Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
18-Feb-26 A A1 Stable Maintain -
18-Feb-25 A A2 Stable Maintain -
20-Feb-24 A A2 Stable Maintain -
01-Mar-23 A A2 Stable Upgrade -
04-Mar-22 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
About the Entity

Liberty Wind Power-1 Limited is an independent power producer incorporated to develop, own and operate a 50MW wind power plant. The project achieved commercial operations in April 2022 and supplies electricity to the national grid under a regulated tariff framework. The Company’s operations are supported by long-term O&M arrangements, comprehensive insurance coverage, and a structured financing plan comprising both local and foreign currency debt with defined amortization schedules. Mr. Azam Sakrani is the CEO of the Company. He is supported by the experienced management team. comprises qualified professionals with sufficient experience.

Rating Rationale

LWP1 operates a 50MW wind power plant at Jhimpir, Sindh, under a 25-year Energy Purchase Agreement (EPA) with Central Power Purchasing Agency–Guarantee Limited (CPPA-G), ensuring assured offtake and predictable revenue streams. The project’s approved cost base of USD 62.36 mln, coupled with a levelized tariff of PKR 8.1272/kWh under a cost-plus framework, provides strong visibility and stability of long-term returns by ensuring recovery of approved costs along with a defined margin. This structured tariff mechanism supports predictable cash flows, while ownership concentration under Liberty Mills Limited, a core entity of the Liberty Group, further enhances financial flexibility and operational oversight, thereby reinforcing the Company’s overall risk profile. During FY2025, power generation stood at 126 GWh (FY2024: 155 GWh), reflecting variation in wind resource availability, resulting in revenues declining to PKR 1.9bln from PKR 2.5bln; however, despite lower dispatch, cash flow generation remained adequate with funds from core operations (FCFO) of PKR 1.43bln against finance costs of PKR 0.70bln. Liquidity is sound and working capital requirements primarily managed through internal cash generation and minimal reliance on external borrowings, while available credit lines provide additional cushion for future needs, if required. Scheduled amortization reduced project debt to PKR 8.80bln from PKR 9.49bln, alongside an improvement in shareholders’ equity to PKR 3.41bln, supporting gradual deleveraging. The assigned upgrade in the short-term ratings reflects the recent tariff true-up determination notified by NEPRA, which has enhanced visibility over approved project costs and strengthened recovery mechanisms through indexation of O&M expenses, exchange rate movements, and debt-servicing components, thereby reducing regulatory uncertainty and supporting stability of future cash flows; the ratings also derive comfort from the Company’s predictable cash flow profile, strong sponsor backing, comfortable liquidity, and continued adherence to scheduled debt servicing.

Key Rating Drivers

Going forward, the ratings derive support from the Company’s contracted revenue structure, predictable cash flow profile, and defined debt repayment schedule under the project financing framework. The ratings will remain supported by continued operational performance, adherence to financial discipline, and stability of the regulatory environment governing tariff recovery mechanisms.

Profile
Plant

Liberty Wind Power-1 Limited (“LWP1” or “the Company”) is a 50MW renewable energy independent power producer located at Jhimpir, District Thatta, Sindh. The plant achieved Commercial Operations Date on 9 April 2022 and supplies electricity to the national grid under a long-term offtake arrangement.


Tariff

The Company operates under a cost-plus tariff framework approved by National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA). The generation tariff stands at PKR 7.331/kWh for years 1–10 and PKR 2.4026/kWh for years 11–25, with a levelized tariff of around US cents 4.78/kWh at financial close. The recently notified true-up decision retains quarterly indexation for O&M, exchange rate and debt servicing components, while insurance costs are treated on a pass-through basis. This structure provides revenue visibility and partial protection against inflation and currency risks, thereby stabilizing long-term cash flows.


Return on Project

The project carries an agreed dollar IRR of 14% as determined by the regulator. Returns remain supported by contracted dispatch and indexed tariff components, subject primarily to operational availability and wind resource variability.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

LWP1 is majority owned by Liberty Mills Limited, a core entity of the Liberty Group, holding approximately 99.9% shareholding. Ownership remains concentrated and unchanged, ensuring strategic alignment and direct sponsor oversight.


Stability

Stability is underpinned by a long-term Energy Purchase Agreement with Central Power Purchasing Agency Guarantee Limited (CPPA-G) for a 25-year tenure from COD (2022–2047). The agreement provides guaranteed offtake and compensation mechanisms for non-project missed volumes, materially mitigating demand and counterparty risks. Stability of sponsors and association with an established industrial group further strengthen business continuity and financial flexibility.


Business Acumen

The sponsors possess longstanding operational experience across manufacturing and industrial sectors with a demonstrated record of disciplined financial management. Diversification into the power segment reflects their ability to execute capital-intensive projects and manage regulated infrastructure assets effectively.


Financial Strength

Sponsor financial strength remains adequate to provide both ongoing and contingency support. The group’s diversified and profitable operations enhance the Company’s credit profile and provide comfort in stress scenarios, reducing reliance solely on project-level cash flows.


Governance
Board Structure

The board is comprised primarily of sponsor representatives, ensuring direct strategic oversight and alignment with shareholder objectives.


Members’ Profile

Board members and senior management comprise sponsor representatives with extensive experience across finance, banking, and industrial operations. Their backgrounds support effective oversight of regulatory compliance, financial management, and operational performance of the project.


Board Effectiveness

Regular reviews of plant performance, budgets and operational metrics are undertaken, enabling timely intervention and structured governance.


Financial Transparency

Financial statements are audited by Yousuf Adil Chartered Accountants, who have issued an unqualified opinion for the period ended June 2025, supporting reliability of reported information.


