Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
07-Jul-26 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
07-Jul-25 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
12-Jul-24 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
14-Jul-23 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
16-Jul-22 AA A1+ Stable Upgrade -
About the Entity

EPCL, established in 1997, commenced commercial production in 1999 and is listed on the PSX. The Company is primarily involved in the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of PVC and allied products, and is a subsidiary of Engro Corporation Limited, which holds 56.19% of the Company's share capital and is itself a wholly owned subsidiary of Engro Holdings Limited. The Board comprises eight members, including the CEO as the only Executive Director, three Independent Directors, and the remaining four are Non-Executive Directors.

Rating Rationale

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited (hereafter “EPCL” or “the Company”) retains its position as Pakistan’s sole domestic manufacturer of Poly Vinyl Chloride (PVC) resin, complemented by a diversified Chlor-Alkali product portfolio comprising Caustic Soda, Sodium Hypochlorite, and Hydrochloric Acid. This unique market position, supported by tariff protection on PVC imports, continues to underpin the Company's business risk profile, although competitive pressure arising from import-parity pricing remains a key constraint on pricing flexibility. During CY25, the Company further strengthened its long-term business profile by commissioning the Hydrogen Peroxide plant through its wholly owned subsidiary, Engro Peroxide (Private) Limited, and the High-Temperature Direct Chlorination (HTDC) project. Both projects entered CY26 with improved operational stability and are expected to contribute more meaningfully as they achieve optimal utilization. During CY25, the industry remained under pressure as persistent global oversupply in both PVC and ethylene markets kept the PVC–ethylene spread, the primary driver of EPCL's profitability, at subdued levels throughout the year. At the same time, the continued increase in the domestic captive gas levy materially elevated production costs, although the subsequent reduction in the levy from Mar'26 is expected to provide partial cost relief. Reflecting these industry-wide challenges, the Company's profitability remained under pressure, resulting in a second consecutive year of pre-tax losses despite achieving record domestic PVC sales volumes of 239KT. Nevertheless, 1QCY26 exhibited early signs of recovery, supported by higher sales volumes and an improvement in profitability margins. Going forward, the continued ramp-up of the Hydrogen Peroxide and HTDC projects, together with the implementation of power optimization initiatives, is expected to improve operating efficiencies, diversify earnings streams, and support the recovery in profitability. In line with its ongoing diversification and efficiency enhancement initiatives, EPCL's debt levels increased during CY25. Nevertheless, the capital structure remains predominantly supported by long-term borrowings, with limited reliance on short-term debt. While gross leverage remains elevated, the Company's sizeable cash reserves, maintained as short-term investments, provide an adequate liquidity cushion. The ratings continue to derive support from EPCL's association with Engro Corporation, one of Pakistan's leading conglomerates, whose strong financial profile and demonstrated sponsor support provide additional comfort to the Company's credit profile.

Key Rating Drivers

The Company’s ratings depend on the sustainability of its profitability and margin recovery under the prevailing operating environment and on the extent to which this translates into a sustained strengthening of cash flow generation and coverage metrics. Further, adherence to the agreed financial discipline remains crucial. Adequate management of its capital structure and debt payback remains imperative.

Profile
Legal Structure

Engro Polymer & Chemicals Limited (“EPCL” or “the Company”) was incorporated in 1997 as a Public Limited Company under the repealed Companies Ordinance, 1984 (now Companies Act, 2017) and commenced commercial operations in the same year. The Company is listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). The registered office of the Company is situated at 8th Floor, The Harbour Front Building, Marine Drive, Block 4, Clifton, Karachi. EPCL is the holding company of two wholly-owned subsidiaries: Think PVC (Private) Limited, which operates the Company's downstream, retail-facing PVC products business under the “thinkPVC” brand, and Engro Peroxide (Private) Limited (“EPPL”), which owns and operates the Hydrogen Peroxide (HPO) plant commissioned in February 2025. The current report analysis is based on the unconsolidated financial statements.


Background

EPCL represents the chlor-vinyl manufacturing arm of the Engro Group, one of Pakistan's leading industrial conglomerates. The Company was established to produce PVC resin domestically, reducing Pakistan's dependence on PVC imports. Since commercial operations commenced, EPCL has undertaken a series of capacity expansions and efficiency projects. Recent milestone includes the commissioning of 100 KT PVC III plant and debottlenecking of VCM by 50 KT in 2021, and the execution of the VCM plant relocation from Baton Rouge, Louisiana. In 2023, the Company recorded its highest PVC sales volumes to that point. More recently, the Group commissioned, through EPPL, its Hydrogen Peroxide (HPO) plant on February 17, 2025, and separately completed the High Temperature Direct Chlorination (HTDC) project at EPCL, diversifying the product portfolio and adding value-added downstream chemical segments. 


