Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
05-Jun-26 A A1 Stable Maintain -
05-Jun-25 A A1 Stable Maintain -
07-Jun-24 A A1 Stable Upgrade -
09-Jun-23 A- A2 Stable Maintain YES
09-Jun-22 A- A2 Stable Maintain YES
About the Entity

Pakistan Refinery Limited is a hydro-skimming refinery established in 1960 and listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, operating at 50,000 bpd at Korangi Creek, Karachi. It is a subsidiary of Pakistan State Oil Company Limited (~63.6%). Mr. Mohsin Ali Mangi, appointed CEO on April 30, 2026, brings extensive capital markets and industrial experience (including Credit Suisse Pakistan, Engro Fertilizers, and Engro Polymer). His operational and managerial expertise is expected to enhance execution efficiency and support accelerated progress on the REUP implementation and financing close.

Rating Rationale

Pakistan Refinery Limited's ("PRL" or "the Company") assigned ratings reflect its strategic importance in Pakistan's downstream energy chain and its association with Pakistan State Oil Company Limited, the Country's largest oil marketing company. The strong linkage between the two entities, supported by integrated supply chain arrangements and established procurement relationships, underpins operational stability and Midstream distinguishes PRL within Pakistan's refining sector. The Pakistan refining sector is inherently exposed to global petroleum price dynamics, with refinery gross margins highly sensitive to movements in crude oil and refined product benchmarks, and PRL's hydro-skimming configuration makes it particularly responsive to swings in the crack spread environment. In FY26, the operating environment was defined by a regional conflict in late February that led to the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the key transit route for Pakistan's imported crude. The disruption caused crude prices to surge, freight and insurance costs also escalated sharply, with marine war risk premiums reaching around USD 4 million per vessel and effectively doubling the landed cost of an Aframax cargo. As a coastal refinery largely dependent on seaborne crude imports as 15 to 20% is local crude, PRL was directly exposed to both supply chain dislocation and significant cost inflation. However, the Company actively managed these constraints through adaptive supply chain arrangements and responsive operational decisions, including alternate sourcing strategies that helped sustain continuity of operations and mitigate disruption impacts. At the same time, the crisis led to a sharp widening in product crack spreads, with high-speed diesel and MS margins rising sharply. This resulted in a broader sector-wide swing from losses to a profit of approx. PKR 43bln in Q3FY26. Within this environment, PRL delivered a financial turnaround of material significance. For the nine months ended March 31, 2026, the Company reported a profit after tax of PKR 12.08bln, a sharp reversal from a net loss of PKR 4.59bln in SPLY. 3QFY26 alone contributed a PAT of PKR 9.9bln, supported by the Company's highest-ever gross profit of PKR 18.9bln and record gross margins of 19.4%. The improvement in profitability was driven primarily by the extraordinary widening in HSD crack spreads during the crisis period, alongside volumetric growth in both diesel and motor gasoline sales as PRL maintained operational continuity through active crude sourcing management. On the upgrade front, Pakistan Refinery Limited is the only refinery in Pakistan to have signed an upgrade agreement under the Brownfield Refinery Policy 2023. Its Refinery Expansion and Upgradation Project (REUP) aim to double capacity from 50,000 to 100,000 bpd, enable Euro-V compliant fuel production, and install deep conversion facilities to significantly reduce furnace oil output, at an estimated cost of around USD 1.2bln. Key project milestones include engagement of Meezan Bank and JS Global Capital as financial advisors and execution of the FEED contract with Wood Group UK Limited. Government-level discussions are ongoing, with policy resolution seen as the key catalyst for project execution. In the meantime, the Company continues to focus on operational optimization, including crude intake efficiency and product slate management.

Key Rating Drivers

Going forward, the rating will remain dependent on the sustainability of PRL's profitability as crack spreads normalise from extraordinary levels, the Company's capacity to manage its leverage and meet debt servicing obligations, and most critically the pace and credibility of progress on financial close and execution of the REUP.

