Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
28-Jul-26 AA A1 Stable Preliminary -
About the Instrument

The Company is in the process of issuing a Rated, Unsecured, Privately Placed Short-Term Sukuk of up to PKR 10,000mln, to be disbursed in a single tranche. The proposed Sukuk will have a tenor of up to six (6) months from the Issue Date. The principal will be repaid as a bullet payment at maturity, while profit, priced at 3-month KIBOR minus up to 10bps (subject to final pricing), will be repriced quarterly and paid at maturity. The Sukuk allows optional prepayment by the Company from internal cash flows with prior notice to the Investment Agent and will be inducted into the CDC's Central Depository System (CDS).

Rating Rationale

The ratings reflect National Refinery Limited's ("NRL" or "the Company") position as a strategic pillar of Pakistan's downstream energy sector and a key entity within the diversified Attock Group. NRL's core business comprises the refining of crude oil into High-Speed Diesel (HSD), Motor Gasoline (MS), lube base oils, and a range of other refined petroleum products, catering primarily to the domestic market. Pakistan's refining sector staged a marked operational and financial recovery during 9MFY26, supported by favorable international market dynamics that temporarily widened product crack spreads during the third quarter, resulting in a significant improvement in sector-wide profitability. NRL capitalised on this environment through proactive crude sourcing, a strategic shift toward lighter crude such as Arab Extra Light crude / Umm e Lulu crude etc, improved throughput and uplift performance, reporting a net profit of PKR 9.07bln for 9MFY26 against a net loss of PKR 14.49bln in the corresponding period last year, with net revenue up 29.1% to PKR 291.6bln. In order to meet the working capital requirement, the Company is proposing to raise up to PKR 10,000mln through a Rated, Unsecured, Privately Placed Short-Term Sukuk as an alternate source. This represents the Company's first-time capital market debt instrument, with proceeds earmarked specifically to fund working capital arising from the cyclical and price-sensitive nature of crude procurement and product sales. The instrument is unsecured; however, PACRA draws comfort from the inherent structure of NRL's business, which is characterized by a rapid cash conversion cycle typical of the oil refining and marketing trade. Crude is procured, refined, and sold into an active domestic market on relatively short credit terms, translating throughput into cash within a compressed operating cycle, and providing an implicit source of repayment support ahead of the Sukuk's short, six-month tenor. This is further reinforced by the Company's improved coverage metrics, with Free Cash Flows from Operations turning sharply positive at PKR 19.6bln for 9MFY26 (FY25: negative PKR 7.6bln) and by the continued financial strength of the sponsoring Attock Group.

Key Rating Drivers

Going forward, sustainability of profitability, disciplined working capital and debt management, continued operational stability, and timely operating cash flow generation to support repayment of the proposed Sukuk at maturity remain the key rating considerations. Continued progress on the Brownfield Refinery Policy 2023 upgrade plans will remain an important longer-term consideration.

Issuer Profile
Profile

National Refinery Limited ("NRL" or "the Company") was established in Pakistan on August 19, 1963, as a public limited entity, with its shares listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. Its refinery complex consists of two lube refineries commissioned in 1966 and 1985, and a fuel refinery added in 1977, with designed capacities of 568,860 and 805,000 barrels per year of lube base oil, respectively, and a crude oil processing capacity of 17,490,000 barrels per year at the fuel refinery. The Company commissioned a Diesel Hydro De-Sulphurisation (DHDS) unit in FY2017 and an Isomerisation (ISOM) unit in FY2018 to enhance product quality and meet evolving environmental standards.


Ownership

In July 2005, the Attock Group acquired a 51% shareholding in NRL and assumed management control following a competitive bidding process under the Government of Pakistan's privatization program, integrating NRL into one of the country's leading oil conglomerates with a strong presence across the petroleum value chain. The Attock Group retains majority ownership of 51% through Attock Refinery Limited (25%), Pakistan Oilfields Limited (25%), and Attock Petroleum Limited (1%). Other significant shareholders include the Islamic Development Bank (15%) and institutional investors collectively encompassing banks, insurance companies, NBFIs, joint stock companies, investment companies, Modarabas, mutual funds, and trusts (12%). The general public holds the remaining 22% of the issued share capital. The Attock Group maintains a long-standing and stable presence in Pakistan's oil and energy sector, with decades of integrated experience spanning exploration, production, refining, and marketing, and benefits from the strong backing of its principal sponsor, Pharaon Investment Group Limited Holding (PIGLH), a diversified international conglomerate. This depth of ownership and sponsor support is a relevant consideration for the proposed Sukuk, given the instrument is unsecured and therefore relies, in part, on the continued financial strength and stability of the wider Group.


Governance

The Board of Directors comprises eight members, including one Executive Director, three Independent Directors, and four Non-Executive Directors, with four members representing the Attock Group and one representing the Islamic Development Bank. Mr. Shuaib A. Malik, the Chairman, brings over four decades of experience across upstream, midstream, and downstream petroleum operations within the Attock Group. The Board operates through an Audit Committee and an HR & Remuneration Committee, both of which convened with full majority participation during FY25. The Board continues to adhere to the SECP Code of Corporate Governance, and for FY25 the financial statements were subject to a comprehensive external audit by A.F. Ferguson & Co., Chartered Accountants, who issued an unqualified opinion.