Operations

EPCL is the sole manufacturer of PVC suspension resin in Pakistan, operating under the brand name SABZ, available in multiple grades (AU 58, AU 60, AU 72, AU 67R, and AU 67S). The Company's manufacturing facility is located at Daharki, Ghotki, Sindh, within an integrated industrial complex. Installed capacities as of CY2025 stand at PVC: 295 KT per annum, VCM: 245 KT per annum, and EDC: 127 KT per annum, with the HPO plant adding a further 28 KT per annum at the EPPL level. During CY25, actual PVC production reached 230 KT against installed capacity of 295 KT, a capacity utilization of ~78%; domestic PVC sales volumes of 68.5 KT in 1QCY26 point to continued utilization gains into CY26. The Company's operational model encompasses the full chlor-vinyl value chain: from the import of Ethylene and EDC as key primary raw materials, through the manufacture of VCM and its downstream conversion into PVC resin. The Chlor-Alkali segment produces Caustic Soda, Sodium Hypochlorite, and Hydrochloric Acid as co-products of the electrolysis process. The Company also supplies surplus power generated from its captive power plants (installed capacity: 60 MW) to Engro Fertilizers Limited. The manufacturing facility holds ISO 9001 and ISO 14001 certifications.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

EPCL is a subsidiary of Engro Corporation Limited, which holds 56.19% of the Company's ordinary share capital and is itself a wholly-owned subsidiary of Engro Holdings Limited (formerly Dawood Hercules Corporation), the ultimate parent company. Mitsubishi Corporation holds 11.01% of EPCL's share capital. The remaining shareholding is held by Mr. Nadeem Nisar (approximately 10%), an EPCL employees' trust, and the general public.


Stability

The controlling ownership structure recorded no change in the period under review. However, two potential ownership transactions were disclosed during the review period that have a bearing on the ownership-stability assessment going forward. First, Mitsubishi Corporation has entered into a Share Purchase Agreement for the sale of its entire 11.01% shareholding in EPCL; completion remains subject to conditions precedent, including corporate and regulatory approvals, and had not occurred as of March 31, 2026. Second, as announced at the Pakistan Stock Exchange on March 13, 2026, Engro Corporation Limited has received a non-binding offer from Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited for the acquisition of its entire 56.19% shareholding in EPCL; discussions remain ongoing, and no binding sale agreement had been executed as of the reporting date. These developments introduce a degree of forward-looking uncertainty around EPCL's ownership structure. As of the reporting date, Engro Corporation's controlling stake and the associated financial and strategic support to EPCL remain intact and unchanged, and both shareholders retain their full shareholding and associated governance representation.


Business Acumen

Engro Corporation is one of Pakistan's established industrial conglomerates, with a business portfolio spanning petrochemicals, energy and related infrastructure, telecommunication infrastructure, food and agriculture, and international trading. The Chairman of EPCL, Mr. Ahsan Zafar Syed, serves as President and CEO of Engro Corporation and brings over three decades of experience in operations, project management, and strategic leadership across the petrochemical, energy, and food and agriculture sectors. Mitsubishi Corporation's co-sponsorship has historically introduced international commercial and technical expertise in the global chemicals and energy business; the pending sale of its EPCL shareholding, as discussed above, is a relevant consideration for the continuity of this dimension of support. The sponsoring group's track record in executing large-scale capital projects and managing complex industrial operations remains a relevant supporting factor for the Company's business risk profile.


Financial Strength

EPCL derives financial strength from its affiliation with the Engro Group, whose consolidated asset base and diversified earnings streams provide a supportive financial backdrop. Engro Corporation's group presence across fertilizers, polymers, energy, and food platforms provides access to group-level financial support when required. The Company's association with Mitsubishi Corporation has also historically provided access to international commercial relationships and capital market expertise; as noted above, this relationship is subject to change pending completion of Mitsubishi's announced divestment.


Governance
Board Structure

The Board of Directors comprises eight members: one Chairman (Non-Executive), one Chief Executive Officer (Executive), four Non-Executive Directors, and two Independent Directors, consistent with the requirements of the Listed Companies (Code of Corporate Governance) Regulations, 2019. The Board's composition was unchanged as of March 31, 2026. Mr. Ahsan Zafar Syed, Chairman and President & CEO of Engro Corporation, brings over three decades of professional experience. The board seat previously held by a Mitsubishi Corporation nominee was vacated during CY25 and has not been separately replaced.