Profile
Legal Structure

Pakistan Refinery Limited (PRL) is a public limited company established in 1960 and listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. The company operates as a subsidiary of Pakistan State Oil (PSO), which maintains a controlling stake of 63.56%.


Background

Pakistan Refinery Limited (PRL) was incorporated in May 1960 and operates as a hydro-skimming refinery with a designed processing capacity of 50,000 barrels per day. The company’s main refinery complex is located at Korangi Creek Road, Karachi, while its storage facilities are situated at Keamari, Karachi. PRL plays an important role in supplying refined petroleum products to local oil marketing companies, with Pakistan State Oil Company Limited, its parent company, being a major customer.


Operations

PRL refines both imported and domestically sourced crude oil to produce petroleum products including High-Speed Diesel (HSD), Motor Gasoline (MS), Jet Fuel, Kerosene, and Furnace Oil. The refinery complex includes a Crude Distillation Unit, Hydrotreating Unit, Platformer Unit, and Isomerization Unit.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

Pakistan State Oil (PSO) continues to be the majority shareholder, holding 63.56% of the company’s equity. The remaining shares are distributed among financial institutions and general public investors.


Stability

The association with a government-linked entity provides PRL with a degree of operational stability and facilitates access to banking facilities. The Group’s longstanding presence in the industry reflects its strong commitment, sectoral expertise, and strategic capability within the energy domain.


Business Acumen

The presence of PSO contributes to industry-specific expertise and strengthens strategic decision-making capability. It also supports operational efficiencies, particularly in crude oil sourcing and product offtake, while PSO’s dominant market position ensures steady lifting of key products such as HSD and MS.


Financial Strength

The Company's sponsors have the ability and willingness to support the entity on a continuing basis, and in times of crisis. The sovereign support of the government in the shape of PSO, has further enhanced this notion.


Governance
Board Structure

PRL's Board comprises eleven members, led by Chairman Tariq Kirmani and Managing Director & CEO Mohsin Ali Mangi, along with directors Aftab Husain, Syed Jehangir Ali Shah, Mohammad Abdul Aleem, Shahbaz Tahir Nadeem, Mohammad Zubair, Tara Uzra Dawood, Zafar Abbas, Zafar Ul Islam Usmani, and Jawwad Ahmed Cheema. During 2QFY26, Mr. Zahid Mir served as MD/CEO until December 31, 2025, after which the leadership transitioned to Zafar Ul Islam Usmani, and subsequently Mohsin Ali Mangi now heads the Company. Governance oversight is supported through established Board committees, including the Audit & Risk Committee comprising four members (one non-executive director and three independent directors), chaired by an independent director, which held four meetings during FY25 with satisfactory board attendance. The framework is further strengthened by the Human Resources & Compensation Committee and the Project Steering Committee, ensuring structured supervision across key functional areas.gb


Members’ Profile

The Board of Directors at PRL comprises seasoned professionals with diverse experience across their respective fields, enabling effective strategic oversight and governance. The Board is chaired by Mr. Tariq Kirmani, an industry veteran with extensive experience in the energy sector, while management is led by MD/CEO Mr. Mohsin Ali Mangi, who brings strong technical and operational expertise, succeeding Mr. Zafar Ul Islam Usmani who had been serving as Interim Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer. The Board composition reflects balanced representation across engineering, finance, and public-sector governance, supporting informed decision-making and strategic direction.


Board Effectiveness

Governance performance remains stable and consistent. The Project Steering Committee has been actively monitoring the Refinery Expansion and Upgrade Project (REUP), with progress advancing toward financial close targeted by early 2027. The board continues to engage with potential strategic investors and Development Financial Institutions (DFIs) to secure the most cost-effective financing options for the project.


Financial Transparency

Auditor KPMG Taseer Hadi & Co. has provided an unqualified opinion for FY25. Interim statements are fully compliant with IAS 34, with deviations noted only where the Companies Act 2017 supersedes IFRS, all of which have been explicitly disclosed. The nine months report ending March 31, 2026 reflects sound disclosure quality.


