Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
04-Jun-26 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
05-Jun-25 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
07-Jun-24 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
09-Jun-23 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
10-Jun-22 AA- A1 Stable Initial -
About the Entity

Orient Power Company (Private) Limited was established in 2003 as a private limited company under the Power Policy 2002. The Company operates a 229 MW (Gross ISO) power generation facility. Its registered office is located in Lahore, while the plant is situated in Balloki, District Kasur. The Board of Directors comprises six members. The Company is led by Mr. Kashif Bashir Rana, who serves as Chief Executive Officer. He is a Chartered Accountant with over 28 years of post-qualification experience, primarily in the power sector. Mr. Rana is supported by a team of qualified and experienced professionals.

Rating Rationale

Orient Power Company (Private) Limited’s (“Orient Power” or “the Company”) assigned ratings are underpinned by a long-term, 30-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with CPPA-G. Under the terms of the agreement, the Company is entitled to capacity payments, provided it continues to meet the stipulated operational benchmarks, including the required availability factor of 90% and the prescribed efficiency standards. The framework is further strengthened through the Implementation Agreement, which provides sovereign-backed support for the Company’s payment obligations. Operational reliability is enhanced through a long-term O&M agreement with GE Vernova (valid until December 2040). The plant's primary fuel is RLNG supplied by SNGPL, with HSD as backup. During 9MFY26, the Company generated 200 GWh of electricity, translating into revenue of PKR 9,548mln and a net profit of PKR 2,451mln, thereby reflecting stable operational performance. Equity stood at PKR 21,036mln as of March 31, 2026, underscoring a solid capital base, which is further supported by strong liquidity. The Company has fully retired its project-related long-term debt, with repayments completed in March 2020. As a result, the Company carries no material long-term commercial or project-related debt on its balance sheet. Working capital requirements are primarily managed through internal cash generation, supported by sufficient available working capital lines, which may be utilized as and when required.

Key Rating Drivers

Maintaining strong operational performance in accordance with agreed performance benchmarks, along with continued financial discipline, will remain critical to the sustainability of the assigned ratings.

Profile
Plant

Orient Power Company (Private) Limited (OPCOL) owns and operates a 229MW (Gross ISO) dual-fuel combined cycle thermal power plant located in Balloki, District Kasur. The plant was commissioned on a build-own-operate basis and commenced commercial operations in May 2010.


Tariff

The company's primary revenue is derived from a generation tariff approved by NEPRA. This tariff is structured in two parts: a Capacity Purchase Price and an Energy Purchase Price, both of which include indexation adjustments. At the start of commercial operations (COD), the levelized tariff was set at PKR 2.4538 per kWh for gas and PKR 9.9456 per kWh for HSD fuel.


Return on Project

A Master Agreement dated February 11, 2021, led to a revision of the project's Return on Equity (ROE). For the local equity portion (29%), the ROE was increased to 17% from 15% and is no longer dollar-indexed. Conversely, for the foreign equity portion (71%), the ROE was set at 12%, down from 15%, but continues to include dollar indexation.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

The sponsors include O.Q.S.A.O.C. (42.80%), Mr. Nadeem Babar (20.29%), Mahmood Textile Mills Ltd. (11.07%), Orient Operating Company (Pvt.) Limited (2.51%), Whistler Enterprises (Pvt.) Limited (9.90%), Pak Oman Investment Company (5.43%), and Grindlewald FZE (8.00%).


Stability

The stability of the sponsors is considered strong, underpinned by their established presence and significant investments across key sectors including oil, gas, aluminum, power, and food.


Business Acumen

The sponsors possess strong business acumen, with particular note of Mr. Nadeem Babar's industry-specific working knowledge, strategic thinking capability, and extensive experience in project development within Pakistan's power sector.


Financial Strength

The financial strength of the sponsors is strong, supported by their well-diversified and profitable business portfolios. This capability is further reinforced by the sovereign guarantee provided by the Government of Pakistan.


Governance
Board Structure

OPCOL is governed by a Six-member Board of Directors, which includes the CEO. The board composition consists of two nominees from O.Q.S.A.O.C. Mr. Salim Marhoun Hamad Al Hashmiand and Mr. Ali Al Raisi. Previously, there were three nominees from O.Q.S.A.O.C., one representative each from Mahmood Textile Mills Ltd. and Grindlewald FZE, Mr. Nadeem Babar, serving as a director, and, lastly, Mr. Kashif Bashir Rana, deemed by virtue of holding the CEO position.


Members’ Profile

The board members possess a deep understanding of the power sector and strong professional profiles, which enable them to provide strategic guidance and support the implementation of a robust control framework. The presence of senior executives from O.Q.S.A.O.C., combined with experienced local directors, ensures a balanced perspective on governance and operations.