Members’ Profile

The profiles of the Board of Directors are provided below:

Mr. Ahsan Zafar Syed (Chairman, Non-Executive Director): President and CEO of Engro Corporation. Alumnus of NED Karachi and Manhattan College New York. Over three decades of experience in petrochemicals, energy, and food and agriculture sectors. Recipient of the National Engineering Excellence Award by the Institution of Engineers Pakistan in 2024.

Mr. Kamran Nishat (Independent Director, Chairman BARC): Fellow member of ICAP with over 42 years of professional experience. Serves as Managing Director and CEO of Muller & Phipps Pakistan (Private) Limited. Member of boards of AGP Limited, Hugo Bank Limited, ABL Asset Management Company Limited, and Novartis (Pharma) Pakistan Limited.

Ms. Ayesha Aziz (Independent Director, Chairperson Board People Committee): CFA charter holder with an MBA from IBA Karachi. Over 30 years of financial sector experience including investment banking, treasury, credit, and planning. Founding Managing Director of Pak Brunei Investment Company. Currently serves on boards of Haleon Pakistan Ltd, Exim Bank of Pakistan, KSB Pumps Company Limited, and Alfalah Asset Management Limited.

Mr. Nazoor Ali Baig (Independent Director): Electrical Engineer with over 45 years of industry experience. Former power generation division manager at Detroit Edison Company (subsidiary of DTE Energy). Has served on the EPCL board since 2020.

Mian Tariq Nisar (Non-Executive Director): Businessman with over four decades of experience across manufacturing, petrochemicals, and spinning industries. Currently CEO of Nimir Chemicals Pakistan Limited. Recipient of Businessman of the Year Gold Medal in 2005, 2006, and 2011.

Mr. Athar Abrar Khwaja (Non-Executive Director): Presently serving as CEO of Engro Energy Limited. Nearly 20 years of experience at EPCL including roles in Process Engineering, Projects, Marketing, and Business Development. Holds a bachelor's degree in chemical engineering from McGill University, Montreal.

Mr. Muhammad Bilal Ahmed (Non-Executive Director): Director on the Board of Dawood Hercules Corporation since August 2023. Chief Investment Officer at Dawood Investments Limited. Over 13 years of experience in commercial and financial management within the Engro group. CFA charter holder with BSc (Hons) in Mathematics from LUMS and a Master's in Economics from the University of Cambridge.

Mr. Abdul Qayoom Shaikh (Chief Executive Officer): Over 25 years of experience in the petrochemical and polymer value chain. Joined EPCL in 2000 as a Graduate Trainee Engineer and progressed through Technical, Operations, Commercial, and Business Development functions before his appointment as CEO. Alumnus of Harvard University's High Potential Leadership Program. Holds a master's degree in economics and a bachelor's degree in chemical engineering.


Board Effectiveness

The Board has established two committees: the Board Audit and Risk Committee (BARC) and the Board People Committee, both chaired by Independent Directors. During CY25, BARC held six meetings and the Board People Committee held five meetings, with high attendance recorded across both committees. The Committee Secretary for BARC is Mr. Khawaja Haider Abbas, Head of Internal Audit. No material changes to committee composition or meeting cadence have been noted for 1QCY26.


Financial Transparency

A.F. Ferguson & Co. Chartered Accountants, listed in Category 'A' of the SBP's panel of auditors, are the external auditors of the Company and expressed an unqualified opinion on the financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025. The Company's condensed interim financial statements for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 were prepared on an unaudited basis in accordance with IAS 34.


Management
Organizational Structure

The Company operates under a defined organizational structure with the CEO at the apex, supported by a Management Committee comprising divisional heads across Operations, Commercial, Finance, HR and Corporate Communications, Manufacturing, Digital Transformation, and Supply Chain, each reporting directly to the CEO. The Internal Audit function, led by the Head of Internal Audit, maintains a reporting line to BARC to preserve independence, in addition to its administrative reporting within the organization.


Management Team

The senior management team of EPCL comprises experienced professionals with diverse industry backgrounds and strong technical and managerial credentials.

Mr. Abdul Qayoom Shaikh (Chief Executive Officer): Profile detailed under Board Members above.

Ms. Rabia Wafah Khan (Chief Financial Officer): Leads the finance function, including financial strategy, capital management, and reporting, and brings relevant experience within the Engro group ecosystem.