Management
Organizational Structure

PRL’s organizational architecture is based on a well-defined departmental structure with clearly established reporting lines. All key functions report directly to the MD/CEO, ensuring centralized oversight and streamlined accountability. The core departments include Operations, Engineering, Refinery Upgrade Project (REUP), Finance, Information Technology, Technical and Inspection, Commercial, Contracts and Procurement, Human Resources, and HSEQ, while Legal and the Company Secretary function also report to the MD/CEO through defined governance channels.


Management Team

Each division within the Company is led by a General Manager and a Deputy General Manager who have been associated with the organization for a significant period. Their long-standing affiliation provides them with deep expertise and a comprehensive understanding of the Company's operations, enabling effective management and ensuring continuity. The management team is headed by MD/CEO Mohsin Ali Mangi, who previously held the position of Chief Strategy and Technology Officer at Pakistan State Oil Company Limited. He is supported by an experienced refinery leadership team, reflecting strong leadership continuity. The management team has demonstrated commendable tactical agility, particularly in securing crude oil from alternative sources and effectively optimizing refinery throughput amid challenging market conditions.


Effectiveness

Management has proactively aligned production runs with prevailing market conditions, maintaining throughput at approximately 60–65% utilization to avoid Furnace Oil accumulation. This disciplined operational approach reflects management effectiveness in optimizing refinery operations in line with demand dynamics.


MIS

MIS SAP-ERP integration continues to function actively across Finance and Procurement modules, further supporting operational efficiency.


Control Environment

The Company remains fully committed to the reliability and accuracy of financial reporting and the transparency of transactions in line with established procedures and best practices. The scope of internal audit is clearly defined, encompassing the review and evaluation of internal control systems across the organization. PRL also undertakes periodic audits and risk assessments of its processes, operations, and products to support the setting and monitoring of objectives and targets, with a focus on enhancing HSEQ standards and loss control. On the HSEQ front, the Refinery achieved 10.6 million man-hours without any Lost Time Injury (LTI), reflecting a strong culture of operational discipline and safety.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

Pakistan's refining sector witnessed a strong recovery during 9MFY26, driven by higher refinery upliftment, improved product cracks, and stronger MS and HSD sales volumes. Industry-wide refinery production increased notably on a year-on-year basis in April 2026, while average capacity utilization also improved compared to the prior year.Sector profitability recovered strongly during 9MFY26, with listed refineries collectively reporting net profits of approximately PKR 43 billion against losses of PKR 6 billion in the prior period. However, the sector experienced a sharp reversal in April 2026 following a government-mandated cost-plus diesel pricing mechanism effective April 1, which capped crack spread realizations well below prevailing market levels. With Dubai crude near USD 110 per barrel and diesel at approximately USD 160 per barrel, four listed refineries collectively absorbed approximately PKR 24 billion in losses during April alone. Petrol margins remain thin at approximately USD 9 per barrel, while furnace oil margins are deeply negative at around minus USD 40 per barrel, forcing the export of HSFO at a loss. A 5% customs duty on imported crude oil, against which only 2.5%–3% is recoverable through the deemed duty mechanism, further compounds margin pressure.n parallel, the USD 6 billion national brownfield refinery upgrade program has been reinvigorated by the Middle East supply crisis, reflecting in a high-level meeting in early May 2026 with OGRA to resolve the policy hurdles blocking financial close. Once resolved, domestic refining capacity is projected to rise from approximately 21–23 million tons per year to nearly 33 million tons by 2035, dramatically strengthening Pakistan's energy self-sufficiency. PRL, as the only refinery to have both executed its Upgrade Agreement with OGRA and opened the joint Escrow Account, remains the most advanced among peers in REUP readiness and is best positioned to benefit once policy clarity is restored.


