Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
18-Feb-26 A A1 Stable Maintain -
18-Feb-25 A A2 Stable Maintain -
20-Feb-24 A A2 Stable Maintain -
01-Mar-23 A A2 Stable Upgrade -
04-Mar-22 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
About the Entity

Liberty Wind Power 2 Limited (“LWP2” or “the Company”) is an independent power producer incorporated to develop, own, and operate a 50MW wind power plant located at Jhimpir, District Thatta, Sindh. The project achieved Commercial Operations Date (COD) on 27 May 2022 and supplies electricity to the national grid under a 25-year Energy Purchase Agreement with Central Power Purchasing Agency (Guarantee) Limited (CPPA-G). The Company operates under a NEPRA-approved cost-plus tariff framework, providing contracted offtake and predictable revenue streams.

Rating Rationale

The assigned ratings reflect the Company’s predictable cash flow profile under a regulated cost-plus tariff structure that ensures recovery of approved costs along with defined margins. The tariff incorporates indexation for O&M, exchange rate movements, and debt servicing components, while insurance expenses are treated on a pass-through basis, collectively reducing exposure to inflationary, currency, and counterparty risks and providing stability to long-term earnings.
During FY2025, generation moderated owing to wind variability, resulting in revenues declining to PKR 1.95 billion from PKR 2.51 billion last year. Despite lower dispatch, cash flows remained sufficient to support obligations, with operating profit of PKR 970 million, net profit of PKR 260 million, and EBITDA-to-finance cost coverage of 2.1x, indicating adequate debt servicing capacity. Liquidity remaind sound and working capital requirements primarily managed through internal cash generation and minimal reliance on external borrowings, while available credit lines provide additional cushion for future needs, if required. Continued scheduled amortization reduced borrowings to PKR 8.84 billion (FY24: PKR 9.41 billion), alongside a strengthening of equity to PKR 3.35 billion, supporting gradual deleveraging and an improving capital structure. Additional comfort is drawn from the notified tariff true-up determination, which enhances visibility over approved project costs and strengthens recovery through indexation mechanisms, thereby reducing regulatory uncertainty. Overall, stable contracted revenues, disciplined financial management, and adherence to scheduled debt repayments underpin the assigned ratings.

Key Rating Drivers

Going forward, the ratings derive support from the Company’s contracted revenue structure, predictable cash flow profile, and defined debt repayment schedule under the project financing framework. The ratings will remain supported by continued operational performance, adherence to financial discipline, and stability of the regulatory environment governing tariff recovery mechanisms.

Profile
Plant

Liberty Wind Power 2 Limited (“LWP2” or “the Company”) is a 50MW renewable energy independent power producer located at Jhimpir, District Thatta, Sindh. The plant achieved Commercial Operations Date (COD) on 27 May 2022 and supplies electricity to the national grid under a long-term contracted offtake arrangement.


Tariff

The Company operates under a NEPRA-approved cost-plus tariff framework with a 25-year Energy Purchase Agreement with Central Power Purchasing Agency (Guarantee) Limited (CPPA-G). The tariff remains indexed for O&M, exchange rate, and debt servicing components, while insurance costs are treated on a pass-through basis. As per the approved true-up determination, the levelized tariff stands at PKR 8.2171/kWh (US Cents 4.4853/kWh).


Return on Project

The project carries an approved Return on Equity (ROE) of 14%, payable monthly over the project life, as determined by the regulator. Returns are supported by contracted dispatch and indexed tariff components, with performance primarily subject to operational availability and wind resource variability.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

Liberty Wind Power 2 Limited (“LWP2”) remains a wholly sponsor-owned independent power producer, with Liberty Mills Limited holding 99.9% shareholding, ensuring full strategic and financial alignment with the Liberty Group. The concentrated ownership structure supports clear decision-making, timely capital support, and coordinated oversight, typical of sponsor-backed IPP platforms.


Stability

Revenue stability is underpinned by the Energy Purchase Agreement (EPA) with CPPA-G for a 25-year tenure commencing from 2022, providing contracted offtake and tariff-based payments. The agreement incorporates protective mechanisms for non-project missed volumes, materially mitigating demand and counterparty risks. The long-term contracted structure, combined with sponsor continuity, supports predictable cash flows and operational visibility over the asset life.