Mr. Hussain Hasanali (Chief Commercial Officer): Responsible for commercial strategy, sales, and business development.

Mr. Arif Jalil (Vice President Operations): Oversees the operational functions across the chlor-vinyl and chemicals businesses.

Mr. M. Saad Khan (Vice President Manufacturing): Responsible for manufacturing operations, quality, and plant reliability.

Ms. Beenish Kajani (Head of HR and Corporate Communications): Leads human capital and communications functions.

This leadership team is supported by a group of experienced professionals, ensuring strong governance and strategic direction.


Effectiveness

The Management Committee meets regularly to review operational and strategic matters, including cost optimization, operational efficiency, energy alternatives, and expansion project tracking. Functional heads operate against defined KPIs, and the Company conducts periodic orientation for new Board members.


MIS

EPCL operates on an integrated Enterprise Planning Platform comprising SAP S/4HANA, SAP Ariba, and SuccessFactors, supplemented by a range of digital initiatives directed at plant reliability, safety, and customer experience. These include Adaptive Advanced Process Control and Multi-Variate Modelling for plant optimization, Digital Twin technology developed with Aspen Technology, 3D intelligent modelling supporting virtual walkthroughs and turnaround and emergency-response planning, an AI-based Hazard Management System, AI-enabled thermal cameras for leak detection, and drone-based visual inspection of plant assets. Customer-facing systems include a Salesforce-based platform supporting digital payments and real-time vehicle tracking, alongside predictive-analytics dashboards supporting asset reliability. Cybersecurity measures include air-gapped Data Diode technology for operational infrastructure. The Company received Pakistan Digital Awards recognition in two categories during the period.


Control Environment

The Board has delegated the detailed design and operation of the internal control system to the CEO, with controls embedded in operational processes through documented operating manuals. The Company maintains a Speak Out whistle-blower system monitored by BARC, and risk assessment results are presented to BARC on a quarterly basis under an Enterprise Risk Management framework aligned with recognized standards. As of the CY25 year-end, the Board had reviewed and expressed satisfaction with the effectiveness of the internal control system; no material change has been noted for 1QCY26.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

Global PVC and ethylene markets experienced pronounced volatility during 1QCY26, following a period of sustained oversupply through CY25. PVC prices rose by over USD 400 per ton during the quarter, initially supported by China’s announcement to rescind its VAT export rebate (effective April 2026), which shifted market sentiment, and accelerating sharply following the onset of the US-Iran conflict, which disrupted global supply chains. Ethylene prices moved in the opposite direction on cost grounds, more than doubling in March 2026 amid a naphtha shortage, forcing widespread operating-rate cuts and force majeure declarations among naphtha-based producers across East Asia. Despite the sharp rise in feedstock costs, the core delta (the PVC-ethylene spread that most directly drives EPCL's profitability) tracked above USD 300 per ton throughout 1QCY26, an improvement on the USD 275–320 per ton range prevailing through CY25, as PVC price gains outpaced the increase in ethylene costs. Domestically, the PVC market remained resilient despite international volatility, with market-wide demand growing by approximately 40% year-on-year in 1QCY26, supported by increased government and private construction-sector investment. EPCL's own domestic PVC sales of 68.5 KT during the quarter were achieved through disciplined pricing, close customer engagement, and targeted market development rather than through capacity expansion. The global caustic soda market tightened during 1QCY26, with prices rising on the back of increased shutdowns of chlor-vinyl plants across the region amid the conflict-related disruption, and stable demand from key end-markets such as alumina and pulp & paper. This near-term tightening sits alongside a more structural oversupply concern: approximately 800 KT of new Chinese caustic soda capacity commissioned during CY2025 is expected to continue weighing on global balances through CY26, even as developed markets rationalize capacity (Westlake closed its 410KT US chlor-alkali facility at end-CY25). Domestically, caustic soda revenue was supported by resilient textile-sector demand (7% export growth in FY25), though rising energy costs continued to weigh on segment margins. Captive energy costs remain a source of pressure across the sector: gas prices for captive producers continued to rise through the escalation of the gas levy, reaching PKR 1,406 per MMBtu in January 2026, further exacerbated by higher RLNG prices linked to international crude oil costs. The Company continues to carry a related provision and holds a stay order from the Islamabad High Court against recovery of amounts billed from December 2025 onward, discussed further under Capitalization; this is a distinct matter from the longer-standing GIDC levy dispute, on which the Company separately continues to carry a provision under a Sindh High Court stay. The Hydrogen Peroxide segment (operated through EPPL) began CY26 on a subdued note, with continued pressure from excess global supply, before market dynamics shifted toward quarter-end as the US-Iran conflict disrupted global energy markets and affected regional producers' production economics. As global HPO prices and fuel costs rose sharply, the Company was able to raise its own domestic prices to partially offset the cost increase. On the regulatory front, PVC continues to benefit from tariff protection, with 10% customs duty, alongside anti-dumping duties ranging from 3–20% on imports originating from China, Thailand, Taiwan, and Korea; VCM, EPCL's key intermediate raw material, remains duty-free. This tariff structure continues to underpin EPCL's structural position in the domestic PVC resin market, though imports remain a channel through which downstream buyers can access internationally-priced material, and management has flagged this as a continuing competitive consideration.