Management

The Company is led by Mr. Asad Hasan as Chief Executive Officer, supported by a seasoned senior management team across six functional divisions: Operations; People and Culture; Administration; Commercial and Strategy; Finance and Corporate Affairs; and Procurement and Contracts. Mr. Nouman Ahmed Usmani, a Chartered Accountant with over 25 years of overall experience, serves as General Manager – Finance & Corporate Affairs and Chief Financial Officer. NRL has deployed SAP's ERP ECC-6 platform, generating MIS reports on a daily, fortnightly, and monthly basis, and has developed an in-house Crude Oil Management System to maintain accurate crude oil inventory balances. The scope of internal audit is clearly defined, encompassing review of internal control systems across the Company's activities and processes.


Business Risk

Pakistan's refining sector is structured as an oligopoly comprising five principal players — PARCO, Attock Refinery Limited (ATRL), National Refinery Limited (NRL), Pakistan Refinery Limited (PRL), and Cnergyico — with PARCO holding the dominant position at approximately 50.2% market share in 1QFY26. NRL and ATRL maintained mid-tier positioning, with NRL accounting for 15.1% of sector volumes in 1QFY26. As of 9MFY26, the sector witnessed a pronounced operational and financial recovery, underpinned by higher refinery upliftment, improved product crack spreads, and stronger HSD and MS sales volumes, aided by a late-February regional conflict. Within this operating environment, NRL recorded healthy growth in sales during 9MFY26, supported by improved refinery throughput and a more favorable product mix. The Company also demonstrated operational resilience by proactively diversifying its crude sourcing and adopting alternative procurement arrangements amid temporary supply chain disruptions, ensuring continuity of refinery operations. NRL reported a net profit of PKR 9.07bln for 9MFY26, reversing a net loss of PKR 14.49bln in the corresponding period last year. Despite the near-term recovery, the sector continues to face structural challenges, including almost NIL furnace oil demand locally, implementation of the Brownfield Refinery Policy 2023, and foreign exchange exposure.


Financial Risk

As of March 31, 2026, NRL's working capital requirement increased materially, reflecting elevated international crude oil prices, which increased the value of inventories and procurement costs. Consequently, current assets expanded, driven primarily by higher inventories and trade receivables reflecting increased product prices and sales volumes, while current liabilities also increased in line with higher-priced crude procurements. In order to meet the working capital requirements effectively and efficiently the Company is considering to diversify its funding base through its inaugural PKR 10.0bln Rated, Unsecured, Privately Placed Sukuk. While the proposed Sukuk is unsecured and NRL remains exposed to volatility in international crude oil prices as the sector is, refining margins, and geopolitical developments affecting crude supply, PACRA derives comfort from NRL's strong operating cash flow profile and short cash conversion cycle, whereby crude oil is processed and refined products are sold into an active domestic market on shorter credit terms, enabling cash generation well within the proposed six-month Sukuk tenor. Additionally, the recovery in refining margins during 9MFY26 materially strengthened NRL's financial profile. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) improved to PKR 19.6bln from a deficit of PKR 7.6bln in FY25, resulting in FCFO-to-finance cost coverage of 3.4x (FY25: negative 0.7x). The improved profitability also strengthened the balance sheet, with leverage declining to 47.9% as of March 31, 2026 (June 30, 2025: 54.7%). PACRA considers the relatively short six-month tenor of the instrument, together with the Company's strong liquidity profile and operating cash flow generation, to provide adequate comfort regarding timely repayment. Additional comfort is drawn from the Company's established banking relationships and the financial strength of the Attock Group.


Instrument Rating Considerations
About the Instrument

The Company is in the process of issuing a Rated, Unsecured, Privately Placed Sukuk of up to PKR 10,000mln to finance its working capital requirements effectively and efficiently. The Sukuk will have a tenor of up to six (6) months from the Issue Date, with principal repayable as a bullet payment at maturity. The profit rate is proposed at 3-month KIBOR minus up to 10bps per annum, subject to final pricing, and will be repriced quarterly, with profit payable upon redemption of the outstanding principal at maturity. The Company may, at its discretion, prepay the outstanding issue amount, in whole or in part, from internal cash flows by providing the Investment Agent with at least three (3) days' prior written and irrevocable notice. United Bank Limited and Faysal Bank Limited have been appointed as the Mandated Lead Advisors and Arrangers for the transaction. The Sukuk will be inducted into the Central Depository System (CDS) of the Central Depository Company of Pakistan Limited (CDC).


Relative Seniority/Subordination of Instrument

The Sukuk is unsecured, marking NRL's first-time issuance of a rated capital market debt instrument. In the absence of specific collateral or a ranking charge, holders of the Sukuk rank pari passu with the Company's other unsecured creditors and are structurally subordinated to any secured lenders with a specific charge over the Company's assets, to the extent of that security.


