Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
15-Apr-26 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
15-Apr-25 A- A2 Stable Initial -
About the Entity

GH2 Industries (Pvt.) Limited ('GH2' or 'the Company') was incorporated as a private limited company on 28-Sep-20, under the Companies Act, 2017. GH2 is primarily owned by Mr. Rana Nasim Ahmed (~50%), with the remaining ownership split equally between Descon Holdings (Pvt.) Ltd. and Aurelius (Pvt.) Ltd. (~25% each). The Company’s Board comprises four members, including Mr. Rana Nasim Ahmed, Mr. Rana Uzair Nasim, Mr. Faisal Dawood (appointed by M/s Descon Holdings (Pvt.) Ltd.), and Mrs. Riffat Zamani (appointed by Aurelius (Pvt.) Ltd.). Mr. Rana Uzair Nasim serves as the CEO of the Company, appointed by Mr. Rana Nasim as per the Shareholding Agreement.

Rating Rationale

GH2 Industries (Pvt.) Limited (“GH2” or “the Company”) is a developing venture backed by a consortium of experienced sponsors, led by Mr. Rana Nasim Ahmed, along with Descon Holdings (Pvt.) Ltd. and Aurelius (Pvt.). The Company continues to advance steadily toward its Commercial Operations Date (CoD), with overall project completion reaching approximately 86.9% as of December 2025, compared to the planned progress of 90%. The Company is establishing an agri-based manufacturing facility near Gharo, District Thatta, Sindh, focused on producing value-added broken rice derivatives such as Sorbitol, Dextrose, and Rice Protein, which are key inputs for the food and pharmaceutical industries. The ratings reflect a supportive operating environment driven by the ample availability of non-basmati rice, the Company’s key feedstock, along with its ability to leverage a first-mover advantage in value-added products such as Dextrose Anhydrous, where local supply is limited, while maintaining an adequate governance framework. The project integrates a 360 MT/day rice milling unit and a 3.3 MW biomass-based captive cogeneration plant to ensure cost-efficient power and steam supply. As of December 2025, major components, including the rice mill (operational with punch list finalization underway), grain silos and weigh bridge (fully operational), and dryer (fully operational) have been completed, while the co-generation plant is also working as of March 10, 2026. Upcoming milestones include the commissioning of the glucose plant and the installation of sorbitol and dextrose units. Management remains confident that the targeted CoD of June 2026 is achievable, supported by a regulatory deadline of June 2027. The project benefits from a strategic location with proximity to paddy-producing regions in Sindh, access to the Karachi demand center, and connectivity to Port Qasim for export purposes. As of FY25, equity injection stands at PKR 3.5 billion (as advance against issuance of shares), broadly in line with the planned ~40% equity contribution under a total CAPEX of approximately USD 55 million, with the remaining financed through a mix of foreign currency funding from FMO and local currency facilities from The Bank of Punjab and a consortium including Bank Alfalah, Askari Bank, and Saudi Pak Investment Company. As of February 2026, PKR 5.23bln of the local facility and USD 5.1mln of the foreign facility have been utilized. Additionally, short-term facilities of PKR 2.82bln have been arranged to support initial working capital requirements.

Key Rating Drivers

Going forward, the ratings are dependent on the Company’s ability to achieve timely completion of the project and commence operations as planned, while maintaining a stable financial risk profile. Sustained sponsor support, effective working capital management, and the establishment of a consistent revenue stream will be critical in preserving the assigned ratings. Conversely, any material deviation from planned timelines, cost escalations, or weakening liquidity indicators may negatively impact the ratings trajectory.

Profile
Legal Structure

GH2 Industries (Pvt.) Limited ('GH2' or 'the Company') was incorporated as a private limited company on 28-Sept 20, under the Companies Act, 2017.


Background

GH2 is a recent venture of Mr. Rana Nasim Ahmed, along with the investing shareholders, who are Descon Holdings (Pvt.) Ltd. and Aurelius (Pvt.) Ltd. The Company is set up as part of an integration vision in the agriculture value chain. As an export oriented business, GH2 shall be hedged from domestic demand issues, and also generate dollarized returns for investors.


Operations

GH2 Industries is in the process of establishing an agri-based industrial facility aimed at producing value-added derivatives from broken rice, catering primarily to pharmaceutical and FMCG sectors. The project is designed as a vertically integrated operation, incorporating an in-house rice processing unit to ensure greater control over input quality and partial feedstock self-sufficiency.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

GH2 is majority-owned by Mr. Rana Nasim Ahmed, who holds approximately 50% of the company. The remaining 50% is equally held by the two investing shareholders, Descon Holdings (Pvt.) Ltd. and Aurelius (Pvt.) Ltd., with each owning a 25% stake.


Stability

The Company’s ownership structure is expected to remain stable, as the sponsors are well-established investors with diversified interests across multiple sectors in Pakistan.