Business Acumen

The sponsor group has demonstrated consistent execution capability across industrial and infrastructure ventures and has maintained disciplined financial management within its power portfolio. Oversight remains focused on plant availability, cost control, and covenant compliance, reflecting an operationally conservative approach appropriate for regulated, long-tenor assets.


Financial Strength

The sponsor’s diversified industrial base and established operating track record provide the Company with financial flexibility and implicit support capacity. The ability to meet obligations without reliance on short-term external funding and the absence of structural stress indicators support overall credit resilience during cyclical or operational volatility.


Governance
Board Structure

The Board comprises sponsor nominees, including senior executives of Liberty Group, enabling direct alignment between ownership, management, and strategic direction. Representation from finance and operational leadership facilitates informed oversight of both technical and financial performance.


Members’ Profile

Board members and senior representatives possess substantial experience across energy infrastructure, project finance, treasury management, and industrial operations. This depth of experience supports effective risk monitoring, regulatory coordination, and disciplined capital allocation under the long-term contracted framework.


Board Effectiveness

Board reviews are conducted regularly, focusing on generation trends, receivable collections, working capital discipline, and compliance with debt servicing schedules. The structured review mechanism supports timely corrective actions and enhances operational predictability.


Financial Transparency

The Company’s FY2025 financial statements are audited by Yousuf Adil Chartered Accountants, who have issued an unqualified opinion, reinforcing the reliability and transparency of reported financial information.


Management
Organizational Structure

LWP2 operates through a streamlined structure with clear reporting lines, with executive management reporting directly to the Board. Core functions include finance, compliance, and contract administration, while technical operations are executed through specialized contractors.


Management Team

A lean, sponsor-led management team oversees treasury control, regulatory compliance, receivable management, and contractual performance. Focus remains on maintaining liquidity discipline and ensuring uninterrupted debt servicing, which has remained timely since commercial operations.


Effectiveness

Management effectiveness is reflected in sustained plant operations, stable profitability, and orderly deleveraging. During FY2025, the Company maintained operating profit of PKR 970 million and net profit of PKR 260 million, while continuing scheduled debt repayments, demonstrating stable operational execution despite generation variability.


Control Environment

Operations and maintenance are outsourced to Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy (Private) Limited and Orient Energy Systems (Private) Limited, while management retains oversight of financial, compliance, and strategic functions. This segregation supports technical reliability and strengthens internal control and risk monitoring


Operational Risk
Power Purchase Agreement

The Company operates under a 25-year EPA with CPPA-G, providing contracted energy payments and tariff-based revenue certainly. Under the agreement, the purchaser compensates for non-project missed volumes, materially limiting demand risk, while the Company remains responsible for plant availability and delivery performance.



Operation and Maintenance

Long-term O&M services are provided by Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy (Private) Limited and Orient Energy Systems (Private) Limited under extended service arrangements. The contracted model supports sustained plant availability, technical reliability, and controlled lifecycle maintenance risk.


Resource Risk

Wind resource variability remains the primary operational risk inherent to the sector. Generation during FY2025 moderated relative to the prior year, impacting dispatch levels; however, the contracted tariff structure partially mitigates revenue volatility.


Insurance Cover

The Company maintains comprehensive coverage for material damage, machinery breakdown, third-party liability, and business interruption, in line with lender and regulatory requirements. Insurance cost is recoverable through the tariff framework, with NEPRA allowing an annual charge of 0.4% of approved EPC cost, limiting financial exposure to unforeseen operational disruptions.


Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics

Wind energy remains a small but gradually expanding component of Pakistan’s overall generation mix, supported by policy preference for renewables and long-term contracted offtake arrangements with CPPA-G. While the regulatory framework and fixed tariff structure provide revenue visibility, operational performance inherently remains sensitive to wind resource variability, which directly influences dispatch and energy revenues.


Generation

The plant has been operational since COD on 27 May 2022. During FY2025, generation moderated relative to the prior year, reflecting lower wind contribution and dispatch levels. Energy sales declined to PKR 1,948 million (FY24: PKR 2,511 million), translating into softer operating profitability. Despite reduced output, the contracted tariff structure continues to partially cushion revenue volatility and supports baseline cash flows.