Board Effectiveness

The Board demonstrates high effectiveness, evidenced by full attendance across all members. Despite diverse geographical representation and recent appointments (three members joined in October 2025), meeting participation remains strong: three directors attended all four meetings, and the remaining three attended two meetings each.


Financial Transparency

The external auditor (A.F. Ferguson & Co.) has given an unqualified opinion on the financial statements as at the end of June 2025 (FY25).


Management
Organizational Structure

Orient Power maintains a lean and efficient organizational structure. A compact team of qualified and experienced professionals supports the CEO in managing the company's operations. The management team has been further strengthened with the appointment of Mr. Asad Qamar as Chief Financial Officer (CFO), a Chartered Accountant with 28 years of experience and 4 years of association with the company.


Management Team

The management team is highly effective, led by CEO Mr. Kashif Bashir Rana, a Chartered Accountant with over 28 years of post-qualification experience in the power and textile sectors. Plant operations are overseen by Mr. Fayyaz Karim (GM Technical), a qualified Electrical Engineer with 36 years of total experience and 12 years with the company. Financial management is led by Mr. Asad Qamar (CFO), a Chartered Accountant with 28 years of experience.


Effectiveness

The company management maintains a strong focus on the finance, commercial, legal, and technical supervision of the Operations & Maintenance (O&M) Contractor. The physical plant operations and maintenance are outsourced to GE under a long-term O&M contract, allowing management to concentrate on strategic and financial oversight.


Control Environment

An adequate Management Information System (MIS) is in place, enabling effective tracking of all operations and liaison with the O&M operator. The company's financial controls are efficient, as evidenced by consistent compliance with statutory reporting requirements and unqualified audit opinions.


Operational Risk
Power Purchase Agreement

The company's primary revenue stream is secured by a 30-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) signed in 2006 with CPPA-G, effective from the Commercial Operation Date (COD). Under this agreement, the company is entitled to receive capacity payments provided it maintains a minimum annual average availability of 90% for dispatch, guaranteeing a stable revenue base irrespective of actual electricity dispatch levels.


Operation and Maintenance

Plant operations are secured by a long-term Operation, Maintenance & Services Agreement with a consortium of General Electric entities, signed on August 17, 2006. This agreement ensures professional management and upkeep of the plant.


Resource Risk

Resource supply is effectively managed through a dedicated RLNG supply agreement with SNGPL for the primary fuel. For backup, the company has fuel supply agreements with multiple Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) for the provision of High-Speed Diesel (HSD). The plant's core assets include two General Electric gas turbines and a Skoda Power steam turbine, configured as a combined cycle power plant.


Insurance Cover

OPCOL maintains a comprehensive and adequate insurance portfolio. The coverage includes Political Violence (PKR 15 billion), Property Damage (PKR 57 billion), Business Interruption (PKR 6.6 billion), and Public, Product & Pollution Liability (PKR 3 billion for each category).


Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics

Pakistan's power sector improved in 9MFY26, with total generation up 3.3% YoY to 93,131 GWh. March 2026 saw a 6.3% YoY rise to 8,939 GWh—the third-highest March output on record—supported by lower tariffs, industrial grid shift, consumption packages, and stronger economic activity. Generation exceeded NEPRA reference levels, supporting future Quarterly Tariff Adjustments. Fuel mix shifted notably: hydel (+62% YoY), imported coal (+126%), furnace oil, gas, and wind all rose, while RLNG fell 67% to 504 GWh due to US-Iran conflict-related supply disruptions, and nuclear dropped 12% from annual outages. Adjusted fuel cost of PKR 8.26/KWh exceeded the PKR 8.00 reference, prompting a positive FCA of PKR 0.27/KWh. Risks include prolonged RLNG disruptions raising tariffs or triggering load shedding. NEPRA projects 1.0% demand growth in CY26.


Generation

OPCOL's electricity generation has shown a declining trend in recent years. Annual production fell from 541 GWh in FY24 to 459 GWh in FY25. For the full 9MFY26 period, the company maintained an availability of 90%, meeting the PPA threshold.


Performance Benchmark

The Power Purchase Agreement mandates a minimum plant capacity/availability of 90%. Orient Power has consistently met this contractual requirement, demonstrating a strong track record in maintaining the agreed-upon plant availability


Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis

The capital structure for OPCOL's project consisted of 29% equity and 71% debt. This long-term project debt was scheduled for repayment over ten years through 40 quarterly installments commencing in March 2010. The company successfully retired the entire long-term debt in March 2020. As of 9MFY26, OPCOL is effectively in a near debt-free position, with total borrowings standing at only PKR 178m, representing a leverage ratio of just 0.8% of total capital employed (equity + debt). This represents a significant improvement from 19.4% in FY23, 6.4% in FY24, and 2.1% in FY25.