Business Acumen

The sponsors have a significant presence across agriculture, power—particularly in renewable energy—and industrial operations and maintenance services in both local and international markets. Their strong affiliations with international associations further benefit the Company.


Financial Strength

Ongoing oversight and financial support from the sponsors are expected to strengthen the Company’s financial position. Furthermore, the Company aims to generate an estimated annual export impact of approximately USD 18 million, along with import substitution of around USD 4 million for the country.


Governance
Board Structure

Overall control of the Company rests with a four-member Board of Directors (BoD), comprising one Executive and three Non-Executive Directors. Of these, two directors are appointed by Mr. Rana Nasim, a Non-Executive Director, while the remaining two are nominated by the investing shareholders. Descon Holdings has appointed Mr. Faisal Dawood, and Aurelius has nominated Mrs. Riffat Zamani as Non-Executive Directors on the BoD. Enhancing board independence would further strengthen the decision-making process going forward.


Members’ Profile

The Board of Directors (BoD), supported by the diverse backgrounds and expertise of its members, serves as the primary source of oversight and strategic guidance for management. As per the agreement, the position of Chairman is held for a one-year term, with the nomination alternating between Mr. Rana Nasim and the investing shareholders. The directors bring extensive experience across various industries. Mr. Rana Nasim is a seasoned professional with over three decades of corporate experience. Mr. Faisal Dawood has more than two decades of experience spanning engineering, power, and chemical sectors. Mrs. Riffat Zamani holds significant interests in Pakistan’s sugar and real estate sectors.


Board Effectiveness

The Board of Directors (BoD) is supported by the Audit and Human Resource Committees. Each committee maintains equal representation from Mr. Rana Nasim and the investing shareholders, with the chairmanship rotating between them on an alternate basis.


Financial Transparency

GH2 has appointed M/s BDO Ebrahim & Co. as its external auditors, who have issued an unqualified opinion on the Company’s financial statements for FY25. The firm is QCR-rated and classified in Category ‘A’ on the SBP’s panel of auditors.


Management
Organizational Structure

The management intends to operate the Company through key functional departments, including Operations, Administration and Human Resources, Finance, Sales and Marketing, and IT, upon achieving commercial operations. All departmental heads will report to the CEO, who in turn will report to the Board of Directors (BoD), where key decisions will be deliberated and formalized. Mr. Rana Nasim will retain oversight at the final level. The organizational structure is designed to ensure clear segregation of roles and responsibilities.


Management Team

The CEO, Mr. Rana Uzair Nasim—nominated by Mr. Rana Nasim and approved by the Board of Directors (BoD)—has been associated with the Company since its incorporation. He also serves as the CEO of Gharo Solar and Harappa Solar. Mr. Husnain Arif serves as the Chief Financial Officer. He is a CFA, a Chartered Accountant (England & Wales), and a Fellow Member of ACCA-UK, with extensive and diversified experience spanning the sugar, cement, banking, power, and wider manufacturing sectors. His expertise spans financial modeling, budgeting, transaction advisory, and financial due diligence, with strong knowledge of IAS/IFRS and US GAAP. He has also been involved in project financing and has contributed to the development of 18MWp Harappa Solar (Private) Limited, 50 MWp Gharo Solar Limited & GH2 Indutries Pvt Limited.


Effectiveness

The sponsors’ experience, together with a professional management team, is expected to support the Company in streamlining operations upon commencement of commercial activities. However, in anticipation of the need for enhanced managerial efficiency, the establishment of management-level committees would further strengthen policy implementation going forward.


MIS

The Company is in the process of implementing an ERP system to generate structured MIS reports and enhance operational efficiency.


Control Environment

The Company has established effective mechanisms for the identification, assessment, and reporting of all categories of risks arising from its business operations. These include strategic, operational, financial, and compliance risks that could potentially impact the achievement of the Company’s overall business objectives.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

GH2 being an export-oriented rice derivatives business, must incorporate the potential challenges currently facing the global rice market. A major development is India’s decision in March 2025 to lift its year-long export ban on both basmati and non-basmati rice. As the world's largest rice exporter, India's re-entry into the global market significantly drove down international rice prices. This price plunge was a key factor behind the ~15% year-on-year decline in Pakistan's rice export earnings in FY25. While Pakistan continues to prioritize quality and has maintained relative export stability, it now faces increased price competition globally. IRRI rice, a non-basmati variety, though not GH2’s core product but is expected to contribute approximately 36% of its total revenue. This was initially intended to serve as a hedge against domestic demand volatility and to provide an additional export revenue stream. However, under current market conditions, this strategy may be challenged. Non-basmati rice exports from Pakistan declined from $3.05 billion in FY24 to $2.52 billion in FY25, indicating a drop of ~18%. Overall rice export earnings also fell from $3.93 billion in FY24 to $3.36 billion in FY25 a ~15% decline, largely due to the sharp decrease in non-basmati rice prices, which account for approximately 85% of Pakistan’s total rice exports. (Source : Pacra Research)


Relative Position

Pakistan’s exports of rice‑based derivatives have grown to ~65,000 MT per annum. While other players (Shafi Gluco, ACT Polyols, Glucorp, Master Sweetener) focus on rice syrup, GH2 is entering health‑oriented ingredients (sorbitol, dextrose, rice protein) with a first‑mover advantage in products like Dextrose Anhydrous (DAH), which has no local production.


