Profile
Plant
ThalNova Power Thar Limited (TNPTL)
is an Independent Power Producer (IPP), has developed a 330 MW mine-mouth
lignite-fired power plant at Thar Coal Block II, Sindh, under the China
Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Operating on a Build-Own-Operate (BOO)
basis, the plant commenced construction in 2019 and achieved its Commercial
Operations Date (COD) on 17th February 2023. The Company also achieved its
Project Completion Date (PCD) on October 31, 2025.
Tariff
TNPTL has been awarded a levelized
tariff of US¢8.5015/kWh (PKR 8.2550/kWh) by NEPRA for its coal power project,
with a control period of 30 years from COD. The tariff is indexed to the
PKR–USD exchange rate as well as US and Pakistan CPI inflation. It includes
principal and interest repayments, return on equity, insurance, and fixed and
variable O&M costs as adjustable components. Fuel costs along with all
applicable taxes and levies are fully passed through to the power purchaser.
For the quarter of July to September 2026, the capacity charges and energy
purchase price stand at PKR 11.2603 and PKR 1.0627 per kWh, respectively.
Return on Project
TNPTL's key source of earnings would
be the revenue generated through sale of electricity to the Power Purchaser,
CPPA-G. The return on equity (ROE) in $ terms as per the tariff determination
of the project is at 30.65%.
Ownership
Ownership Structure
As of June 30, 2026, the ownership
structure of ThalNova Power Thar Limited (TNPTL) comprised Hub Power Holdings
Limited (HPHL) holding 38.3%, Thal Power (Private) Limited (Thal SPV) holding
26.0%, Nova Powergen Limited (Nova SPV) holding 24.7%, CMEC ThalNova Power Investments Limited holding 10.0%,
and Descon Engineering Limited holding 1.0% of the total shareholding.
Stability
Stability is underpinned by the
long-term strategic investment of its sponsoring groups, including Hub Power
Holdings Limited (HUBCO), Thal Power (Private) Limited, Nova Powergen Limited,
China Machinery Engineering Corporation (CMEC) through CMEC ThalNova Power
Investments Limited, and Descon Engineering Limited. This strong and
diversified sponsorship ensures TNPTL's long-term sustainability and
operational resilience.
Business Acumen
The sponsor groups have a proven track record
in developing and operating power projects across Pakistan, spanning thermal,
coal, and renewable energy sources. HUBCO, as the major sponsor, is one of the
country’s largest independent power producers, with a total installed power
generation capacity of 3,581 MW across its directly and indirectly held power
assets. The portfolio comprises the 1,292 MW Hub Power Plant, 225 MW Narowal
Energy Limited, 84 MW Laraib Energy Limited, 1,320 MW China Power Hub Generation
Company Limited (CPHGC), 330 MW Thar Energy Limited (TEL), and 330 MW ThalNova
Power Thar (TNPTL). These assets are held through a combination of direct
ownership, subsidiaries, and joint ventures, including Hub Power Holdings
Limited (HPHL).
Financial Strength
Diversified across multiple sectors,
Hub Power Holdings Limited (HUBCO), Thal Power (Private) Limited, and Nova
Powergen Limited represent some of Pakistan's leading business groups with
strong financial foundations. Their partner, China Machinery Engineering
Corporation (CMEC), contributes global engineering expertise and international
project experience, while Descon Engineering Limited adds local industrial
capabilities. Reinforcing this strength, HUBCO committed to provide an SBLC of
up to USD 20 million for TNPTL, and issued a Cost Overrun SBLC of USD 19.68
million in January 2020, covering cost overruns, pre-PCD financing obligations
and COD undertakings.
Governance
Board Structure
ThalNova's Board of
Directors (BoD) comprises eight members, including seven non-executive members
along with the Chief Executive Officer. Hub Power Holdings Ltd. is represented
by three members, including the Chairman, Nova Powergen Ltd. and Thal Power Ltd.
each have two representatives, while one member represents CMEC. The Board
includes Mr. Muhammad Kamran Kamal (Chairman, Hubco Nominee), Mr. Aly Khan
(Hubco Nominee), Mr. Amjad Ali Raja (Chief Executive Officer, Hubco Nominee),
Mr. Muhammad Tayyab Ahmad Tareen (Thal Nominee), Mr. Muhammad Salman Burney
(Thal Nominee), Mr. Rizwan Diwan (Nova Powergen Nominee), Mr. Saqib Haroon
Bilwani (Nova Powergen Nominee), and Mr. Zhao Wenke (CMEC Nominee).
