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The Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited
Press Release

Date
09-Aug-24

Analyst
Ali Arslan Malik
Ali.Arslan@pacra.com
+92-42-35869504
www.pacra.com

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This press release is being transmitted for the sole purpose of dissemination through print/electronic media. The press release may be used in full or in part without changing the meaning or context thereof with due credit to PACRA

PACRA Maintains the Entity Ratings of National Transmission & Despatch Company Limited

Rating Type Entity
Current
(09-Aug-24 )
Previous
(11-Aug-23 )
Action Maintain Maintain
Long Term AA+ AA+
Short Term A1+ A1+
Outlook Stable Stable
Rating Watch - -

The ratings reflect National Transmission and Despatch Company’s (NTDC) “the Company” ownership structure dominantly owned by the Government of Pakistan (GoP). The Company is of strategic importance to Pakistan as being an autonomous power transmission utility. It is mandated to construct, maintain and operate an integrated network of 220 kV, 500 kV, and above transmission lines and grid stations to evacuate power from an installed generation capacity of over 45,885 MW. NTDC’s low business risk emanates from its leading market position and strong hold on the transmission system in terms of its technical and business expertise. Moreover, the Company’s operational expenses being part of its tariff reflect positively on its performance and business risk profile. During FY 2023-24, NTDC received a total of 133,815 GWh of energy and delivered 130,438 GWh of energy through CDPs all over Pakistan. T&T losses expressed as a percentage of energy received by NTDC were 2.524% for FY 2023-24. The Company's transmission losses are within the limits allowed by NEPRA which is 2.639%. The Company has undertaken and completed multiple projects in FY 2023-24 that will improve transmission efficiency by managing the load. The Multi-Year Tariff (MYT) for Use of System charges by NTDC expired in FY22. On October 28, 2022, Authority permitted NTDC to implement a fixed rate of PKR 235/kW/month for FY23 and beyond. NTDC subsequently submitted a new MYT proposal for the next three years starting from FY23, which will be applied retroactively once approved by the Authority. As MYT is in approval stage, NTDC's topline has decreased slightly compared to the previous year (9MFY24: PKR 52,435mln; 9MFY23: PKR 54,135mln). Additionally, operating costs have surged significantly without a corresponding increase in revenue along with the escalation in finance cost and taxation, leading to a substantial decline in net income which reduced to PKR 458mln in 9MFY24 from PKR 11,702mln in the same period of previous year. With its extensive transmission network spread all over Pakistan, NTDC dominates the electricity transmission industry. Ratings also take into account the Company’s moderate financial risk emanating from sizable equity, an adequate capital structure that comprises mainly of foreign loans relent in Pak Rupee to NTDC and borrowing from the local banks. Furthermore, Company’s in-house working capital management is reflected in strong internal cash generation and constructive management of circular debt by adjusting its receivables with repayments due against foreign loans relent to NTDC by GoP. The Company is in the process of implementing ERP System that aims at achieving business automation in the Company.
Effective management, timely completion of ongoing and upcoming projects and consistency in financial profile and risk matrices as well as approval of MYT remains critical for the ratings. Meanwhile, reconciliation of outstanding adjustments regarding Business Transfer Agreements and sustained competitive positioning are also imperative for ratings.

About the Entity
National Transmission and Despatch Company was incorporated as a Public Unlisted Company on Nov 06, 1998, under the Companies Ordinance 1984 (now Companies Act 2017), with its Head Office in Lahore. After having a Certificate for Commencement of Business, NTDC started its commercial operations on March 01, 1999. NEPRA granted a Transmission License to NTDC in December 2002 to engage in the exclusive transmission business for a term of thirty (30) years. The board of NTDC was reconstituted by the federal government of Pakistan in June 23. Although the positions of Chairman and Managing Director are vacant and are expected to be filled in the near future.

The primary function of PACRA is to evaluate the capacity and willingness of an entity to honor its obligations. Our ratings reflect an independent, professional and impartial assessment of the risks associated with a particular instrument or an entity. PACRA's comprehensive offerings include instrument and entity credit ratings, insurer financial strength ratings, fund ratings, asset manager ratings and real estate gradings. PACRA opinion is not a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold a security, in as much as it does not comment on the security's market price or suitability for a particular investor.