Performance Benchmark

Under the approved tariff framework, the benchmark net annual plant capacity factor is 38%, with required plant availability of 97%. During FY2025, the Company reported an actual capacity utilization factor of ~29%, compared to higher levels last year, remaining below the benchmark level. Variations in capacity utilization reflect wind resource conditions, which remain outside management control, while operational availability continues to be maintained under contracted O&M arrangements.


Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis

Total project cost is ~USD 62.13 mln, funded through ~80% debt and ~20% equity. Debt comprises foreign financing priced at 3M LIBOR + 4.25% and SBP-refinanced local facility; the foreign loan carries a maturity of 13 years while the local loan carries maturity of 10 years, both repayable in quarterly installments.


Liquidity Profile

As of FY25, the Company’s liquidity remains supported by a strong current asset buffer relative to current liabilities and the absence of sustained short-term borrowing dependence. Trade receivables remain material due to sector payment cycles; receivable days stand at 186 days (FY25) (FY24: 164 days), while current ratio improved to 4.2x (FY25) (FY24: 1.3x), reflecting strengthened short-term coverage.


Working Capital Financing

Working capital requirements remain structurally limited, consistent with the renewable IPP model where fuel procurement and inventory cycles are absent. Liquidity is primarily supported through contractual capacity and energy receipts under the EPA, resulting in minimal reliance on short-term borrowings. As of FY2025, the Company reported current assets of PKR 1,134 million against current liabilities of PKR 273 million, translating into a strong current ratio of 4.2x, while short-term borrowings constitute only 1.6% of total debt. Trade receivables stood at PKR 1,041 million, aligned with billing cycles, and internal cash generation continues to adequately fund operational and debt servicing needs without external working capital dependence


Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash generation moderated during FY25. Net sales stood at PKR 1,948mln (FY25) versus PKR 2,511mln (FY24), while net profit after tax was PKR 260mln (FY25) versus PKR 585mln (FY24). Coverage metrics remain adequate with EBITDA/Finance Cost at 2.1x (FY25) (FY24: 2.2x), indicating continued ability to service financing costs despite softer topline.


Capitalization

Total borrowings reduced to PKR 8,843mln (FY25) from PKR 9,411mln (FY24), reflecting scheduled amortization. Shareholders’ equity strengthened to PKR 3,346mln (FY25) from PKR 3,086mln (FY24). Capital structure remains leveraged but improving, with Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings + Equity) at 73.0% (FY25) (FY24: 75.7%), while short-term borrowings remain at 1.6% of total borrowings.


 
 

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(PKR mln)


Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 11,514 11,924 12,640
2. Investments 0 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 0 512 659
4. Current Assets 1,134 1,071 1,799
a. Inventories 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 1,041 943 1,314
5. Total Assets 12,648 13,507 15,099
6. Current Liabilities 273 824 1,083
a. Trade Payables 126 683 1,006
7. Borrowings 8,843 9,411 11,327
8. Related Party Exposure 187 187 187
9. Non-Current Liabilities 0 0 1
10. Net Assets 3,346 3,086 2,501
11. Shareholders' Equity 3,346 3,086 2,501
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 1,948 2,511 1,864
a. Cost of Good Sold (941) (998) (810)
2. Gross Profit 1,008 1,513 1,054
a. Operating Expenses (38) (38) (60)
3. Operating Profit 970 1,475 994
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 54 34 47
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 1,023 1,508 1,041
a. Total Finance Cost (748) (913) (808)
b. Taxation (16) (10) (14)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 260 585 220
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 1,482 2,001 1,443
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 774 1,087 685
c. Changes in Working Capital (683) 185 (2,495)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 91 1,272 (1,810)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 55 34 (10)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (852) (1,046) (776)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (706) 259 (2,596)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) -22.4% 34.7% 415.7%
b. Gross Profit Margin 51.7% 60.3% 56.5%
c. Net Profit Margin 13.3% 23.3% 11.8%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 41.0% 87.1% -56.4%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 7.5% 17.9% 8.9%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 186 164 168
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 110 41 -150
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 4.2 1.3 1.7
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 2.1 2.2 1.8
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 0.9 1.1 1.8
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 11.6 8.8 16.5
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 73.0% 75.7% 82.2%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 17.2 10.4 0.0
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 7.8% 8.7% 7.8%

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