Relative Position

EPCL retains its position as the sole domestic manufacturer of PVC resin in Pakistan, a structural position that insulates the Company from local manufacturing competition, notwithstanding continued exposure to internationally-priced PVC imports. Domestic PVC sales volumes reached 239 KT in CY25, EPCL’s highest recorded domestic sales to date (up 16% year-on-year), and this momentum continued into 1QCY26 with domestic sales of 68.5 KT, against a backdrop of approximately 40% year-on-year domestic market growth. The Company also continued to expand its non-conventional, downstream PVC product lines under the thinkPVC brand, including a new retail outlet in Lahore and an extension into lifestyle PVC products, contributing to 41% growth in non-conventional product revenue during CY25. On cost competitiveness, the Company remains exposed to elevated and rising captive energy costs. Continued investment in cost efficiencies and operational digitization, including advanced process control, predictive maintenance analytics, and AI-enabled leak detection, supports asset reliability and cost discipline, while an initial 2 MW solar installation reflects early steps toward energy source diversification, modest in scale relative to the Company's overall energy requirement.


Revenues

EPCL recorded unconsolidated net sales of PKR 21,817mln in 1QCY26, reflecting a sharp year-on-year expansion of ~21.6% compared to PKR 17,947mln in 1QCY25. On a consolidated basis, top-line growth was more pronounced at ~24% year-on-year, reaching PKR 22,182mln. This performance marks a notable departure from the historical trajectory, which was characterized by contractions in CY23 (-1.0%) and CY24 (-6.8%), followed by a modest recovery of 2.3% in CY25 (PKR 77,406mln). The primary catalyst for this recent revenue acceleration is dual-pronged: (i) Volatile Pricing Dynamics: A sharp, conflict-driven escalation in global PVC prices, which spiked by over USD 400 per ton in 1QCY26 following structural supply shifts in China and geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East; (ii) Volume Resilience: Strong domestic demand growth of ~40% year-on-year, allowing EPCL to achieve high quarterly domestic PVC sales of 68.5 KT. From a credit perspective, while the volumetric growth indicates strong domestic market integration and successful commercial positioning, the price-driven component introduces material volatility. The revenue rebound, while substantial, remains heavily reliant on exogenous geopolitical triggers rather than structural changes in the domestic market, rendering long-term top-line stability vulnerable to a normalization of international commodity cycles.


Margins

The Company’s profitability profile improved in 1QCY26, recovering from the severe margin compression experienced during the CY24–CY25 periods. Gross profit margin recovered to 11.9% in 1QCY26, compared to a historic low of 6.8% in CY25 and 8.7% in CY24 (CY23: 25.3%). Similarly, operating margin improved to 9.2% (1QCY25: 5.3%), and the net profit margin trended back into positive territory at 2.3%. Standalone net income stood at PKR 501mln for the quarter, fully reversing the heavy net loss of PKR 3,043mln recorded in CY25. An analytical evaluation of the cost structure highlights that the margin expansion was driven by the core PVC-ethylene delta widening above USD 300 per ton, as PVC price hikes outpaced rising feedstock costs. The margin improvement observed in 1QCY26 represents a sharp, sentiment-driven cyclical recovery rather than a permanent structural reset.