Relative Position

PRL is among the smaller, low-complexity players in Pakistan’s refining sector, with a current installed refining capacity of around 50,000bpd out of the country’s total refining capacity of approximately 448,400bpd. Within this landscape, PRL ranks as one of the lower-capacity refineries. However, its Refinery Expansion and Upgrade Project (REUP) is aimed at significantly enhancing its competitive position through Euro-V compliance, improved middle-distillate yields, and a reduction in furnace oil output. The project also envisages a near doubling of processing capacity, which is expected to materially strengthen PRL’s scale and market standing within the domestic refining sector.


Revenues

For the nine months ended March 31, 2026, PRL recorded gross sales of PKR 333.91bln, with net revenue of PKR 234.40bln after deductions including excise duty and petroleum levy (PKR 81.30bln), incremental escrow incentives (PKR 7.60bln), surplus price differential (PKR 5.13bln), Climate Support Levy (PKR 2.65bln — a new levy with no prior-period equivalent), and sales tax (PKR 2.52bln). Comparable net revenue in 9MFY25 was PKR 235.96bln. Despite a marginally softer net revenue figure, gross profit rose dramatically to PKR 25.49bln from just PKR 0.29bln in the prior period, driven by crude-slate optimization, the introduction of Bonny Light crude from Nigeria, improved middle distillate yields, and management’s proactive procurement from alternate sources to maintain uninterrupted operations amid Middle East supply disruptions. Revenue concentration remains a feature: two customers account for 60.4% of total revenue, with PSO (the parent) recording gross product purchases of PKR 114.39 bln during the nine months.


Margins

Refining margins recovered significantly during the nine months ended March 31, 2026. Gross profit rose to PKR 25.49bln from PKR 0.29bln in the comparable period, while profit after tax reached PKR 12.08bln compared to a loss of PKR 4.59bln. Finance costs of PKR 3.25bln weighed on net margins but remained manageable relative to the strong gross profit base. For Q3FY26 alone (January–March 2026), net revenue was PKR 97.39bln with net profit of PKR 9.94bln, reflecting a strong quarter supported by elevated HSD and MS crack spreads and high utilization levels. However, the sharp reversal in next quarter is expected following the revised diesel pricing mechanism—indicates volatility in near-term profitability, with some normalization expected in subsequent months. Petrol margins of around USD 9 per barrel and persistently negative furnace oil margins continue to remain structural pressures on earnings.


Sustainability

PRL's sustainability profile is primarily anchored in its crude slate optimization strategy, which has played a key role in enhancing refining margins and operational resilience. The Company's shift toward lighter, low-sulphur crudes, including the first procurement of Bonny Light from Nigeria in Q1FY26, materially improved middle distillate yields and supported a turnaround in profitability. This strategy was further sustained through 9MFY26 by diversifying crude sourcing to ensure uninterrupted operations amid regional supply disruptions, while maintaining optimized utilization levels that improved over the period. Complementing this operational strategy, the sustainability framework is reinforced by the Brownfield Refinery Policy 2023, which provides structured incentives for Euro-V upgrades, including 10% on Mogas, 2.5% on HSD reinvestment margins, and a 7.5% deemed duty on HSD for 20 years post-commissioning.The February 2024 amendment further strengthened the framework by extending the incentive period to seven years and increasing escrow withdrawal limits to 27.5% of project cost. PRL has executed its Upgrade Agreement with OGRA (November 2023) and maintains a joint escrow balance of PKR 11.4bln as at March 31, 2026, providing financial backing for the Refinery Expansion and Upgrade Project (REUP).


Financial Risk
Working capital

PRL’s working capital cycle remains stretched due to high receivable concentration. Trade receivables stood at Rs. 33.17bln as at March 31, 2026, with a significant portion owed by the parent company, PSO, amounting to Rs. 22.48bln. Other receivables totaled Rs. 32.25bln, including Rs. 21.1bln on account of customs duty on crude oil reimbursable through IFEM, Rs. 9.2bln in exchange losses on FE-25 loans, and Rs. 1.74bln in unadjusted input tax receivable. On the payables side, trade and other payables stood at Rs. 97.20bln, including Rs. 9.04bln payable to the Government and Rs. 13.16bln payable to the joint escrow account. Despite the stretched cycle, the Company has secured sufficient banking lines to meet its working capital requirements, supplemented by support from the parent company, PSO, thereby ensuring liquidity adequacy.