Revenues

Post‑COD (Jun‑26), GH2 projects revenue of ~PKR 9.4bln, split equally between local and export sales, with a CAGR of ~13.5%


Margins

The vertically integrated model (in‑house power & steam, backward‑integrated rice milling) is expected to deliver healthy margins. Net profits are projected to grow at ~33% CAGR


Sustainability

The investment strategy focuses on rice and derivatives in a mature, cost‑effective technology market. GH2 plans to continuously identify new markets and technological advancements.


Financial Risk
Working capital

Requirements will be financed through short‑term borrowings and FCFO. Strategy includes 30‑day credit terms, timely supplier payments, and 4‑5 month rice procurement cycles. As of February 2026, GH2 has secured PKR 2.82bn in short‑term facilities (BoP, Soneri Bank, Pak Oman). Maintaining a substantial borrowing cushion remains critical.




Coverages

Projected coverage ratio of 1.63x in FY27 (second year of operations). Interest cover is expected to improve with lower interest rates, though initial gestation challenges persist.


Capitalization

The equity base, including advances against shares, stood at PKR 3.58 billion, which is below the projected level of PKR 4.8 billion. This shortfall is primarily timing-related, as the advances are yet to be converted into paid-up capital. The total project CAPEX of approximately USD 55 million is being financed through a combination of local and foreign currency debt, including a PKR 7 billion syndicated local currency facility, of which PKR 5.23 billion had been drawn as of February 2026, and a USD 10 million foreign currency facility from FMO (Dutch Development Bank), of which USD 5.145 million had been drawn as of the same period. The debt-to-equity ratio as of FY25 stood at approximately 58.5%, which remains aligned with the project financing plan and is expected to stabilize post-commercial operations (COD).


 
 

Apr-26

www.pacra.com


(PKR mln)


Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Audited Audited Audited
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 4,701 569 217
2. Investments 0 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 1,181 161 10
a. Inventories 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 0 0 0
5. Total Assets 5,882 730 227
6. Current Liabilities 65 42 26
a. Trade Payables 0 3 1
7. Borrowings 2,244 185 0
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 18 9 0
10. Net Assets 3,556 494 201
11. Shareholders' Equity 3,519 493 201
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 0 0 0
a. Cost of Good Sold 0 0 0
2. Gross Profit 0 0 0
a. Operating Expenses (54) (21) (14)
3. Operating Profit (54) (21) (14)
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 46 1 1
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax (9) (20) (13)
a. Total Finance Cost (0) (0) (0)
b. Taxation 0 0 0
6. Net Income Or (Loss) (9) (20) (13)
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) (245) (48) (12)
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes (245) (48) (12)
c. Changes in Working Capital (52) 4 11
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (298) (44) (0)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (4,139) (353) (64)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 5,097 497 60
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 882 100 (4)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) N/A N/A N/A
b. Gross Profit Margin N/A N/A N/A
c. Net Profit Margin N/A N/A N/A
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) N/A N/A N/A
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] -0.5% -5.7% -7.5%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) N/A N/A N/A
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) N/A N/A N/A
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 18.1 3.8 0.4
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost N/A N/A N/A
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB N/A N/A -0.7
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) -9.2 -3.8 -1.4
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 38.9% 27.3% 0.0%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) N/A N/A N/A
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Apr-26