Management
Organizational Structure

The Company maintains a clearly defined organizational structure with delineated responsibilities and direct reporting to the board.


Management Team

The Company maintains a lean, sponsor-led management structure overseeing finance, compliance, and contract administration, with primary focus on regulatory adherence, treasury control, and monitoring of outsourced technical operations. The framework has supported uninterrupted operations and timely debt servicing since COD.


Effectiveness

Management has ensured uninterrupted plant operations and continued adherence to scheduled debt repayments, reflecting prudent oversight.


Control Environment

Routine O&M activities are undertaken through specialized third-party contractors, while financial and administrative controls remain internally managed, providing an adequate control framework.


Operational Risk
Power Purchase Agreement

The EPA with CPPA-G provides contracted offtake for 25 years with protective clauses for non-project missed volumes, ensuring predictable revenues and limiting commercial risk.


Operation and Maintenance

Operations and maintenance are executed under long-term agreements with Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy and Orient Energy Systems. The contracted model supports sustained plant availability, technical reliability, and effective mitigation of operational risk across the 25-year PPA term.


Resource Risk

Wind resource variability remains an inherent characteristic of wind power operations. During FY2025, generation stood at 126 GWh compared to 155 GWh in FY2024, reflecting changes in wind availability, which correspondingly influenced output and energy revenues during the period.


Insurance Cover

Comprehensive insurance coverage is maintained for material damage, third-party liability and business interruption, mitigating operational contingencies.


Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics

Wind energy represents a modest but gradually expanding share of Pakistan’s generation mix, supported by policy backing and long-term contracted revenue structures under EPA arrangements. Sector performance remains sensitive to wind resource variability, which directly influences plant dispatch and utilization levels. During FY2025, the Company generated 126,037 MWh compared to 154,837 MWh in FY2024, resulting in a capacity utilization factor of 28.78% versus 35.25% last year. The decline reflects lower wind resource availability during the period and is consistent with inherent variability associated with wind-based generation.


Generation

Actual generation during FY2025 stood at 126,037 MWh, compared to 154,837 MWh in FY2024, reflecting a year-on-year decline in output. The reduction in generation correspondingly affected energy revenue for the period, as dispatch remains directly linked to wind resource conditions and grid demand.


Performance Benchmark

Under the approved tariff framework, the benchmark net annual plant capacity factor is 38%, with required plant availability of 97%. During FY2025, the Company reported an actual capacity utilization factor of 28.78%, compared to 35.25% in FY2024, remaining below the benchmark level. Variations in capacity utilization reflect wind resource conditions, which remain outside management control, while operational availability continues to be maintained under contracted O&M arrangements.


Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis

Total project cost stands at approximately USD 62.36 million, financed through a mix of around 80% debt and 20% equity. The debt portfolio comprises foreign currency financing and local SBP-refinanced borrowings with defined amortization schedules. Both facilities are repayable in quarterly installments, supporting predictable deleveraging over the project life.


Liquidity Profile

Liquidity remains adequate. Trade receivables stood at PKR 965 million, while the Company carries no short-term borrowings. Current assets of PKR 1.23 billion comfortably exceed current liabilities of PKR 243 million, indicating a strong short-term coverage position and supporting operational flexibility.


Working Capital Financing

Operating cash flows moderately in line with reduced generation. Free Cash Flows from Operations declined to PKR 1,432 million compared to PKR 1,962 million in FY24. Nevertheless, internal cash generation continues to support debt servicing and operational needs. Scheduled debt repayments resulted in net financing outflows during the year.


Cash Flow Analysis

Free Cash Flows from Operations moderated to PKR 1,432mln (FY25) from PKR 1,962mln (FY24) due to lower dispatch. Finance costs of PKR 701mln resulted in coverage of approximately 2.1x. The Company continues to maintain a Payment Service Reserve Account equivalent to two quarterly installments, supporting debt servicing resilience.


Capitalization

Total borrowings reduced to PKR 8.8bn from PKR 9.5bn reflecting scheduled amortization. Shareholders’ equity increased to PKR 3.41bn. The resulting capital structure shows gradual deleveraging and improving gearing, supporting long-term sustainability.


 
 

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(PKR mln)


Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 11,221 11,619 12,338
2. Investments 100 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 1,134 1,317 2,416
a. Inventories 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 965 898 1,364
5. Total Assets 12,454 12,936 14,755
6. Current Liabilities 243 263 1,261
a. Trade Payables 0 157 1,147
7. Borrowings 8,801 9,490 10,629
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 0 0 4
10. Net Assets 3,410 3,183 2,861
11. Shareholders' Equity 3,410 3,183 2,571
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 1,899 2,465 1,831
a. Cost of Good Sold (941) (982) (819)
2. Gross Profit 958 1,483 1,012
a. Operating Expenses (25) (29) (43)
3. Operating Profit 933 1,454 969
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 41 41 42
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 975 1,495 1,011
a. Total Finance Cost (735) (870) (767)
b. Taxation (13) (13) (15)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 227 613 228
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 1,432 1,962 1,459
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 757 1,082 729
c. Changes in Working Capital (130) (490) (1,244)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 627 592 (515)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (52) 39 50
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (830) (980) (748)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (255) (349) (1,213)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) -22.9% 34.6% 170.5%
b. Gross Profit Margin 50.5% 60.2% 55.3%
c. Net Profit Margin 12.0% 24.9% 12.5%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 68.5% 59.7% 11.7%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 6.5% 18.0% 9.2%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 179 167 201
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 149 71 -50
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 4.7 5.0 1.9
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 2.1 2.4 2.0
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 0.8 1.0 0.8
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 12.0 8.4 14.3
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 72.1% 74.9% 80.5%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 17.5 1.5 22.2
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 7.7% 8.3% 7.5%

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