Coverages

During 9MFY26, the Company recorded a strong recovery in interest coverage, with profit before tax of PKR 20.01bln against finance costs of PKR 3.25bln, translating into a coverage ratio of approximately 6.2x, a marked improvement from the prior period loss position. Long-term borrowings declined to PKR 9.15bln from PKR 12.35bln at June 2025, with PKR 4.37bln classified as current. However, subsequent margin volatility highlights the sensitivity of coverage and profitability metrics to pricing dynamics in the refinery segment. Sustained improvement in coverage will therefore depend on the maintenance of adequate refining margins.


Capitalization

The Company maintained a moderate leverage position, with gearing declining supported by improved profitability and balance sheet strengthening. The equity base also improved to PKR 9.2bln from a negative PKR 2.9bln in FY25, reflecting a significant turnaround in retained earnings. Short-term borrowings stood at PKR 6.37bln, indicating reduced reliance on FE-25 foreign currency loans following substantial repayments during the period. Long-term borrowings were recorded at PKR 9.15bln. Overall, the Company's net debt position remains sensitive to sustained refinery margins. Going forward, as the refinery upgrade project progresses, an increase in leverage is expected to support project financing requirements and expansion-related capital expenditure.


 
 

Jun-26

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(PKR mln)


Mar-26
9M
Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 36,449 35,306 30,716 28,780
2. Investments 1,497 1,443 4,262 46
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 116,971 71,192 73,207 76,646
a. Inventories 45,232 22,028 30,520 35,461
b. Trade Receivables 33,169 19,390 11,229 19,912
5. Total Assets 154,917 107,941 108,185 105,472
6. Current Liabilities 99,004 53,015 49,016 47,483
a. Trade Payables 60,771 31,453 28,343 35,436
7. Borrowings 15,634 27,959 28,595 31,995
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 1,595 362 1,003 637
10. Net Assets 38,684 26,604 29,571 25,357
11. Shareholders' Equity 38,684 26,604 29,571 25,357
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 234,396 310,351 305,540 261,860
a. Cost of Good Sold (208,903) (308,494) (290,446) (254,560)
2. Gross Profit 25,493 1,857 15,093 7,301
a. Operating Expenses (1,640) (2,187) (1,931) (1,476)
3. Operating Profit 23,853 (330) 13,163 5,825
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) (589) 154 (2,308) 1,614
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 23,264 (176) 10,854 7,439
a. Total Finance Cost (3,250) (3,788) (3,786) (4,066)
b. Taxation (7,934) (696) (3,007) (1,548)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 12,080 (4,660) 4,062 1,825
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 20,098 (3,223) 4,314 3,194
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 16,522 (6,795) 537 (482)
c. Changes in Working Capital 1,178 3,155 534 (19,782)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 17,700 (3,640) 1,070 (20,264)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (2,192) 2,357 (3,075) 2,460
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (12,247) (2,826) 2,472 665
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 3,260 (4,109) 467 (17,139)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 0.7% 1.6% 16.7% 36.9%
b. Gross Profit Margin 10.9% 0.6% 4.9% 2.8%
c. Net Profit Margin 5.2% -1.5% 1.3% 0.7%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 9.1% -0.0% 1.6% -6.3%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 49.3% -16.6% 14.8% 7.5%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 70 49 58 58
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 16 14 20 26
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 7.3 -0.2 2.1 1.3
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 3.1 -0.5 0.1 0.1
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 0.6 -2.1 54.1 -30.7
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 28.8% 51.2% 49.2% 55.8%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 26.4 63.4 44.9 42.7

Jun-26

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