in to an agreement of supply of bagasse to the Company. Previously, the Company faced challenges in procuring raw material from third parties due to a significant gap between NEPRA's allowed price which is PKR 2,805 per ton against the market price which ranged from PKR 5,000 to PKR 5,500 per ton. However, in Aug'2024 NEPRA has indexed bagasse against coal for the period Oct'2018 to Sep'2024, ensuring a more equitable pricing mechanism. Post NEPRA decision, currently the Fuel Cost Component (FCC) stood at PKR 12.4788/KWh for the period of Oct23 to Sep24 marking the bagasse price at PKR 6,187/ton. Going forward, the Company is expected to procure raw material from third party.

Insurance Cover

The Company has significant insurance coverage for property damage and business interruption.

Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics

In FY-2024, Pakistan's power generation declined by 1.9%, totaling 127,160 GWh. This marks the second consecutive year of reduced output, driven by elevated electricity costs, rising inflation, and lower economic activity. The Country's power generation remains heavily reliant on thermal and hydel sources, contributing approx. 45% and 31%, respectively, in FY24. The share of nuclear energy has notably increased to approx.19% in FY24, while renewable energy sources continue to constitute a modest 5% of the total generation. Recently, the Government of Pakistan (GoP) resumed negotiations with Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and established a special task force to implement structural reforms in the power sector. The ongoing process aims to lower generation costs and make electricity more affordable, although the outcomes of these negotiations are yet to be seen.

Generation

Chanar Energy has an installed capacity of 182,032 MWh (based on 8,280 hours). During FY24, 26,633 MWh (FY23: 41,050 MWh) of electricity was produced out of which 82% was provided to CPPA-G while 18% was provided to CSML. The reduced generation was primarily due to the technical issue in CSML’s crushing operations, leading to a limited the availability of bagasse, the primary fuel source for Chanar Energy. Due to this setback, the plant remained operational for only 54 days as compared to 108 days in the previous year. Consequently, Chanar Energy had to forgo capacity payments as stipulated in the EPA. During FY24, Chanar Energy recorded a turnover of PKR 1,219 million, up from PKR 912 million in FY23. The increase in revenue, despite lower power generation, was primarily due to prior tariff adjustments amounting to PKR 842 million. Additionally, the revenue includes PKR 32.5 million from steam sales to CSML.

Performance Benchmark

The Company’s profitability is dependent on maintaining operational performance in line with agreed parameters. The Power Purchaser requires an efficiency rate of 24.50%, but in FY24, the Company’s efficiency ranged between 14.5-15%, a decline from 22-22.6% in FY23. The plant's availability should exceed 45%, or 165 operational days; however, in FY24, it was operational for only around 54 days, resulting in an availability of just 15%. Going forward, the management expects to achieve the benchmark availability by running the plant for 180 days. According to management, if the sugar mill operates at optimal capacity during the season, sufficient bagasse for 120 days can be internally sourced, and the FCC's indexation has mitigated the challenges associated with external sourcing.

Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis

The capital structure of the project consists of 25% equity and 75% debt. Chanar Energy's project-related debt was PKR 2,200mln, structured to be repaid in 40 quarterly installments over twelve years, including a two-year grace period, starting from May 2019. Any cost overruns were covered by the sponsors. The debt allowed by CPPA-G was PKR 1,752mln, while the actual debt amounted to PKR 2,200mln. The excess debt of PKR 448mln was secured as a loan backed by an additional guarantee from CSML, using its assets valued at PKR 597mln. As of 1HFY25, the project-related debt stands at PKR 1,502mln, and the Company has successfully repaid 22 quarterly installments due up to August 2024.

Liquidity Profile

As of FY24, Chanar Energy's net cash cycle increased significantly to 98 days from 57 days in FY23. This rise was mainly due to the accumulation of receivables linked to prior FCC adjustments, with receivables reaching PKR 1,010 million at the end of FY24, up from PKR 48 million in June 2023. Consequently, net receivable days surged to 158 days, compared to 42 days the previous year. Despite the extended cash cycle and higher receivables, the Company’s liquidity profile remains stable, indicating effective cash flow management. However, timely payments from the power purchaser remain crucial.

Working Capital Financing

The Company has been meeting its cash requirements through internal cash generation, support from its CSML in the form of extended payment terms for bagasse, and loans from its sponsor when necessary. The Company has not utilized any short-term borrowing lines; however, with the tariff indexation, it may consider utilizing working capital lines in the future.

Cash Flow Analysis

The Company's free cash flows from operations (FCFO) increased and stood at PKR 842mln (FY23: PKR 433mln). The interest cost incurred during FY24 stood at PKR 495mln (FY23: PKR 433mln). Resultantly, the coverages showed a slight improvement and interest coverage stood at 1.7x (FY23: 1.0x) whereas, debt coverage was marked at 1.1x (FY23: 0.6x).

Capitalization

As of FY24, the Company’s leverage stood at approximately 68% (compared to 78% in FY23), consisting solely of long-term debt. With the timely repayment of long-term project debt, the leverage is expected to decrease further.

 
 

Nov-24

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Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Jun-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 2,674 2,774 2,846
2. Investments 5 5 5
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 1,247 577 734
a. Inventories 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 1,010 48 160
5. Total Assets 3,927 3,356 3,586
6. Current Liabilities 1,082 683 586
a. Trade Payables 247 156 338
7. Borrowings 1,502 1,668 1,899
8. Related Party Exposure 433 411 396
9. Non-Current Liabilities 0 0 0
10. Net Assets 909 594 704
11. Shareholders' Equity 909 594 704
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 1,219 912 994
a. Cost of Good Sold (388) (549) (598)
2. Gross Profit 831 363 396
a. Operating Expenses (41) (26) (13)
3. Operating Profit 790 337 383
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 43 (8) (18)
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 833 328 364
a. Total Finance Cost (503) (440) (292)
b. Taxation (15) 2 8
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 315 (110) 81
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 842 433 469
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 504 2 243
c. Changes in Working Capital (708) 120 (45)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (204) 122 198
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 67 34 13
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (148) (177) (91)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (285) (21) 119
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 33.6% -8.3% 33.4%
b. Gross Profit Margin 68.2% 39.8% 39.8%
c. Net Profit Margin 25.9% -12.0% 8.1%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 11.0% 60.7% 42.6%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 37.4% -17.9% 11.5%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 158 42 67
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 98 -57 -39
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1.2 0.8 1.3
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 1.7 1.0 1.6
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 1.1 0.6 0.9
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 5.6 3353.3 12.5
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 68.0% 77.8% 76.5%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 270.8 177.8 0.0
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 25.3% 19.9% 12.3%

Nov-24

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Nov-24

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