Liquidity Profile

OPCOL's liquidity profile has strengthened dramatically during 9MFY26. Cash and bank balances surged to PKR 6,744m by end-March 2026, compared to PKR 2,460m at FY25 year-end and PKR 1,309m at FY24 year-end. Total receivables from CPPA-G declined to PKR 7,262m as at end-March 2026, the lowest level in the four-year review period, down from PKR 10,862m at FY25 year-end. Despite this improvement, approximately 57% of outstanding receivables remain aged beyond 60 days, reflecting the persistent challenge of circular debt in Pakistan's power sector. Total borrowings have declined to PKR 178m, further reinforcing the company's exceptional liquidity position.


Working Capital Financing

The company primarily meets its working capital requirements through strong internal cash flows, with short-term borrowings used only as a supplementary facility. As of end-March 2026, the company's cash balance of PKR 6,744m provides more than adequate cover for its current liabilities of PKR 4,552m, yielding a current ratio of 4.1x. The total short-term borrowing limit has been marginally increased to PKR 10,987m, of which only PKR 178m (1.6%) is currently utilized. The cushion to borrow, should the need arise, remains substantial at approximately 74% of net current assets.


Cash Flow Analysis

Orient Power generated Free Cash Flow from Operations (FCFO) of PKR 2,887m during 9MFY26 (nine months to March 2026). For the full FY25 year, FCFO stood at PKR 5,103m, demonstrating strong underlying operational performance, though lower than PKR 7,526m recorded in FY24. The EBITDA/Finance Cost coverage ratio improved dramatically to 251.1x in 9MFY26 from 41.2x in FY25 and 21.2x in FY24, primarily driven by the near-complete elimination of the debt burden. Net cash from operating activities for 9MFY26 was PKR 4,413m, with a positive working capital change of PKR 1,914m reflecting improved collections from CPPA-G.


Capitalization

The company is effectively debt-free with respect to long-term borrowings, and its short-term borrowings have declined to a nominal PKR 178m as of end-March 2026. Shareholders' equity stood at PKR 21,036m, supported by growing unappropriated profits of PKR 14,787m. Revenue reserves have consistently expanded from PKR 11,120m in FY23 to PKR 14,985m in 9MFY26. The company distributed dividends of PKR 1,458m during 9MFY26 and PKR 2,708m in FY25, reflecting its strong cash generation capability. The debt payback period is effectively zero, given that FCFO far exceeds total borrowings.


 
 

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(PKR mln)


Mar-26
9M
Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 7,365 7,758 8,283 8,944
2. Investments 0 1,260 1,528 0
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 18,508 17,309 16,416 20,236
a. Inventories 455 456 459 463
b. Trade Receivables 7,262 10,862 11,469 14,017
5. Total Assets 25,873 26,327 26,226 29,180
6. Current Liabilities 4,552 5,753 5,958 8,494
a. Trade Payables 4,545 1,430 2,183 1,875
7. Borrowings 178 424 1,294 4,010
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 107 107 87 68
10. Net Assets 21,036 20,043 18,886 16,609
11. Shareholders' Equity 21,036 20,043 18,886 16,609
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 9,548 20,173 22,527 23,335
a. Cost of Good Sold (7,175) (15,444) (17,674) (20,135)
2. Gross Profit 2,373 4,729 4,854 3,200
a. Operating Expenses (126) (156) (156) (140)
3. Operating Profit 2,247 4,573 4,698 3,060
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 247 (247) (372) (285)
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 2,493 4,327 4,326 2,775
a. Total Finance Cost (42) (455) (789) (1,172)
b. Taxation 0 (7) (10) 0
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 2,451 3,864 3,527 1,603
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 2,887 5,103 7,526 3,557
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 2,815 4,929 6,633 2,734
c. Changes in Working Capital 1,914 (516) (764) (2,915)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 4,729 4,413 5,869 (181)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (1) 23 (274) 2,867
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (1,704) (3,577) (4,706) (1,484)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 3,025 859 888 1,202
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) -36.9% -10.4% -3.5% -1.7%
b. Gross Profit Margin 24.8% 23.4% 21.5% 13.7%
c. Net Profit Margin 25.7% 19.2% 15.7% 6.9%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 50.3% 22.7% 30.0% 2.8%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 15.4% 19.3% 17.7% 9.9%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 273 210 214 205
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 187 178 181 144
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 4.1 3.0 2.8 2.4
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 251.1 41.2 21.2 3.9
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 251.1 41.1 23.9 3.8
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 0.8% 2.1% 6.4% 19.4%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 171.9 109.7 17.8 103.4
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 1.4% 10.5% 8.2% 19.8%

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