Sustainability

EPCL’s long-term sustainability continues to rest on its position as Pakistan's sole domestic PVC producer, the country's comparatively low per capita PVC consumption of ~1.2 kg, among the lowest in the region (India: ~3 kg and China: ~14 kg), and the demonstrated financial and strategic support of the Engro Group. The commissioning of the HPO plant (via EPPL) and the HTDC project during CY2025 has broadened the Group’s revenue base and improved EPCL's cost structure, with both initiatives at a more mature operating stage entering CY26. Government policy direction, reflected in the FY2026–27 budget’s shift toward supporting construction sector growth, together with continued monetary easing, is expected to support medium-term demand for PVC and downstream products; the approximately 40% year-on-year domestic PVC market growth recorded in 1QCY26 is an early indicator of this dynamic. On feedstock and cost security, EPCL's revenue base, priced with reference to international PVC benchmarks in USD terms, provides a natural hedge against Pakistan Rupee depreciation. Raw material supply is diversified across established international suppliers (Mitsubishi, Marubeni, and ADNOC for Ethylene; Muntajat, Kolmar, Sipchem, and SABIC for EDC). Captive gas costs which reduced comparatively, remain a source of cost uncertainty; management continues to evaluate alternative energy solutions, including grid connectivity, renewables, and an initial 2 MW solar installation, though the pace of this transition remains gradual relative to the Company's overall energy base.


Financial Risk
Working capital

EPCL’s operational liquidity management demonstrated continued discipline in 1QCY26, extending the structural efficiencies captured during CY25. The net working capital cycle compressed to a negative (4) days in 1QCY26, down from 11 days in CY25 and a historic high of 52 days in CY24. Key operational drivers of this cycle optimization include: (i) Inventory Rationalization: Total inventory days declined to 48 days (down from 72 days in CY24), driven by robust domestic off-take and tight raw material throughput, (ii) Receivable Control: Collection periods remained locked at a lean 7 days, insulated by the Company’s stringent advance-payment structures and bank-guaranteed credit terms for industrial clients, and (iii) Payable Extension: Trade payable days stretched significantly to 59 days (up from 15 days in CY23), effectively passing funding requirements back onto the trade supply chain. Furthermore, the current ratio hovered at 1.0x in 1QCY26 (CY25: 0.9x), remaining below historical levels of 1.3x in CY23–CY24. This compression is tied to a reduction in short-term investments, which dropped to PKR 16,161mln in March 2026 from PKR 21,404mln at year-end CY25, reflecting cash consumption for operational and capital commitments and narrowing the available buffer against unexpected liquidity shocks.


Coverages

In alignment with the operational turnaround, EPCL’s coverage metrics staged a notable recovery in 1QCY26, though they remain structurally altered relative to pre-CY25 levels due to a permanently higher finance cost base. Quarterly EBITDA stood at PKR 3,901mln, which annualized, indicates an improved capacity to service debt. Consequently, EBITDA-to-finance-cost coverage strengthened to 2.8x from a highly constrained 1.1x in CY24 and 1.6x in CY25. Free Cash Flow from Operations (FCFO) reached PKR 3,011mln for the 3-month period, driven by improved cash conversion efficiency (13.8% of sales). This pushed interest coverage up to 2.2x (CY25: 1.3x). Crucially, the core debt service coverage ratio rebounded to 1.4x, moving back above the critical 1.0x threshold after slipping to a precarious 0.9x in CY25. The annualized debt payback period shortened to ~8.3 years from an unsustainable 43.0 years in CY25, but remains elongated compared to the 2.6 years achieved in CY23, emphasizing the residual weight of the debt load. Liquid coverage moderated to 3.5x (CY25: 5.4x) due to the strategic drawdown of liquid investment reserves. The coverage recovery is clear but fresh; its credit stability is entirely contingent upon the Company maintaining its current cash generation run-rate, leaving the debt-servicing cushion vulnerable to any sudden contraction in international chemical spreads.


Capitalization

EPCL's capital structure is showing initial signs of stabilization following the elevated leverage associated with its expansionary investment cycle, although debt levels remain materially higher than historical norms. Total borrowings marginally declined to PKR 54,483mln as of end-Mar'26 from PKR 55,117mln at end-CY25, reflecting a modest reduction in overall debt alongside a shift in the borrowing mix toward long-term financing. Concurrently, equity strengthened to PKR 25,861mln, supported by the retention of earnings generated during 1QCY26. Consequently, gross leverage improved slightly to 67.8% from 68.5% at end-CY25. After adjusting for the Company's sizeable cash reserves held as short-term investments, net leverage stands at approximately 56.5%, providing a more representative view of the Company's financial risk profile. Nevertheless, leverage remains elevated relative to the 54.0% recorded in CY23, reflecting the structural increase in debt incurred to finance the PVC-III expansion, the High-Temperature Direct Chlorination (HTDC) project, and downstream Hydrogen Peroxide investments. The debt profile remains a key credit strength, with approximately 98.8% of total borrowings comprising long-term facilities, thereby limiting refinancing and near-term liquidity risks. Reliance on short-term borrowings is minimal, accounting for only 1.2% of total debt, while the availability of substantial unutilized short-term credit lines provides adequate financial flexibility to meet seasonal working capital requirements. A key credit variable is the escalation of off-balance sheet exposures and contingent liabilities: (i) Commitments & Contingencies: Stood at PKR 6,695mln as of March 2026 (~25.9% of equity), and (ii) Gas Levy Dispute: Out of these, a distinct captive-gas levy dispute accumulated a provision of PKR 2,212mln by March 31, 2026. Although the Islamabad High Court granted interim relief via a stay order on March 17, 2026, the requirement to furnish post-dated cheques creates a formal, back-ended liquidity risk. The unresolved status of these legal disputes, alongside high structural gearing, creates a layer of forward-looking financial uncertainty that necessitates sustained operational outperformance to manage effectively.