Credit Enhancement

The instrument is unsecured; however, PACRA takes comfort from the Company's ability to generate stable operating cash flows through its short cash conversion cycle, together with its strong banking relationships and the financial strength of the Attock Group. These factors are expected to support timely repayment of the proposed six-month Sukuk.


 
 

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(PKR mln)


Mar-26
9M
Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 79,832 84,527 35,299 32,977
2. Investments 14 14 15 15
3. Related Party Exposure 175 174 0 0
4. Current Assets 137,285 64,781 67,859 78,788
a. Inventories 76,900 29,442 49,720 48,137
b. Trade Receivables 47,554 17,759 9,855 22,915
5. Total Assets 217,307 149,496 103,172 111,780
6. Current Liabilities 102,389 37,497 30,465 38,869
a. Trade Payables 85,383 19,912 18,017 28,223
7. Borrowings 54,575 60,758 52,792 37,516
8. Related Party Exposure 24 55 7 60
9. Non-Current Liabilities 936 869 692 736
10. Net Assets 59,383 50,316 19,217 34,599
11. Shareholders' Equity 59,383 50,316 19,217 34,599
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 291,624 307,663 308,842 298,805
a. Cost of Good Sold (268,126) (313,897) (316,610) (285,609)
2. Gross Profit 23,498 (6,234) (7,768) 13,197
a. Operating Expenses (1,927) (2,009) (1,830) (2,483)
3. Operating Profit 21,571 (8,243) (9,598) 10,713
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) (928) 546 252 408
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 20,642 (7,696) (9,346) 11,122
a. Total Finance Cost (5,749) (10,331) (9,310) (16,244)
b. Taxation (5,826) 3,161 2,866 660
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 9,067 (14,867) (15,790) (4,463)
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 19,556 (7,550) (7,149) 3,545
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 14,162 (15,927) (16,168) (2,167)
c. Changes in Working Capital (7,092) 9,720 2,228 (15,035)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 7,070 (6,207) (13,941) (17,202)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (692) (1,604) (1,337) (584)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 4,179 (6,275) 15,237 17,774
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 10,557 (14,086) (41) (13)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 26.4% -0.4% 3.4% 18.6%
b. Gross Profit Margin 8.1% -2.0% -2.5% 4.4%
c. Net Profit Margin 3.1% -4.8% -5.1% -1.5%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 4.3% 0.7% -1.6% -3.8%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 22.0% -42.8% -58.7% -12.0%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 81 63 77 81
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 31 41 50 45
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.0
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 3.7 -0.6 -0.7 0.3
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 1.2 -0.2 -0.3 0.2
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 1.1 -1.9 -0.9 -0.0
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 47.9% 54.7% 73.3% 52.0%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 40.8 42.0 49.1 25.8
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 12.6% 18.5% 22.9% 46.9%

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Jul-26

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  1. Rating Team Statements
    1. Rating is just an opinion about the creditworthiness of the entity and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security of the entity rated or to buy, hold, or sell the security rated, as the case may be. (Chapter III; 14-3-(x))
    2. Conflict of Interest
      1. The Rating Team or any of their family members have no interest in this rating (Chapter III; 12-2-(j))
      2. PACRA, the analysts involved in the rating process, and members of its rating committee and their family members do not have any conflict of interest relating to the rating done by them (Chapter III; 12-2-(e) & (k))
      3. The analyst is not a substantial shareholder of the customer being rated by PACRA [Annexure F; d-(ii)]
      4. Explanation: for the purpose of the above clause, the term "family members" shall include only those family members who are dependent on the analyst and members of the rating committee.
  2. Restrictions
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  3. Conduct of Business
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    3. PACRA discloses that no shareholder directly or indirectly holding 10% or more of the share capital of PACRA also holds directly or indirectly 10% or more of the share capital of the entity which is subject to rating or the entity which issued the instrument subject to rating by PACRA. (Chapter III; 12-2-(f))
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Nature of Instrument Size of Issue (PKR) Tenor Security Quantum of Security Trustee Book Value of Total Assets (PKR)
Rated, Unsecured, Privately Placed Short Term Sukuk 10,000 million 06 months Unsecured N/A Pak Kuwait Investment Company Limited N/A
Name of Issuer National Refinery Limited
Issue Date July, 2026
Maturity Jan, 2027
Option 3M KIBOR - 10bps p.a.
Due Date Opening Principal Principal Repayment* Due Date Markup/ Profit* Markup/Profit rate 3M Kibor Minus 10bps Markup/Profit Payment Installment Payable Principal Outstanding

PKR in mlnPKR in mln

Jan, 2027 10,000 10,000 After six months 3M KIBOR - 10bps 11.57% 96.42 10,096.42 0
10,000 96.42 10,096.42
Note: The first profit payment will fall due six (06) months from the Issue Date. Profit will be calculated based on the applicable Profit Benchmark, using a 365-day year (or 366 days in a leap year) for the outstanding balance of the Facility Amount. The base rate will be adjusted in line with the prevailing KIBOR rate on the monthly profit payment date.

Jul-26

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