Members’ Profile
Mr. Kamran Kamal is the Chairman of
the Board of Directors of TNPTL and also the CEO of The Hub Power Company
Limited (HUBCO). He has been associated with HUBCO Group in various capacities
and brings vast experience of the local power sector. The remaining members
also possess sufficient experience in their respective fields.
Board Effectiveness
The board conducts regular meetings
to discuss matters relating to the Company's operations and financials, along
with providing supervision and granting approval for other policies of the
Company.
Financial Transparency
A.F. Ferguson & Co., Chartered
Accountants (Category 'A'), a reputable and long-established audit and
assurance firm in Pakistan, serve as the external auditors of TNPTL.
Management
Organizational Structure
IPPs are generally featured by a flat
organizational structure, mainly comprising finance and technical staff, while
the engineering, construction and operations of the plant are outsourced.
Management Team
Mr. Amjad Ali Raja was appointed as
Chief Executive Officer in July 2024. He has been associated with the HUBCO
group since 2013 and brings over 22 years of experience in the energy sector,
backed by an engineering background. The rest of the management team also holds
the requisite qualifications and experience to effectively discharge their
responsibilities.
Effectiveness
The management is majorly engaged in
operational matters relating to the Company including invoicing to CPPAG,
internal audit, preparation of accounts and tariff determination while the
plant's operations and maintenance are outsourced.
Control Environment
The management has established a
robust internal audit function that ensures timely provision of data and
reports. In addition, the operation and maintenance contractors regularly share
updates with the management on plant operations, facilitating efficient
oversight and smooth functioning.
Operational Risk
Power Purchase Agreement
ThalNova Power Thar Limited has
entered into a 30-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with the Central Power
Purchasing Agency-Guarantee (CPPA-G), under which the plant supplies
electricity in two components: Capacity Purchase Price and Energy Purchase Price.
Under the terms, TNPTL invoices CPPA-G for both capacity charges (ensuring
revenue even during periods of low dispatch or availability) and for energy
supplied. The tariff structure is levelized over the 30-year control period
starting from COD, incorporating Return on Equity (ROE), O&M costs, and
other fixed cost components, while fuel costs, taxes, and levies are fully
passed through.
Operation and Maintenance
ThalNova is equipped with European
technology, with its Boiler, Turbine, and Generator designed and manufactured
by General Electric (GE), ensuring high reliability and emission levels well
below the limits prescribed by SEPA. To ensure efficient operations, TNPTL has
entered into a long-term Operation and Maintenance (O&M) agreement with Hub
Power Services Limited (HPSL), a subsidiary of the HUBCO Group, which also
manages O&M for other plants within the group.
Resource Risk
TNPTL has secured its fuel
requirements through a 30-year Coal Supply Agreement (CSA) with Sindh Engro
Coal Mining Company (SECMC), signed on May 13, 2017, ensuring uninterrupted
coal supply for plant operations. Under the CSA, SECMC is entitled to receive
capacity payments even during suspension periods, instances where the project
company declines coal deliveries, or when the mine is unavailable due to
forced, scheduled, or maintenance outages not linked to coal unavailability.
Payments to SECMC are made within 30 days of invoice receipt, net of any
liquidated damages or disputed amounts.
Insurance Cover
The coverage includes material
damage, machinery breakdown, third-party liability, and business
interruption/delay in startup losses, ensuring protection of both physical
assets and revenue streams. In addition, contractors are contractually bound to
pay Liquidated Damages (LDs) in the event that benchmark performance ratios are
not achieved. These measures collectively mitigate operational and financial
risks associated with unforeseen events, ensuring continuity of plant
operations and revenue stability.
Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics
As of March 2026, Pakistan's total installed generation capacity reached
49,651 MW. This is 8.5% higher than 45,782 MW a year earlier. The growth was
driven mainly by net-metered distributed solar (7,319 MW cumulative). Over the
same period, 13 thermal IPPs totaling 5,105 MW were retired or closed. Clean
sources (hydel, nuclear and renewables) now account for the majority of
installed capacity at 50.8%, up from 43.3% a year earlier. Thermal's share fell
to 49.2% from 56.7%.