 
 

Jul-26

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(PKR mln)


Mar-26
3M
Dec-25
12M
Dec-24
12M
Dec-23
12M
Management Audited Audited Audited
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 50,511 49,733 50,655 46,593
2. Investments 16,161 21,404 1,445 3,345
3. Related Party Exposure 16,457 15,620 13,296 8,555
4. Current Assets 33,877 29,969 33,675 29,630
a. Inventories 12,614 10,351 13,421 16,621
b. Trade Receivables 1,624 1,624 1,248 1,612
5. Total Assets 117,006 116,726 99,071 88,123
6. Current Liabilities 34,949 34,313 26,558 21,985
a. Trade Payables 14,398 13,687 8,442 2,887
7. Borrowings 54,483 55,117 42,245 33,992
8. Related Party Exposure - - - -
9. Non-Current Liabilities 1,712 1,937 1,866 3,048
10. Net Assets 25,861 25,360 28,403 29,098
11. Shareholders' Equity 25,861 25,360 28,403 28,902
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 21,817 77,406 75,678 81,224
a. Cost of Good Sold (19,223) (72,131) (69,108) (60,677)
2. Gross Profit 2,594 5,274 6,570 20,548
a. Operating Expenses (593) (2,356) (2,719) (2,247)
3. Operating Profit 2,001 2,918 3,851 18,301
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 185 348 1,347 (231)
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 2,187 3,266 5,198 18,071
a. Total Finance Cost (1,770) (5,705) (7,523) (4,197)
b. Taxation 85 (604) 2,935 (4,643)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 501 (3,043) 610 9,231
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 3,011 5,754 1,649 14,430
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 1,117 44 (5,566) 9,898
c. Changes in Working Capital (3,970) 12,337 6,762 (7,876)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (2,852) 12,380 1,196 2,023
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 2,858 (22,557) (8,538) 3,006
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (647) 16,297 10,122 (11,288)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (641) 6,120 2,780 (6,259)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 12.7% 2.3% -6.8% -1.0%
b. Gross Profit Margin 11.9% 6.8% 8.7% 25.3%
c. Net Profit Margin 2.3% -3.9% 0.8% 11.4%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) -4.4% 23.4% 11.1% 8.1%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 7.8% -11.3% 2.1% 32.9%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 55 63 79 71
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) -4 11 52 56
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1 0.9 1.3 1.3
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 2.8 1.6 1.1 4.9
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.7
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 8.3 43 -7.2 2.6
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 67.8% 68.5% 59.8% 54.0%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 24.6 42.5 35.8 38.8
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 11.6% 9.9% 16.7% 15.1%