www.pacra.com

Apr-26

www.pacra.com

  1. Rating Team Statements
    1. Rating is just an opinion about the creditworthiness of the entity and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security of the entity rated or to buy, hold, or sell the security rated, as the case may be. (Chapter III; 14-3-(x))
    2. Conflict of Interest
      1. The Rating Team or any of their family members have no interest in this rating (Chapter III; 12-2-(j))
      2. PACRA, the analysts involved in the rating process, and members of its rating committee and their family members do not have any conflict of interest relating to the rating done by them (Chapter III; 12-2-(e) & (k))
      3. The analyst is not a substantial shareholder of the customer being rated by PACRA [Annexure F; d-(ii)]
      4. Explanation: for the purpose of the above clause, the term "family members" shall include only those family members who are dependent on the analyst and members of the rating committee.
  2. Restrictions
    1. No director, officer, or employee of PACRA communicates the information acquired by him for use for rating purposes to any other person, except where required under law to do so. (Chapter III; 10-(5))
    2. PACRA does not disclose or discuss with outside parties or make improper use of the non-public information which has come to its knowledge during a business relationship with the customer. (Chapter III; 10-7-(d))
    3. PACRA does not make proposals or recommendations regarding the activities of rated entities that could impact a credit rating of the entity subject to rating. (Chapter III; 10-7-(k))
  3. Conduct of Business
    1. PACRA fulfills its obligations in a fair, efficient, transparent, and ethical manner and renders high standards of services in performing its functions and obligations. (Chapter III; 11-A-(a))
    2. PACRA uses due care in the preparation of this Rating Report. Our information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. PACRA does not, in every instance, independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing this Rating Report. (Clause 11-(A)(p))
    3. PACRA prohibits its employees and analysts from soliciting money, gifts, or favors from anyone with whom PACRA conducts business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(q))
    4. PACRA ensures before the commencement of the rating process that an analyst or employee has not had a recent employment or other significant business or personal relationship with the rated entity that may cause or may be perceived as causing a conflict of interest. (Chapter III; 11-A-(r))
    5. PACRA maintains the principle of integrity in seeking rating business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(u))
    6. PACRA promptly investigates in the event of misconduct or a breach of the policies, procedures, and controls, and takes appropriate steps to rectify any weaknesses to prevent any recurrence, along with suitable punitive action against the responsible employee(s). (Chapter III; 11-B-(m))
  4. Independence & Conflict of Interest
    1. PACRA receives compensation from the entity being rated or any third party for the rating services it offers. The receipt of this compensation has no influence on PACRA’s opinions or other analytical processes. In all instances, PACRA is committed to preserving the objectivity, integrity, and independence of its ratings. Our relationship is governed by two distinct mandates: i) rating mandate - signed with the entity being rated or issuer of the debt instrument, and ii) fee mandate - signed with the payer, which can be different from the entity.
    2. PACRA does not provide consultancy/advisory services or other services to any of its customers or their associated companies and associated undertakings that are being rated or have been rated by it during the preceding three years, unless it has an adequate mechanism in place ensuring that the provision of such services does not lead to a conflict of interest situation with its rating activities. (Chapter III; 12-2-(d))
    3. PACRA discloses that no shareholder directly or indirectly holding 10% or more of the share capital of PACRA also holds directly or indirectly 10% or more of the share capital of the entity which is subject to rating or the entity which issued the instrument subject to rating by PACRA. (Chapter III; 12-2-(f))
    4. PACRA ensures that the rating assigned to an entity or instrument is not affected by the existence of a business relationship between PACRA and the entity or any other party, or the non-existence of such a relationship. (Chapter III; 12-2-(i))
    5. PACRA ensures that the analysts or any of their family members shall not buy, sell, or engage in any transaction in any security which falls in the analyst’s area of primary analytical responsibility. This clause, however, does not apply to investments in securities through collective investment schemes. (Chapter III; 12-2-(l))
    6. PACRA has established policies and procedures governing investments and trading in securities by its employees and for monitoring the same to prevent insider trading, market manipulation, or any other market abuse. (Chapter III; 11-B-(g))
  5. Monitoring and Review
    1. PACRA monitors all the outstanding ratings continuously, and any potential change therein due to any event associated with the issuer, the security arrangement, the industry, etc., is disseminated to the market immediately and in an effective manner after appropriate consultation with the entity/issuer. (Chapter III; 17-(a))
    2. PACRA reviews all the outstanding ratings periodically on an annual basis. Provided that public dissemination of annual review and in an instance of change in rating will be made. (Chapter III; 17-(b))
    3. PACRA initiates an immediate review of the outstanding rating upon becoming aware of any information that may reasonably be expected to result in downgrading of the rating. (Chapter III; 17-(c))
    4. PACRA engages with the issuer and the debt securities trustee to remain updated on all information pertaining to the rating of the entity/instrument. (Chapter III; 17-(d))
  6. Probability of Default
    1. PACRA’s Rating Scale reflects the expectation of credit risk. The highest rating has the lowest relative likelihood of default (i.e., probability). PACRA’s transition studies capture the historical performance behavior of a specific rating notch. Transition behavior of the assigned rating can be obtained from PACRA’s Transition Study available at our website. (www.pacra.com) However, the actual transition of rating may not follow the pattern observed in the past. (Chapter III; 14-3(f)(vii))
  7. Proprietary Information
    1. All information contained herein is considered proprietary by PACRA. Hence, none of the information in this document can be copied or otherwise reproduced, stored, or disseminated in whole or in part in any form or by any means whatsoever by any person without PACRA’s prior written consent.

Apr-26

www.pacra.com