Total generation for FY26 rose 1.2% YoY to 128,700 GWh. Combined local
and imported coal generation climbed to 22.9% of the mix, up from 19.4% in
FY25. This was led by a 51.6% YoY surge in imported coal. Reduced RLNG
availability and elevated LNG costs pushed dispatch toward coal.
This trend sharpened further in Jul'26. Power demand rose 7.1% YoY to
15,122 GWh. Coal-based generation reached 3,819 GWh (+44% YoY), the highest for
any July, with imported coal up 90% YoY.
Generation
Net electrical output of the plant
during FY26 stood at 1,824 GWh (FY25: 1,768 GWh) with a load factor of 69%
(FY25: 67%). The power purchaser continues to source electricity from the plant
on priority owing to its low generation cost.
Performance Benchmark
The required availability for
ThalNova Power Thar Limited under the PPA is 85%, while the required efficiency
is 37%. During FY26, the plant maintained an average availability of 94.4%,
comfortably above the required benchmark, notwithstanding a temporary dip to
33% in November 2025 on account of forced and scheduled outages. Average
efficiency for the year stood at 36.8%, broadly in line with the required
benchmark of 37%.
Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis
ThalNova Power Thar (Pvt.) Limited's
$526.6 million project is 75% debt-financed (USD 395 million) through a mix of
foreign and local syndicates. A consortium of Chinese lenders, including China
Development Bank (CDB), China Minsheng Banking Corporation Limited, and China
Zheshang Bank, provided the majority share of ~70% of the total debt (USD 264.9
million), priced at 6M LIBOR plus 4.05% per annum, subsequently transitioned to
Daily SOFR (120-day look-back) plus a credit adjustment spread of 0.42826% and an
additional 4.05% per annum with effect from July 25, 2025. The remaining 30%
was raised from a local banking syndicate led by Habib Bank Limited at 3M KIBOR
plus 3.5% per annum. The debt is structured for repayment in twenty equal
semi-annual installments, secured by project assets and shares. As of June
2026, approximately 14% of PKR and 23% of USD debt has been repaid.
Liquidity Profile
TNPTL, in its off-take agreement with
CPPA-G, will receive capacity payments provided the plant meets contract
availability, even if no purchase order is placed. As of June 30, 2026, the
Company's trade receivables from CPPA-G stood at PKR 16,616 million. The
Company holds short-term investments of Rs. 8,693 million in term deposit
certificates (Jun-25: nil), taking cash and cash equivalents to Rs. 26,054
million (Jun-25: Rs. 29,200 million). To manage working capital, the Company
utilizes short-term borrowings, with Rs. 1,500 million (26.0%) availed against
a limit of Rs. 5,775 million.
Working Capital Financing
Due to rising trade receivables from
CPPA-G, Gross Working Capital stood at 74 days as at end June 2024, which
further increased to 109 days as of June 2025, and further increased to 118
days as of June 2026. This upward trend reflects continued delays in receivable
settlements, indicating a growing strain on the Company's liquidity position.
To manage these pressures, the Company has relied on a mix of internal cash
generation and short-term bank lines.
Cash Flow Analysis
In FY26, the company's Free Cash Flow
from Operations (FCFO) stood at Rs. 26,063 million, compared to Rs. 25,191
million in FY25. Coverage ratios strengthened further: EBITDA/Finance Cost
improved to 3.0x (FY25: 2.4x; FY24: 2.0x) and FCFO/Finance Cost improved to
3.1x (FY25: 2.5x), aided by a decline in finance cost to Rs. 8,378 million
(FY25: Rs. 10,209 million), reflecting both lower average debt balances
following continued repayments and a lower average borrowing rate.
Capitalization
As of June 30, 2026, ThalNova Power
Thar (Private) Limited's capital structure improved, with leveraging at 59.9%
(Jun-25: 62.8%; Jun-24: 69.8%). Shareholders' equity stood at Rs. 50,175
million (Jun-25: Rs. 49,094 million; Jun-24: Rs. 37,707 million), after
dividend payouts of Rs. 12,862 million during the year (Jun-25: nil). Total
borrowings declined to Rs. 74,869 million (Jun-25: Rs. 82,800 million; Jun-24:
Rs. 87,210 million), continuing the company's multi-period deleveraging trend,
supported by a net asset base of Rs. 50,175 million.
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