Jul-26

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Jul-26

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  1. Rating Team Statements
    1. Rating is just an opinion about the creditworthiness of the entity and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security of the entity rated or to buy, hold, or sell the security rated, as the case may be. (Chapter III; 14-3-(x))
    2. Conflict of Interest
      1. The Rating Team or any of their family members have no interest in this rating (Chapter III; 12-2-(j))
      2. PACRA, the analysts involved in the rating process, and members of its rating committee and their family members do not have any conflict of interest relating to the rating done by them (Chapter III; 12-2-(e) & (k))
      3. The analyst is not a substantial shareholder of the customer being rated by PACRA [Annexure F; d-(ii)]
      4. Explanation: for the purpose of the above clause, the term "family members" shall include only those family members who are dependent on the analyst and members of the rating committee.
  2. Restrictions
    1. No director, officer, or employee of PACRA communicates the information acquired by him for use for rating purposes to any other person, except where required under law to do so. (Chapter III; 10-(5))
    2. PACRA does not disclose or discuss with outside parties or make improper use of the non-public information which has come to its knowledge during a business relationship with the customer. (Chapter III; 10-7-(d))
    3. PACRA does not make proposals or recommendations regarding the activities of rated entities that could impact a credit rating of the entity subject to rating. (Chapter III; 10-7-(k))
  3. Conduct of Business
    1. PACRA fulfills its obligations in a fair, efficient, transparent, and ethical manner and renders high standards of services in performing its functions and obligations. (Chapter III; 11-A-(a))
    2. PACRA uses due care in the preparation of this Rating Report. Our information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. PACRA does not, in every instance, independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing this Rating Report. (Clause 11-(A)(p))
    3. PACRA prohibits its employees and analysts from soliciting money, gifts, or favors from anyone with whom PACRA conducts business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(q))
    4. PACRA ensures before the commencement of the rating process that an analyst or employee has not had a recent employment or other significant business or personal relationship with the rated entity that may cause or may be perceived as causing a conflict of interest. (Chapter III; 11-A-(r))
    5. PACRA maintains the principle of integrity in seeking rating business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(u))
    6. PACRA promptly investigates in the event of misconduct or a breach of the policies, procedures, and controls, and takes appropriate steps to rectify any weaknesses to prevent any recurrence, along with suitable punitive action against the responsible employee(s). (Chapter III; 11-B-(m))
  4. Independence & Conflict of Interest
    1. PACRA receives compensation from the entity being rated or any third party for the rating services it offers. The receipt of this compensation has no influence on PACRA’s opinions or other analytical processes. In all instances, PACRA is committed to preserving the objectivity, integrity, and independence of its ratings. Our relationship is governed by two distinct mandates: i) rating mandate - signed with the entity being rated or issuer of the debt instrument, and ii) fee mandate - signed with the payer, which can be different from the entity.
    2. PACRA does not provide consultancy/advisory services or other services to any of its customers or their associated companies and associated undertakings that are being rated or have been rated by it during the preceding three years, unless it has an adequate mechanism in place ensuring that the provision of such services does not lead to a conflict of interest situation with its rating activities. (Chapter III; 12-2-(d))
    3. PACRA discloses that no shareholder directly or indirectly holding 10% or more of the share capital of PACRA also holds directly or indirectly 10% or more of the share capital of the entity which is subject to rating or the entity which issued the instrument subject to rating by PACRA. (Chapter III; 12-2-(f))
    4. PACRA ensures that the rating assigned to an entity or instrument is not affected by the existence of a business relationship between PACRA and the entity or any other party, or the non-existence of such a relationship. (Chapter III; 12-2-(i))
    5. PACRA ensures that the analysts or any of their family members shall not buy, sell, or engage in any transaction in any security which falls in the analyst’s area of primary analytical responsibility. This clause, however, does not apply to investments in securities through collective investment schemes. (Chapter III; 12-2-(l))
    6. PACRA has established policies and procedures governing investments and trading in securities by its employees and for monitoring the same to prevent insider trading, market manipulation, or any other market abuse. (Chapter III; 11-B-(g))
  5. Monitoring and Review
    1. PACRA monitors all the outstanding ratings continuously, and any potential change therein due to any event associated with the issuer, the security arrangement, the industry, etc., is disseminated to the market immediately and in an effective manner after appropriate consultation with the entity/issuer. (Chapter III; 17-(a))
    2. PACRA reviews all the outstanding ratings periodically on an annual basis. Provided that public dissemination of annual review and in an instance of change in rating will be made. (Chapter III; 17-(b))
    3. PACRA initiates an immediate review of the outstanding rating upon becoming aware of any information that may reasonably be expected to result in downgrading of the rating. (Chapter III; 17-(c))
    4. PACRA engages with the issuer and the debt securities trustee to remain updated on all information pertaining to the rating of the entity/instrument. (Chapter III; 17-(d))
  6. Probability of Default
    1. PACRA’s Rating Scale reflects the expectation of credit risk. The highest rating has the lowest relative likelihood of default (i.e., probability). PACRA’s transition studies capture the historical performance behavior of a specific rating notch. Transition behavior of the assigned rating can be obtained from PACRA’s Transition Study available at our website. (www.pacra.com) However, the actual transition of rating may not follow the pattern observed in the past. (Chapter III; 14-3(f)(vii))
  7. Proprietary Information
    1. All information contained herein is considered proprietary by PACRA. Hence, none of the information in this document can be copied or otherwise reproduced, stored, or disseminated in whole or in part in any form or by any means whatsoever by any person without PACRA’s prior written consent.

Jul-26

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